2019 $100M Films. Can it be a record year?

[Eric Duncan]

1. The Upside

2. Glass

3. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

4. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

5. Captain Marvel

6. Us

7. Dumbo

8. Shazam!

9. Avengers: Endgame

10. Pokemon Detective Pikachu

11. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum

12. Aladdin

13. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

14. The Secret Life of Pets 2

15. Toy Story 4

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home

17. The Lion King

18. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

19. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw

20. It: Chapter 2

21. Joker

22. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

23. Doctor Sleep

24. Last Christmas

25. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

26. Frozen 2

27. Jumanji: The Next Level

28. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

29. Little Women

30. Abominable

31. Zombieland 2: Double Tap

32. Terminator: Dark Fate

33. Charlie's Angles

34. Ford v Ferrarri

35. 1917

36. Just Mercy

 

30-36 are the films I would consider the most probably long shots for to 100M. Maybe throw in Hustlers or Ad Astra in there. Either way, this fall better see some real surprises if it wants to beat 2013

Edited August 28, 2019 by Eric!

[Dandeak2000]

Updates Throughout the Weekend 

 

$100M FILMS

1. Glass - February 14

2. The Upside - February 26

3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - March 5

4. Captain Marvel - March 9

5. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part - March 16

6. Us - March 29 

7. Shazam! - April 17

8. Dumbo - April 21

9. Avengers: Endgame - April 26

10. Detective Pikachu - May 22

11. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - May 26

12. Aladdin - May 27

13. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - June 18

14. Godzilla: King of the Monsters - June 22

15. Toy Story 4 - June 23

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 5

17. The Lion King - July 20

18. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - August 10

19. Once Upon a Time In... Hollywood - August 11

 

$200M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 15

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 27

3. Aladdin - June 5

4. Toy Story 4 - June 29

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 9

6. The Lion King - July 22

 

$300M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 23

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 28

3. Aladdin - June 29

4. Toy Story 4 - July 7

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 19

6. The Lion King - July 27

 

$400M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - April 21

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 30

3. Toy Story 4 - July 31

4. The Lion King - August 2

 

$500M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 3

2. The Lion King - August 21

 

$600M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 5

 

$700M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 11

 

$800M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 26

 

NEXT:

20. IT: Chapter 2 - September 6

21. Joker - October 4

22. Gemini Man - October 11

23. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - October 18

24. Terminator: Dark Fate - November 1 (maybe)

25. Doctor Sleep - November 8 (maybe)

26. Frozen 2 - November 22

27. Jumanji 2: The Next Level - December 13

28. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - December 20

29. Cats - December 20

30. Little Women - December 25 (maybe)

31. Spies in Disguise - December 25 (maybe)

 

2013-2018 Charts

Spoiler

2018 Chart as of Sep 30

 

1. Black Panther

2. Ready Player One

3. Peter Rabbit

4. A Wrinkle In Time

5. Fifty Shades of Grey

6. Rampage

7. A Quiet Place

8. Avengers: Infinity War

9. Deadpool 2

10. Solo: A Star Wars Story

11. Incredibles 2

12. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

13. Ocean's 8

14. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

15. Ant-Man and the Wasp

16. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

17. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

18. The Equalizer 2

19. Crazy Rich Asians

20. The Meg

21. The Nun

 

2017 - releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Beauty and the Beast

2. Logan

3. Get Out

4. The LEGO Batman Movie

5. The Boss Baby

6. Kong: Skull Island

7. Split

8. Fifty Shades Darker

9. The Fate of the Furious

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2

11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales

12. Wonder Woman

13. Despicable Me 3

14. Cars 3

15. Transformers: The Last Knight

16. Baby Driver

17. Spider-Man: Homecoming

18. Dunkirk

19. War for the Planet of the Apes

20. Girls Trip

21. Annabelle: Creation

22. IT

23. Kingsman: The Golden Circle

 

2016 - releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Deadpool

2. Zootopia

3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

4. Kung Fu Panda 3

5. The Jungle Book

6. Captain America: Civil War

7. The Angry Birds Movie

8. X-Men: Apocalypse

9. Finding Dory

10. Central Intelligence

11. Independence Day: Resurgence

12. The Conjuring 2

13. The Secret Life of Pets

14. Jason Bourne

15. Star Trek Beyond

16. Ghostbusters (2016)

17. The Legend of Tarzan

18. Bad Moms

19. Suicide Squad

20. Sully

 

2015 - Releases as of Sep 30

 

1. The Spongebob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water

2. Kingsman: The Secret Service

3. Fifty Shades of Grey

4. Cinderella

5. The Divergent Series: Insurgent

6. Home

7. Furious 7

8. Avengers: Age of Ultron

9. Pitch Perfect 2

10. Mad Max: Fury Road

11. San Andreas

12. Jurassic World

13. Inside Out

14. Spy

15. Minions

16. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

17. Ant-Man

18. Trainwreck

19. Straight Outta Compton

20. Hotel Transylvania 2

 

2014 - Releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Ride Along

2. The LEGO Movie

3. Divergent

4. Mr. Peabody and Sherman

5. 300: Rise of an Empire

6. Noah

7. Captain America: The Winter Soldier

8. Rio 2

9. Maleficent

10. X-Men: Days of Future Past

11. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

12. Godzilla

13. Neighbors

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. 22 Jump Street

16. How to Train Your Dragon 2

17. The Fault in our Stars

18. Edge of Tomorrow

19. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

20. Lucy

21. Guardians of the Galaxy

22. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

23. The Maze Runner

24. The Equalizer

 

2013 - Releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Identity Thief

2. Oz the Great and Powerful

3. The Croods

4. G.I. Joe: Retaliation

5. Iron Man 3

6. Fast & Furious 6

7. Star Trek Into Darkness

8. The Great Gatsby

9. Now You See Me

10. The Hangover Part III

11. Epic

12. Man of Steel

13. Monsters University

14. World War Z

15. The Heat

16. This Is The End

17. Despicable Me 2

18. The Conjuring

19. Grown Ups 2

20. The Wolverine

21. Pacific Rim

22. We're the Millers

23. Lee Daniels' The Butler

24. Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 2

 

Edited September 2, 2019 by Mike Hunt

[stripe]

What about Hustlers? BOpro tracking suggests a solid hit. Can it overperform to reach 100M?

[Avatree]

1 hour ago, stripe said:

What about Hustlers? BOpro tracking suggests a solid hit. Can it overperform to reach 100M?

Am I missing something? Just looked it up and it's a comedy starring a load of pop stars?

Why TF would that make any money at all let alone 100M!

[stripe]

2 hours ago, Avatree said:

Am I missing something? Just looked it up and it's a comedy starring a load of pop stars?

Why TF would that make any money at all let alone 100M!

 

I am as surprised as you. But tracking suggests some kind of breakout there. Lets see

 

Another movie that could hit that mark is Gemini man

[Avatree]

55 minutes ago, stripe said:

 

I am as surprised as you. But tracking suggests some kind of breakout there. Lets see

 

Another movie that could hit that mark is Gemini man

Boxofficepro has it at 60M, that's quite generous and 100M would still be a 70% over their prediction

[Dandeak2000]

I think I'll hold off on putting it on the list right now, but it could hit the mark if it really breaks out. The top end of the Opening Weekend projections are around $30M, I could see it legging out to $100M if that ends up being the case. I'll definitely add it next week if tracking continues to trend upwards.

 

As for Gemini Man, I think I'll add it to the list, it's definitely a candidate for $100M if it can get in the $30's in its opening weekend.

[stripe]

1 hour ago, Avatree said:

Boxofficepro has it at 60M, that's quite generous and 100M would still be a 70% over their prediction

 

73M after increasing their predictions a huge 22%. They're smelling something. Of course, they can be wrong

[Dandeak2000]

Updates Throughout the Weekend 

 

$100M FILMS

1. Glass - February 14

2. The Upside - February 26

3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - March 5

4. Captain Marvel - March 9

5. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part - March 16

6. Us - March 29 

7. Shazam! - April 17

8. Dumbo - April 21

9. Avengers: Endgame - April 26

10. Detective Pikachu - May 22

11. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - May 26

12. Aladdin - May 27

13. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - June 18

14. Godzilla: King of the Monsters - June 22

15. Toy Story 4 - June 23

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 5

17. The Lion King - July 20

18. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - August 10

19. Once Upon a Time In... Hollywood - August 11

20. IT: Chapter Two - September 10

 

$200M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 15

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 27

3. Aladdin - June 5

4. Toy Story 4 - June 29

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 9

6. The Lion King - July 22

 

$300M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 23

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 28

3. Aladdin - June 29

4. Toy Story 4 - July 7

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 19

6. The Lion King - July 27

 

$400M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - April 21

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 30

3. Toy Story 4 - July 31

4. The Lion King - August 2

 

$500M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 3

2. The Lion King - August 21

 

$600M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 5

 

$700M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 11

 

$800M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 26

 

NEXT:

21. Hustlers - September 13 (maybe)

22. Joker - October 4

23. Gemini Man - October 11 (maybe)

24. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - October 18

25. Terminator: Dark Fate - November 1 (maybe)

26. Last Christmas - November 8 (maybe)

27. Doctor Sleep - November 8 (maybe)

28. Frozen 2 - November 22

29. Jumanji 2: The Next Level - December 13

30. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - December 20

31. Little Women - December 25 (maybe)

 

2013-2018 Charts

Spoiler

2018 Chart as of Sep 30

 

1. Black Panther

2. Ready Player One

3. Peter Rabbit

4. A Wrinkle In Time

5. Fifty Shades of Grey

6. Rampage

7. A Quiet Place

8. Avengers: Infinity War

9. Deadpool 2

10. Solo: A Star Wars Story

11. Incredibles 2

12. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

13. Ocean's 8

14. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

15. Ant-Man and the Wasp

16. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

17. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

18. The Equalizer 2

19. Crazy Rich Asians

20. The Meg

21. The Nun

 

2017 - releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Beauty and the Beast

2. Logan

3. Get Out

4. The LEGO Batman Movie

5. The Boss Baby

6. Kong: Skull Island

7. Split

8. Fifty Shades Darker

9. The Fate of the Furious

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2

11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales

12. Wonder Woman

13. Despicable Me 3

14. Cars 3

15. Transformers: The Last Knight

16. Baby Driver

17. Spider-Man: Homecoming

18. Dunkirk

19. War for the Planet of the Apes

20. Girls Trip

21. Annabelle: Creation

22. IT

23. Kingsman: The Golden Circle

 

2016 - releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Deadpool

2. Zootopia

3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

4. Kung Fu Panda 3

5. The Jungle Book

6. Captain America: Civil War

7. The Angry Birds Movie

8. X-Men: Apocalypse

9. Finding Dory

10. Central Intelligence

11. Independence Day: Resurgence

12. The Conjuring 2

13. The Secret Life of Pets

14. Jason Bourne

15. Star Trek Beyond

16. Ghostbusters (2016)

17. The Legend of Tarzan

18. Bad Moms

19. Suicide Squad

20. Sully

 

2015 - Releases as of Sep 30

 

1. The Spongebob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water

2. Kingsman: The Secret Service

3. Fifty Shades of Grey

4. Cinderella

5. The Divergent Series: Insurgent

6. Home

7. Furious 7

8. Avengers: Age of Ultron

9. Pitch Perfect 2

10. Mad Max: Fury Road

11. San Andreas

12. Jurassic World

13. Inside Out

14. Spy

15. Minions

16. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

17. Ant-Man

18. Trainwreck

19. Straight Outta Compton

20. Hotel Transylvania 2

 

2014 - Releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Ride Along

2. The LEGO Movie

3. Divergent

4. Mr. Peabody and Sherman

5. 300: Rise of an Empire

6. Noah

7. Captain America: The Winter Soldier

8. Rio 2

9. Maleficent

10. X-Men: Days of Future Past

11. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

12. Godzilla

13. Neighbors

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. 22 Jump Street

16. How to Train Your Dragon 2

17. The Fault in our Stars

18. Edge of Tomorrow

19. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

20. Lucy

21. Guardians of the Galaxy

22. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

23. The Maze Runner

24. The Equalizer

 

2013 - Releases as of Sep 30

 

1. Identity Thief

2. Oz the Great and Powerful

3. The Croods

4. G.I. Joe: Retaliation

5. Iron Man 3

6. Fast & Furious 6

7. Star Trek Into Darkness

8. The Great Gatsby

9. Now You See Me

10. The Hangover Part III

11. Epic

12. Man of Steel

13. Monsters University

14. World War Z

15. The Heat

16. This Is The End

17. Despicable Me 2

18. The Conjuring

19. Grown Ups 2

20. The Wolverine

21. Pacific Rim

22. We're the Millers

23. Lee Daniels' The Butler

24. Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 2

 

[Dandeak2000]

$100M FILMS

1. Glass - February 14

2. The Upside - February 26

3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - March 5

4. Captain Marvel - March 9

5. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part - March 16

6. Us - March 29 

7. Shazam! - April 17

8. Dumbo - April 21

9. Avengers: Endgame - April 26

10. Detective Pikachu - May 22

11. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - May 26

12. Aladdin - May 27

13. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - June 18

14. Godzilla: King of the Monsters - June 22

15. Toy Story 4 - June 23

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 5

17. The Lion King - July 20

18. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - August 10

19. Once Upon a Time In... Hollywood - August 11

20. IT: Chapter Two - September 10

21. Joker - October 7

 

$200M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 15

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 27

3. Aladdin - June 5

4. Toy Story 4 - June 29

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 9

6. The Lion King - July 22

7. IT: Chapter 2 - October 5

 

$300M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 23

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 28

3. Aladdin - June 29

4. Toy Story 4 - July 7

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 19

6. The Lion King - July 27

 

$400M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - April 21

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 30

3. Toy Story 4 - July 31

4. The Lion King - August 2

 

$500M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 3

2. The Lion King - August 21

 

$600M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 5

 

$700M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 11

 

$800M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 26

 

NEXT:

21. Hustlers - September 13 (maybe)

22. Joker - October 4

23. Gemini Man - October 11 (maybe)

24. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - October 18

25. Terminator: Dark Fate - November 1 (maybe)

26. Last Christmas - November 8 (maybe)

27. Doctor Sleep - November 8 (maybe)

28. Frozen 2 - November 22

29. Jumanji 2: The Next Level - December 13

30. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - December 20

31. Little Women - December 25 (maybe)

 

2013-2018 Charts

Spoiler

2018 Chart as of Oct 31

 

1. Black Panther

2. Ready Player One

3. Peter Rabbit

4. A Wrinkle In Time

5. Fifty Shades of Grey

6. Rampage

7. A Quiet Place

8. Avengers: Infinity War

9. Deadpool 2

10. Solo: A Star Wars Story

11. Incredibles 2

12. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

13. Ocean's 8

14. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

15. Ant-Man and the Wasp

16. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

17. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

18. The Equalizer 2

19. Crazy Rich Asians

20. The Meg

21. The Nun

22. A Star Is Born

23. Venom

24. Halloween

 

2017 - releases as of Oct 31

 

1. Beauty and the Beast

2. Logan

3. Get Out

4. The LEGO Batman Movie

5. The Boss Baby

6. Kong: Skull Island

7. Split

8. Fifty Shades Darker

9. The Fate of the Furious

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2

11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales

12. Wonder Woman

13. Despicable Me 3

14. Cars 3

15. Transformers: The Last Knight

16. Baby Driver

17. Spider-Man: Homecoming

18. Dunkirk

19. War for the Planet of the Apes

20. Girls Trip

21. Annabelle: Creation

22. IT

23. Kingsman: The Golden Circle

 

2016 - releases as of Oct 31

 

1. Deadpool

2. Zootopia

3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

4. Kung Fu Panda 3

5. The Jungle Book

6. Captain America: Civil War

7. The Angry Birds Movie

8. X-Men: Apocalypse

9. Finding Dory

10. Central Intelligence

11. Independence Day: Resurgence

12. The Conjuring 2

13. The Secret Life of Pets

14. Jason Bourne

15. Star Trek Beyond

16. Ghostbusters (2016)

17. The Legend of Tarzan

18. Bad Moms

19. Suicide Squad

20. Sully

 

2015 - Releases as of Oct 31

 

1. The Spongebob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water

2. Kingsman: The Secret Service

3. Fifty Shades of Grey

4. Cinderella

5. The Divergent Series: Insurgent

6. Home

7. Furious 7

8. Avengers: Age of Ultron

9. Pitch Perfect 2

10. Mad Max: Fury Road

11. San Andreas

12. Jurassic World

13. Inside Out

14. Spy

15. Minions

16. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

17. Ant-Man

18. Trainwreck

19. Straight Outta Compton

20. Hotel Transylvania 2

21. The Martian

 

2014 - Releases as of Oct 31

 

1. Ride Along

2. The LEGO Movie

3. Divergent

4. Mr. Peabody and Sherman

5. 300: Rise of an Empire

6. Noah

7. Captain America: The Winter Soldier

8. Rio 2

9. Maleficent

10. X-Men: Days of Future Past

11. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

12. Godzilla

13. Neighbors

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. 22 Jump Street

16. How to Train Your Dragon 2

17. The Fault in our Stars

18. Edge of Tomorrow

19. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

20. Lucy

21. Guardians of the Galaxy

22. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

23. The Maze Runner

24. The Equalizer

25. Gone Girl

 

2013 - Releases as of Oct 31

 

1. Identity Thief

2. Oz the Great and Powerful

3. The Croods

4. G.I. Joe: Retaliation

5. Iron Man 3

6. Fast & Furious 6

7. Star Trek Into Darkness

8. The Great Gatsby

9. Now You See Me

10. The Hangover Part III

11. Epic

12. Man of Steel

13. Monsters University

14. World War Z

15. The Heat

16. This Is The End

17. Despicable Me 2

18. The Conjuring

19. Grown Ups 2

20. The Wolverine

21. Pacific Rim

22. We're the Millers

23. Lee Daniels' The Butler

24. Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 2

25. Gravity

26. Captain Phillips

27. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

 

[Porthos]

Hustlers crossed 100m this weekend, making it number 22 on the list.  Maleficent 2 looks pretty likely unless the bottom falls out.

 

The Addams Family has a decent shot as well now, I think.  Gonna depend on drops, but it's still looking to sneak over it.

 

Downton Abbey, on the other hand, is gonna need a lot of help as it keeps looking like it'll just miss in the 97-98 range.  But maybe it'll get an expansion/boost somewhere along the line.

 

Gemini Man is DOA.

[MCKillswitch123]

01. The Upside

02. Glass

03. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

04. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

05. Captain Marvel

06. Us

07. Dumbo

08. Shazam!

09. Avengers: Endgame

10. Pokémon: Detective Pikachu

11. John Wick: Chapter 3, Parabellum

12. Aladdin

13. Godzilla: King Of The Monsters

14. The Secret Life Of Pets 2

15. Toy Story 4

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home

17. The Lion King

18. Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

19. Fast And Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw

20. It: Chapter Two

21. Hustlers

22. Joker

 

Downton Abbey is not gonna make it as it's too burned out. The Addams Family has a good shot at it, as does Maleficent. No idea if Terminator is tracking good enough to hit 100 or not, but let's say it opens to around 25-30... with the help from Thanksgiving and the Holidays as well as good wom, it could potentially sneak past the mark. Doubt Doctor Sleep gets there, sounds way too much like a Blade Runner 2049 2.0, while Last Christmas would have to rely entirely on wom, albeit it's not impossible. Charlie's Angels is a nope. Ford V Ferrari is apparently a 20's opener, but I'm counting on crazy wom and holidays to get it there. Frozen, Jumanji and Star Wars are locks. Cats is probably going to be an Into The Woods-type performer. Spies In Disguise is another Ferdinand in the making. Bombshell and Little Women could cannibalize each other, but I see them both as strong possibilities. 1917 and Just Mercy are also potential strong performers, but I have less faith on them.

 

23. The Addams Family

24. Maleficent: Mistress Of Evil

25. Terminator: Dark Fate

26. Last Christmas

27. Ford V Ferrari

28. Frozen II

29. Jumanji: The Next Level

30. Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker

31. Cats

32. Bombshell

33. Little Women

 

It depends on those last two I mentioned and maybe something unforeseen.

[Brainbug]

There is a possibility that more people will see Cats in cinema than Blade Runner 2049.

 

Let that sink in for a minute.

[filmlover]

I really don't see Bombshell doing all that well. Vice stalled at less than $50M last Christmas and that movie ended up maxing out its Oscar nom potential.

[Julian1410]

Knives out could maybe do it

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, Julian1410 said:

Knives out could maybe do it

If Murder on the Orient Express (2017) is any indication, probably need a 30m OW.

Quote

Date	Rank	Weekend	%± LW	Theaters	Change	Avg	To Date	Weekend

Nov 10-12	3	$28,681,472	-	3,341	-	$8,584	$28,681,472	1
Nov 17-19	5	$13,807,562	-51.9%	3,354	+13	$4,116	$51,735,924	2
Nov 24-26	6	$13,170,932	-4.6%	3,152	-202	$4,178	$74,364,192	3
Nov 22-26 Thanksgiving 5-Day	5	$18,732,675	-	3,214	-	$5,828	$74,364,192	-
Nov 23-26 Thanksgiving 4-Day	5	$16,183,741	-	3,214	-	$5,035	$74,364,192	-
Dec 1-3	6	$6,767,002	-48.6%	3,201	+49	$2,114	$84,839,515	4
Dec 8-10	7	$5,162,331	-23.7%	3,089	-112	$1,671	$92,769,846	5
Dec 15-17	9	$2,527,507	-51%	1,923	-1,166	$1,314	$97,310,249	6
Dec 22-24	22	$519,484	-79.4%	447	-1,476	$1,162	$99,241,467	7
Dec 22-25 Christmas long wknd	24	$722,895	-	361	-	$2,002	$99,444,878	-
Dec 29-31	23	$616,575	+18.7%	391	-56	$1,576	$100,619,624	8
Dec 29-Jan 1, 2018 New Year's long wknd	23	$813,279	-	391	-	$2,079	$100,816,328	-
Jan 5-7	24	$450,509	-26.9%	314	-77	$1,434	$101,555,644	9
Jan 12-14	27	$257,346	-42.9%	272	-42	$946	$101,985,707	10
Jan 12-15 MLK wknd	28	$309,423	-	272	-	$1,137	$102,037,784	-
Jan 19-21	30	$181,210	-29.6%	202	-70	$897	$102,303,321	11
Jan 26-28	34	$127,129	-29.8%	179	-23	$710	$102,513,318	12
Feb 2-4	35	$72,197	-43.2%	134	-45	$538	$102,641,814	13
Feb 9-11	45	$49,652	-31.2%	94	-40	$528	$102,726,660	14
Feb 16-18	53	$27,412	-44.8%	51	-43	$537	$102,783,519	15
Feb 16-19 Presidents' Day wknd	50	$33,549	-	51	-	$657	$102,789,656	-
Feb 23-25	62	$16,498	-39.8%	37	-14	$445	$102,816,689	16

 

 

(NOTE: BOM's new navigation is STILL a PITA, but old habits and all that)

 

Also has extra Early Screenings they've got for it on top of normal Thr Previews so that might factor in with the OW multi.

 

I suppose this being a new film without a relatively well known resolution might help the legs though.

Edited October 28, 2019 by Porthos
Decided to edit out weekly chart and edit in weekend chart

[forg]

Too bad for Downton Abbey if it ends up like Rocketman which really got close too 100M too

 

But not as close Christopher Robin was last year lol

[stripe]

17 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

01. The Upside

02. Glass

03. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

04. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

05. Captain Marvel

06. Us

07. Dumbo

08. Shazam!

09. Avengers: Endgame

10. Pokémon: Detective Pikachu

11. John Wick: Chapter 3, Parabellum

12. Aladdin

13. Godzilla: King Of The Monsters

14. The Secret Life Of Pets 2

15. Toy Story 4

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home

17. The Lion King

18. Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

19. Fast And Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw

20. It: Chapter Two

21. Hustlers

22. Joker

 

Downton Abbey is not gonna make it as it's too burned out. The Addams Family has a good shot at it, as does Maleficent. No idea if Terminator is tracking good enough to hit 100 or not, but let's say it opens to around 25-30... with the help from Thanksgiving and the Holidays as well as good wom, it could potentially sneak past the mark. Doubt Doctor Sleep gets there, sounds way too much like a Blade Runner 2049 2.0, while Last Christmas would have to rely entirely on wom, albeit it's not impossible. Charlie's Angels is a nope. Ford V Ferrari is apparently a 20's opener, but I'm counting on crazy wom and holidays to get it there. Frozen, Jumanji and Star Wars are locks. Cats is probably going to be an Into The Woods-type performer. Spies In Disguise is another Ferdinand in the making. Bombshell and Little Women could cannibalize each other, but I see them both as strong possibilities. 1917 and Just Mercy are also potential strong performers, but I have less faith on them.

 

23. The Addams Family

24. Maleficent: Mistress Of Evil

25. Terminator: Dark Fate

26. Last Christmas

27. Ford V Ferrari

28. Frozen II

29. Jumanji: The Next Level

30. Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker

31. Cats

32. Bombshell

33. Little Women

 

It depends on those last two I mentioned and maybe something unforeseen.

 

I would add Beautiful day in the neighbourhood to the mix.

 

Anyways, we won't reach the record this year. My guess

23. Addams

24. Maleficent

25. Terminator (and I'm optimistic)

26. Frozen 2

27. Beautiful Day in Neighbourhood

28. Jumanji

29. Star Wars

30. Cats

[Maxmoser3]

Really it all depends:

Addams Family will sneak past it. Same with Maleficent(November holds and Frozen 2 benefit).

 

For November locks are so far just Frozen 2. Dark horses or the no chances in hell seem like Terminator($85 million total), Charlie’s Angels($55 million total), and  Queen & Slim ($35 million total).The possibilities are Beautfiul Day In The Neighborhood, Doctor Sleep, and Ford Vs. Ferrari. 
 

Knives Out also has potential as well but could more likely perform in the $75-$80 million range. 
 

December Jumanji and Star Wars only locks for now. Richard Jewell will do more-so in the $50 million range. Cats has a shot considering Musicals have done surprisingly well in this slot, and with Taylor Swift could be a benefit to the film’s marketing and audience. 
 

1917 could be anywhere like The Revenant or Lone Survivor. To something in the range of films like War Horse for example. 

[Dandeak2000]

$100M FILMS

1. Glass - February 14

2. The Upside - February 26

3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World - March 5

4. Captain Marvel - March 9

5. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part - March 16

6. Us - March 29 

7. Shazam! - April 17

8. Dumbo - April 21

9. Avengers: Endgame - April 26

10. Detective Pikachu - May 22

11. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - May 26

12. Aladdin - May 27

13. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - June 18

14. Godzilla: King of the Monsters - June 22

15. Toy Story 4 - June 23

16. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 5

17. The Lion King - July 20

18. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - August 10

19. Once Upon a Time In... Hollywood - August 11

20. IT: Chapter Two - September 10

21. Joker - October 7

22. Hustlers - October 18

 

$200M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 15

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 27

3. Aladdin - June 5

4. Toy Story 4 - June 29

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 9

6. The Lion King - July 22

7. IT: Chapter 2 - October 5

8. Joker - October 14

 

$300M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - March 23

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 28

3. Aladdin - June 29

4. Toy Story 4 - July 7

5. Spider-Man: Far From Home - July 19

6. The Lion King - July 27

 

$400M FILMS

 

1. Captain Marvel - April 21

2. Avengers: Endgame - April 30

3. Toy Story 4 - July 31

4. The Lion King - August 2

 

$500M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 3

2. The Lion King - August 21

 

$600M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 5

 

$700M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 11

 

$800M FILMS

 

1. Avengers: Endgame - May 26

 

NEXT:

23. The Addams Family - October 11

24. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - October 18

25. Last Christmas - November 8 (maybe)

26. Doctor Sleep - November 8 (maybe)

27. Ford v. Ferrari - November 15

28. Frozen 2 - November 22

29. A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood - November 22 (maybe) 

30. Jumanji 2: The Next Level - December 13

31. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - December 20

32. Cats - December 20 (maybe)

33. Little Women - December 25 (maybe)

34. Spies in Disguise - December 25 (maybe)

 

2013-2018 Charts

 

 

 

 

2

Spoiler

2018 Chart as of Nov 30

 

1. Black Panther

2. Ready Player One

3. Peter Rabbit

4. A Wrinkle In Time

5. Fifty Shades of Grey

6. Rampage

7. A Quiet Place

8. Avengers: Infinity War

9. Deadpool 2

10. Solo: A Star Wars Story

11. Incredibles 2

12. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

13. Ocean's 8

14. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

15. Ant-Man and the Wasp

16. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

17. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

18. The Equalizer 2

19. Crazy Rich Asians

20. The Meg

21. The Nun

22. A Star Is Born

23. Venom

24. Halloween

25. The Grinch

26. Bohemian Rhapsody

27. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

28. Ralph Breaks The Internet

29. Creed 2

 

2017 - releases as of Nov 30

 

1. Beauty and the Beast

2. Logan

3. Get Out

4. The LEGO Batman Movie

5. The Boss Baby

6. Kong: Skull Island

7. Split

8. Fifty Shades Darker

9. The Fate of the Furious

10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2

11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales

12. Wonder Woman

13. Despicable Me 3

14. Cars 3

15. Transformers: The Last Knight

16. Baby Driver

17. Spider-Man: Homecoming

18. Dunkirk

19. War for the Planet of the Apes

20. Girls Trip

21. Annabelle: Creation

22. IT

23. Kingsman: The Golden Circle

24. Thor: Ragnarok

25. Justice League

26. Coco

27. Wonder

28. Daddy's Home

29. Murder on the Orient Express 

 

2016 - releases as of Nov 30

 

1. Deadpool

2. Zootopia

3. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice

4. Kung Fu Panda 3

5. The Jungle Book

6. Captain America: Civil War

7. The Angry Birds Movie

8. X-Men: Apocalypse

9. Finding Dory

10. Central Intelligence

11. Independence Day: Resurgence

12. The Conjuring 2

13. The Secret Life of Pets

14. Jason Bourne

15. Star Trek Beyond

16. Ghostbusters (2016)

17. The Legend of Tarzan

18. Bad Moms

19. Suicide Squad

20. Sully

21. Moana

22. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

23. Doctor Strange

24. Trolls

25. Arrival

 

2015 - Releases as of Nov 30

 

1. The Spongebob Movie: Sponge Out Of Water

2. Kingsman: The Secret Service

3. Fifty Shades of Grey

4. Cinderella

5. The Divergent Series: Insurgent

6. Home

7. Furious 7

8. Avengers: Age of Ultron

9. Pitch Perfect 2

10. Mad Max: Fury Road

11. San Andreas

12. Jurassic World

13. Inside Out

14. Spy

15. Minions

16. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

17. Ant-Man

18. Trainwreck

19. Straight Outta Compton

20. Hotel Transylvania 2

21. The Martian

22. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2

23. Spectre

24. The Peanuts Movie

25. The Good Dinosaur

26. Creed

 

2014 - Releases as of Nov 30

 

1. Ride Along

2. The LEGO Movie

3. Divergent

4. Mr. Peabody and Sherman

5. 300: Rise of an Empire

6. Noah

7. Captain America: The Winter Soldier

8. Rio 2

9. Maleficent

10. X-Men: Days of Future Past

11. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

12. Godzilla

13. Neighbors

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. 22 Jump Street

16. How to Train Your Dragon 2

17. The Fault in our Stars

18. Edge of Tomorrow

19. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

20. Lucy

21. Guardians of the Galaxy

22. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

23. The Maze Runner

24. The Equalizer

25. Gone Girl

26. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1

27. Big Hero 6

28. Interstellar

 

2013 - Releases as of Nov 30

 

1. Identity Thief

2. Oz the Great and Powerful

3. The Croods

4. G.I. Joe: Retaliation

5. Iron Man 3

6. Fast & Furious 6

7. Star Trek Into Darkness

8. The Great Gatsby

9. Now You See Me

10. The Hangover Part III

11. Epic

12. Man of Steel

13. Monsters University

14. World War Z

15. The Heat

16. This Is The End

17. Despicable Me 2

18. The Conjuring

19. Grown Ups 2

20. The Wolverine

21. Pacific Rim

22. We're the Millers

23. Lee Daniels' The Butler

24. Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 2

25. Gravity

26. Captain Phillips

27. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

28. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

29. Frozen

30. Thor: The Dark World