Valonqar Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 wait Harriet bombed? where are the reactions? It looked like shit but apparently it is? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted September 9, 2019 Author Share Posted September 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Valonqar said: wait Harriet bombed? where are the reactions? It looked like shit but apparently it is? No, I’m just feeling like it’ll end up below the line Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, The Panda said: No, I’m just feeling like it’ll end up below the line Fuck, I've just started to plot Hustlers rise. Don't do this to me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 Jojo Rabbit begins with a 45 on MC, oof. Definitely feeling it's out at this point. Ford v Ferrari might be the best shot for the entire Fox division at this point. Hopefully it does well at the box office in November. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 To me, only one between the Parasite and The farewell will be nominated for best picture. It is extremely hard to accommodate two asian-centric films in just 8-9 nominees As for the rest of the nominees, the box office will shape up their chances. Last year, First Man and Widow with Oscar friendly cast and crew, died off quickly after the flopped at the box office. Even Beale street got left out as too many black-centric film around (Black panther and blackkklansman) despite doing super good at indie market Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 Already seen and in the run Joker Once upon a time in Hollywood Farewell A beautiful day in the neighborhood Jojo Rabbit Ford v Ferrari Seen and... Maybe? Hustlers A hidden life Marriage story Unseen, but watch out! 1917 Irishman Queen and Slim Harriet Little Women 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Joker babyyyyyyy Marriage Story A Beautiful Day in The Neighborhood The Farewell The Irishman Parasite Little Women Ford v Ferrari Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 1. Marriage Story 2. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 3. Joker 4. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 5. Parasite 6. The Farewell 7. Ford v Ferrari 8. Little Women 9. Knives Out 10. Ad Astra Alt: The Irishman I feel very confident about the top 5 getting in and somewhat confident about Farewell and FVF. After that? 😬 We’ll see where the race/narrative ends up after TIFF ends Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 Everyone doubting Marty, smdh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 Why are people going with 10 noms when that won't likely happen? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: Why are people going with 10 noms when that won't likely happen? Pretty sure we're just guessing what the top 10 contenders are at the moment based on likelihood. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, stripe said: Already seen and in the run Jojo Rabbit Seen and... Maybe? Marriage story is this a joke? How's Marriage Story with 95 MC a maybe while Jojo with 45 is in the running? Edited September 9, 2019 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted September 9, 2019 Share Posted September 9, 2019 1 hour ago, lorddemaxus said: Why are people going with 10 noms when that won't likely happen? it's a top 10 for right now. won't be an entirely accurate guess obviously because it's still 4 months away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Marriage Story The Farewell Parasite The Irishman Knives Out Once Upon a Time In Hollywood Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood On the cusp: Ford v Ferrari, The Hustlers, Waves in The Running: Uncut Gems, The Two Popes, The Lighthouse As of now the only potential players that haven't been screened yet are The Irishman, 1917 and Little Women. Scorsese gets my benefit of the doubt, the other two - much less so. I'm not going in for Little Women - the dozenth adaptation of the novel when there are more interesting fresh movies by other female directors in the hunt? Right now, I'm not seeing Joker in Best Picture. It has a lot of passionate supporters but Top Critics so far on RT overall isn't too hot on it and it's sitting at 75 on MC. Phoenix is it's big chance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 (edited) 11 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: As of now the only potential players that haven't been screened yet are The Irishman, 1917 and Little Women. Scorsese gets my benefit of the doubt, the other two - much less so. I'm not going in for Little Women - the dozenth adaptation of the novel when there are more interesting fresh movies by other female directors in the hunt? It was talked about a while ago but Little Women is that end-of-year, buzzed-about-from-announcement contender this year. Should also make a nice sum of money over the holidays too. Unless the movie is a Nine-level flop, it should be safely in. Edited September 10, 2019 by filmlover 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 8 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: Right now, I'm not seeing Joker in Best Picture. It has a lot of passionate supporters but Top Critics so far on RT overall isn't too hot on it and it's sitting at 75 on MC. Phoenix is it's big chance. You're valuing the RT score way too much. As long as the movie has an metacritic score of above 60, it has a good chance of getting nominated. All that matters now is the campaign. Can see this do well in the Oscars for similar reasons Bohemian Rhapsody did (about a person people from multiple generations know about, amazing lead performance, and great box-office). WB is already doing an amazing job with the campaign for this movie so I think it'll get in. I think it will get nominations for adapted screenplay, score, and editing too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 1 minute ago, lorddemaxus said: You're valuing the RT score way too much. As long as the movie has an metacritic score of above 60, it has a good chance of getting nominated. All that matters now is the campaign. Can see this do well in the Oscars for similar reasons Bohemian Rhapsody did (about a person people from multiple generations know about, amazing lead performance, and great box-office). WB is already doing an amazing job with the campaign for this movie so I think it'll get in. I think it will get nominations for adapted screenplay, score, and editing too. Currently, I don't see it winning lots of critics award leading into Oscar (except for Phoenix) which is a big part of any Oscar campaign and there have been a lot of high quality films coming out of these festivals this year. Though I'm still scratching my head about it's inclusion BR was a $900m behemoth "fun movie" that most importantly appealed to the older demos of the Academy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 (edited) 16 minutes ago, filmlover said: It was talked about a while ago but Little Women is that end-of-year, buzzed-about-from-announcement contender this year. Should also make a nice sum of money over the holidays too. Unless the movie is a Nine-level flop, it should be safely in. I just don't get it, probably b/c I've already seen about 5 versions of it. It would be far more exciting if Neon could get the raved about Portrait of A Lady n Fire into the race but I'm not holding my breath. Edited September 10, 2019 by TalismanRing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: I just don't get it, probably b/c I've already seen about 5 versions of it. Being the umpteenth version of A Star is Born (and that's just including official remakes) didn't hold that movie back from coming close to maxing out its Oscar nom potential last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 1 minute ago, filmlover said: Being the umpteenth version of A Star is Born (and that's just including official remakes) didn't hold that movie back from coming close to maxing out its Oscar nom potential last year. At least that one had a lot of original music to make it a bit different. I'd be more interested if they were adapting the opera version of Little Women. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
