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2019 $100M Films. Can it be a record year?

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It's 2019! How many films do you think can reach $100M this year?

 

The record is 35 from 2013, followed by 33 from 2017 and 2014.

 

Maybe it'll be a record for $200M (13 - 2012, 2017, 2014, 2016), $300M (9 - 2016), $400M (4 - 2017, 2018) or $500M (3 - 2018) films?

 

My Predictions

 

No. Film (Release Date)

1. Glass (January 18th)

2. The Lego Movie 2 (February 8th)

3. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (February 22nd)

4. Captain Marvel (March 8th)

5. Us (March 15th)

6. Dumbo (March 29th)

7. Shazam! (April 5th)

8. Avengers: Endgame (April 26th)

9. Detective Pikachu (May 10th)

10. John Wick: Chapter 3 (May 17th)

11. Aladdin (May 24th)

12. Godzilla: King of Monsters (May 31st)

13. Dark Phoenix (June 7th)

14. The Secret Life of Pets 2 (June 7th)

15. Toy Story 4 (June 21st)

16. Untitled Conjuring Universe Film (July 3rd)

17. Spider-Man: Far From Home (July 5th)

18. The Lion King (July 19th)

19. Hobbs and Shaw (August 2nd)

20. The Angry Birds Movie 2 (August 16th)

21. IT: Chapter 2 (September 6th)

22. Joker (October 4th)

23. Kingsman 3 (November 15th)

24. Frozen 2 (November 22nd)

25. Jumanji 3 (December 13th)

26. Star Wars 9 (December 20th)

 

Outside Chances/Not as Likely

 

27. What Men Want (February 8th)

28. Pet Semetary (April 5th)

29. Hellboy (April 12th)

30. A Dog's Journey (May 17th)

31. Rocketman (May 31st)

32. Men In Black International (June 14th)

33. Child's Play (June 21st)

34. Grudge (June 21st)

35. Once Upon a Time In Hollywood (July 26th)

36. Dora the Explorer (August 2nd)

37. New Mutants (August 2nd)

38. Artemis Fowl (August 9th)

39. The Addam's Family (October 11th)

40. Charlie's Angels (November 1st)

41. Terminator Untitled (November 1st)

42. Sonic the Hedgehog (November 8th)

43. Masters of the Universe (December 18th)

44. Cats (December 20th)

 

 

Edited by Mike Hunt
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Monday 22nd April: Well, that was the last film to make it before the box office is shaken up with the impending release of Disney/Marvel's Avengers: Endgame this Thursday night, which will mark the start of this years packed summer slate! The Marvel flick will definetly end the weekend on at least two of these list, but it may also be the first film ever to open to $300M, I'll update the chart on Friday and Sunday next weekend to add it where is needed, with that said 8 film for the pre-summer season is quite good and there is much, much more to come.

 

$100M FILMS

1. Glass - February 14th

2. The Upside - February 26th

3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - March 5th

4. Captain Marvel - March 9th

5. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part - March 16th

6. Us - March 29th

7. Shazam! - April 17th

8. Dumbo - April 21st

 

$200M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 15th

 

$300M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 23rd

 

$400M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - April 21st

 

NEXT:

7. Dumbo

8. Shazam!

9. Avengers: Endgame

10. Detective Pikachu

 

Historical Charts (2016/2017/2018)

Spoiler

Monthly - 2018 Chart as of April 30

 

$100M club

 

1. Black Panther

2. Ready Player One

3. Peter Rabbit

4. A Wrinkle In Time

5. Fifty Shades of Grey

6. Rampage

7. A Quiet Place

8. Avengers: Infinity War

 

2017 - releases as of April 30

 

1. Beauty and the Beast

2. Logan

3. Get Out

4. The LEGO Batman Movie

5. The Boss Baby

6. Kong: Skull Island

7. Split

8. Fifty Shades Darker

9. The Fate of the Furious

 

2016 - releases as of April 30

 

1. Deadpool

2. Zootopia

3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

4. Kung Fu Panda 3

5. The Jungle Book

 

 

Edited by Mike Hunt
Updated Statement and Added $400M list and 2 films to the $100M list.
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Spoiler
18 hours ago, Mike Hunt said:

It's 2019! How many films do you think can reach $100M this year?

 

The record is 35 from 2013, followed by 33 from 2017 and 2014.

 

Maybe it'll be a record for $200M (13 - 2012, 2017, 2014, 2016), $300M (9 - 2016), $400M (4 - 2017, 2018) or $500M (3 - 2018) films?

 

My Predictions

 

No. Film (Release Date)

1. Glass (January 18th)

2. The Lego Movie 2 (February 8th)

3. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (February 22nd)

4. Captain Marvel (March 8th)

5. Us (March 15th)

6. Dumbo (March 29th)

7. Shazam! (April 5th)

8. Avengers: Endgame (April 26th)

9. Detective Pikachu (May 10th)

10. John Wick: Chapter 3 (May 17th)

11. Aladdin (May 24th)

12. Godzilla: King of Monsters (May 31st)

13. Dark Phoenix (June 7th)

14. The Secret Life of Pets 2 (June 7th)

15. Toy Story 4 (June 21st)

16. Untitled Conjuring Universe Film (July 3rd)

17. Spider-Man: Far From Home (July 5th)

18. The Lion King (July 19th)

19. Hobbs and Shaw (August 2nd)

20. The Angry Birds Movie 2 (August 16th)

21. IT: Chapter 2 (September 6th)

22. Joker (October 4th)

23. Kingsman 3 (November 15th)

24. Frozen 2 (November 22nd)

25. Jumanji 3 (December 13th)

26. Star Wars 9 (December 20th)

 

Outside Chances/Not as Likely

 

27. What Men Want (February 8th)

28. Pet Semetary (April 5th)

29. Hellboy (April 12th)

30. A Dog's Journey (May 17th)

31. Rocketman (May 31st)

32. Men In Black International (June 14th)

33. Child's Play (June 21st)

34. Grudge (June 21st)

35. Once Upon a Time In Hollywood (July 26th)

36. Dora the Explorer (August 2nd)

37. New Mutants (August 2nd)

38. Artemis Fowl (August 9th)

39. The Addam's Family (October 11th)

40. Charlie's Angels (November 1st)

41. Terminator Untitled (November 1st)

42. Sonic the Hedgehog (November 8th)

43. Masters of the Universe (December 18th)

44. Cats (December 20th)

 

 

 

Looks good.

I'd say the year can do the same as 2018, so 3 films above 500&600M and I kind of (unlikely I know) hope it can do 3 films above 700M.

About the 100M:

I'd say Men in Black and Once upon a time in hollywood can do it too.

Don't know about the others, maybe Cats... But even that would only be 29...

 

And I'd say the 400M record gets broken:

Avengers, TLK and IX above 700M (Sorry, I am optimistic)

Frozen 2 and Captain Marvel above it too and maybe TS4.

 

And above 300:

Avengers, TLK, IX, Frozen 2, Captain Marvel, TS4, Pika, SLOP2, Spider-Man, Joker, maybe Aladdin and Jumanji and It

 

Edited by Taruseth
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Angry Birds 2 and JW3 are not as likely as MIB and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.

 

We are headed for some extremely huge movies in 2019, but I can't see this record falling. I am rooting for 2019 being the first year over 12 billion DOM.

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2 hours ago, stripe said:

Angry Birds 2 and JW3 are not as likely as MIB and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood.

 

We are headed for some extremely huge movies in 2019, but I can't see this record falling. I am rooting for 2019 being the first year over 12 billion DOM.

I am also rooting for $12 Billion, I was last year too, but we just missed it by like $130 million ish. 

Edited by Mike Hunt
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Little Women is definitely a $100M+ candidate. Has everything going for it on paper: starry cast, perfectly timed Christmas Day release, wide appeal (film fans will be interested in Gerwig’s follow-up to Lady Bird, it’s bound to be PG given the source material so it’ll have family appeal), etc. 

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1) Glass

2) Upside

3) Dragon

4) Marvel

5) Us

6) Dumbo

7) Shazam

8)Avengers

9)Pikachu

10) John Wick 3

11) Aladdin

12) Godzilla

13) Rocketman

14) Secret Life Of Pets

15) MIB

16) Toy Story 4

17) Conjuring 3

18) Spider Man 

19) Lion King

20) Hobbs And Shaw

21) IT 2

22) Joker

23) Doctor Sleep

24) Frozen 2

25) Neighborhood

26) Hollywood 

27) Frozen 2

28) Kitchen

29) Jumanji

30) Star Wars

31) Cats

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On 1/1/2019 at 6:33 PM, Mike Hunt said:

 

 

Maybe it'll be a record for $200M (13 - 2012, 2017, 2014, 2016), $300M (9 - 2016), $400M (4 - 2017, 2018) or $500M (3 - 2018) films?

 

 

 

I think the 200M record could go down.. 

 

1. Captain Marvel
2. Shazam (low chance)
3. Avengers Endgame
4. Detective Pikachu (low chance)

5. Godzilla 2 (low chance)

6. The Secret Life Of Pets 2
7. Toy Story 4

8. Spider-Man: Far From Home

9. The Lion King

10. Hobbs and Shaw (low chance)

11. IT: Chapter 2

12. Joker (low chance)

13. Frozen 2

14. Jumanji 3

15. Star Wars IX

 

 

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Glass is the first film of 2019. So next up:

1) The Upside

2) Marvel

3) Dragon

4) Us

5) Dumbo

6) Lego

7)Shazzam

8: Avengers: Endgame

9) Pikachu

10) John Wick

11) Godzilla

12) Rocketman

13) Pets

14) MIB

15) Toy Story 4

16) Shaft

17) Conjuring

18) Spider Man

19) Lion King

20) Hollywood

21) Hobbs/Shaw 

22) IT 2

23) Joker

24) Terminator

25) Sleep

26) Frozen 2

27) Jumanji 2

28) Star Wars 

29) Cats

30) 1917

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Between January and February, solid guess is anywhere from 4 (The Upside, Glass, The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part and How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World) to 5 movies (the aforementioned 4 and Alita: Battle Angel) over 100M DOM - Alita is still an incognito due to its 5-day opening.

 

Either way, even if we have 4 Jan/Feb 100M strikes, it will be above last year at the same point in time, which gave us no Jan movies past the mark and only 3 Feb movies (Black Panther, Peter Rabbit and Fifty Shades Freed). While with 5, it'd be tied with the 2018 number with March movies added (the three from Feb, A Wrinkle In Time and Ready Player One). It'd also be outpacing the record-holding year which is 2013: only 4 from Jan to March (Identity Thief, Oz The Great And Powerful, The Croods and GI Joe: Retaliation).

 

That is a good step in the right direction, despite the overall bombage/disappointment of the box office thus far. And that's just Jan and Feb alone. March this year doesn't look like the wasteland from last year, as Captain Marvel, Us and Dumbo are all strong contenders-to-locks for 100M, so 2019 could start really pacing ahead.

Edited by MCKillswitch123
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So (the second number in brackets is just a really, really bad guess; the first number is just which hundred million I think it will definitely gross, if that is a x, it means that I doubt it will be able to gross more than a hundred))

We have

Glass (100/112)

Upside (Surprise) (100/110)

 

And:

The Lego Movie 2 (100/105)

Alita (100/120)

HTTYD 3 (100/150)

 

And then:

March:

Captain Marvel (300/425)

Us (100/185)

Dumbo (100/175) (am I underestimating this)

 

April:

Shazam (100/165) (Probably underestimating this, but this honestly seems dead)

After (x/100, though I'd say about 50M for this one) (No one should estimate who ever watches these movies, FS1-3 grosse 166-100M)

Hellboy (x/100)

Endgame (500/700)

 

May:

Pikachu (200/350) 

John Wick (x/110)

Aladdin (100/195) (This should be at least a TJB / more like B&tB)

Godzilla (100/205)

Rocketman (x/100)

 

June:

SLOP (200/325)

Dark Phoenix (x/105)

MiB (100/150)

TS4 (200/375)

Yesterday (x/125)

 

July:

SM: FfH (300/320)

Conjuring (x/105)

TLK (400/750) 

Hollywood (100/180)

 

August:

Hobbs & Shaw (200/240)

New Mutants (x/110)

Artemis Fowl (x/100)

Angry Birds 2 (x/100)

 

September:

It 2 (200/270)

 

October:

Joker (200/250)

Maybe the Blumhouse horror?

 

November:

Terminator (x/115)

Doctor Sleep (x/100)

Last Christmas (100/100)

Kingsman (x/105)

Frozen 2 (400/500)

 

Dezember:

Jumanji (300/350)

SW IX (500/650)

Cats (100/165)

Little Women (x/125)

 

So (in brackets is current record)

100: 27 - 41 (35)

200: 14 (13)

300: 7 - 11 (9)

400: 4 - 5 (4)

500: 2 - 4 (3)

600: 0 - 3  (3)

700: 0 - 2 (1)

Edited by Taruseth
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While the amount of $100M films is a lot more of a crapshoot, I think there's a good to great chance that most if not all of the other milestone records are broken.

 

The numbered films are ones that I think are more or less guaranteed, but I think at least a few of the good shot selections will come through to help all of these records:

 

200M (record: 13)
1. Captain Marvel
2. Shazam
3. Avengers: Endgame
4. Pokemon: Detective Pikachu
5. The Secret Life of Pets 2
6. Toy Story 4
7. Spider-Man: Homecoming
8. The Lion King
9. It: Chapter 2
10. Frozen 2
11. Star Wars: Episode IX
Good Shots: Us, Dumbo, Aladdin, Godzilla, MIBI, Hobbs & Shaw, Joker, Jumanji 3 (only cuz it might not make the schedule, otherwise guaranteed), plus those randoms surprise hits

 

300M (record: 9)
1. Captain Marvel
2. Avengers: Endgame
3. Pokemon: Detective Pikachu
4. Toy Story 4
5. Spider-Man: Homecoming
6. The Lion King
7. Frozen 2
8. Star Wars: Episode IX
Good Shots: Shazam, Aladdin (decent shot at best), SLOP 2, It 2, Joker, Jumanji 3, maybe one surprise

 

400M (record: 4)
1. Avengers: Endgame
2. The Lion King
3. Frozen 2
4. Star Wars: Episode IX
Good Shots: Captain Marvel, Pikachu, Toy Story 4

 

500M (record: 3)
1. Avengers: Endgame
2. The Lion King
3. Star Wars: Episode IX
Good Shots: Pikachu, Frozen 2

 

600M (record: 3)

1. Avengers: Endgame

2. The Lion King

Good Shots: Pikachu, Frozen 2, Star Wars 9

 

700M (record: 1) (this will definitely be the hardest one)

Decent Shots: Endgame, Lion King

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Jan

Glass

The Upside

 

Feb

Lego Movie 2

How to Train Your Dragon 3

 

Mar

Captain Marvel 

Dumbo 
Us 

 

Apr

Avengers Endgame

 

May

Detective Pikachu

Aladdin 

Godzilla King of the Monsters 

Rocketman 

 

Jun

Toy Story 4 

Secret Life of Pets 2

Men in Black International

Child's Play 

Dark Phoenix 

 

Jul
The Lion King
Spider-man Far From Home 

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

 

Aug

Hobbs and Shaw

 

Sep

It Chapter 2 

 

Oct

Joker

Gemini Man 

 

Nov
Frozen 2 
Margie Claus 

Sonic the Hedgehog

You Are My Friend 
Doctor Sleep

Dec
Star Wars Episode IX 
Jumanji II 
Cats

 

Total - 32

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Updated Predictions 22 Feb 19

 

$100M so far

 

1. Glass

 

This weekend

 

2. The Upside

 

Beyond

 

3. The Lego Movie 2

4. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

5. Captain Marvel

6. Us

7. Dumbo

8. Shazam!

9. Hellboy

10. Avengers: Endgame

11. Detective Pikachu

12. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum

13. Aladdin

14. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

15. The Secret Life of Pets

16. Toy Story 4

17. Spider-Man: Far From Home

18. The Lion King

19. Once Upon a Time In Hollywood

20. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw

21. The Angry Birds Movie 2

22. It: Chapter 2

23. Joker

24. Zombieland 2

25. Kingsman 3

26. Frozen 2

27. Jumanji 3

28. Cats

29. Star Wars 9

 

Long Shots

 

30. Alita: Battle Angel - Really depends on holds this weekend and beyond

31. The Curse of La Llorona

32. Ma - Blumhouse could be a hit

33. Rocketman - A lot of potential in this film, obvously not going to be a Bohemian Rhapsody, but could maybe pass $100M

34. Dark Phoenix - X-Men, could see it pass $100M, but can also see total flop

35. Men In Black International/Shaft - I think one will probably hit.

36. Child's Play

37. Untitled Annabelle film

38. Dora the Explorer

39. Spies in Disguise

40. The Addam's Family

41. Sonic the Hedgehog

42. Masters of the Universe

43. 1917

 

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