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Best Picture Predictions - 2019

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2 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Mid-november BP nom predictions (ranked):

 

1. The Irishman

2. Marriage Story

3. Parasite

4. JoJo Rabbit

5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

6. Joker

7. 1917

8. Little Women

 

 

 

as long as The Irishman doesn't win BP, all of these choices are good to excellent. 

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16 hours ago, RichWS said:

In order, these six feel like no-brainers:

 

The Irishman 

Once Upon a Time

Marriage Story

Jojo Rabbit

Parasite

1917

 

As for #7-10, I'd go....

 

FvF

Joker

Little Women

Farewell

 

That's it. With possible surge for Bombshell, Beautiful Day in Neighborhood, A Hidden Life and Richard Jewell. Though it's really unprobable given the strong/great possition of the top 10 you've marked

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17 minutes ago, belligerent talking robot said:

there's obviously going to be like 10 movies coming out in limited release in December to steal the hype

 

10 movies? LOL

Also, December hype already focused on three strong movies: Little Women, 1917 and Bombshell. Can't see limited releases like Uncut gems, Just Mercy or Clemency geting enough attention. In fact, most of the limited releases are already seen and didn't steal hype

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My top 9 picks so far

1. Irishman 

2. 1917

3. Little Woman

4. Parasite

5. Once upon the time in Holly

6. Marriage story

7. Ford v Ferrari 

8. Jojo Rabbit

9. Joker

 

Except for the top5 , the rest of 4 are kind of unstable in the race. 

 

i wish the farewell can miraculously sneak in.  

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1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

No way these guys are major. They have Best Blockbuster, Best Horror, etc categories which automatically means not serious. They clearly want to nominate everyone. :lol:

 

It used to be called the Los Angeles Online Film Critics Society or something like that. They're new. but I think they're a fairly important precursor that balances the old voice with the new voice.

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Here's the full list of HCA nominees for quick access:

 

Spoiler

Best Picture

1917
Booksmart
The Farewell
The Irishman
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Parasite
Marriage Story
Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Waves

 

Best Actor

Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My Name
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Taron Egerton, Rocketman

 

Best Actress

Awkwafina, The Farewell
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Renée Zellweger, Judy
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

 

Best Supporting Actor

Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy
Sterling K. Brown, Waves
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

 

Best Supporting Actress

Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Margot Robbie, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Taylor Russell, Waves
Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit
Steven Zaillian, The Irishman
Anthony McCarten, The Two Popes
Scott Silver and Todd Phillips, Joker
Lorene Scafaria, Hustlers

 

Best Original Screenplay

Bong Joon-ho & Han Jin-won, Parasite
Emily Halpern, Sarah Haskins, Susanna Fogel, & Katie Silberman, Booksmart
Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Rian Johnson, Knives Out

 

Best Male Director

Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Taika Waititi, Jojo Rabbit

 

Best Female Director

Alma Har’el, Honey Boy
Greta Gerwig, Little Women
Lorene Scafaria, Hustlers
Lulu Wang, The Farewell
Olivia Wilde, Booksmart

 

Best Performance by an Actor or Actress 23 and Under

Kaitlyn Dever, Booksmart
Julia Butters, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Noah Jupe, Honey Boy
Roman Griffin Davis, Jojo Rabbit
Thomasin McKenzie, Jojo Rabbit

 

Breakthrough Performance

Jessie Buckley, Wild Rose
Kelvin Harrison Jr, Waves
Paul Walter Hauser, Richard Jewell
Taylor Russell, Waves
Zack Gottsagen, The Peanut Butter Falcon

 

Best Cast

Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
Knives Out
Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Waves

 

Best First Feature

Brittany Runs A Marathon
Booksmart
Honey Boy
The Peanut Butter Falcon
Queen & Slim

 

Best Independent Film

Booksmart
The Farewell
Honey Boy
Luce
Waves

 

Best Action/War Film

1917
Avengers: Endgame
Captain Marvel
Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw
John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum

 

Best Animated Film

Abominable
Frozen II
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

 

Best Blockbuster

Avengers: Endgame
Captain Marvel
Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Shazam!
Spider-Man: Far From Home

 

Best Comedy/Musical

Booksmart
Blinded by The Light
Dolemite is My Name
Long Shot
Rocketman

 

Best Documentary

American Factory
Apollo 11
Hail Satan?
The Kingmaker
Love, Antosha

 

Best Foreign Language Film

The Farewell (US/China)
Monos (Colombia)
Pain and Glory (Spain)
Parasite (South Korea)
Portrait of a Lady on Fire (France)

 

Best Horror Film

Crawl
Doctor Sleep
Midsommar
Ready or Not
Us

 

Best Animated or VFX Performance

Josh Brolin, Avengers: Endgame
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Rosa Salazar, Alita: Battle Angel
Ryan Reynolds, Pokemon Detective Pikachu
Tom Hanks, Toy Story 4

 

Best Cinematography

Drew Daniel, Waves
Jarin Blaschke, The Lighthouse
Lawrence Sher, Joker
Robert Richardson, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Roger Deakins, 1917

 

Best Costume Design

Arianne Phillips, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Julian Day, Rocketman
Jacqueline Durran, Little Women
Ruth E Carter, Dolemite is My Name
Mark Bridges, Joker

 

Best Editing

Fred Raskin, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Lee Smith, 1917
Michael McCusker, Ford V. Ferrari
Thelma Schoonmaker, The Irishman
Yang Jin-mo, Parasite

 

Best Hair and Makeup

Judy
Bombshell
Joker
The Irishman
Rocketman

 

Best Original Song

“Catchy Song,” The Lego Movie: The Second Part
“Glasgow,” Wild Rose
“(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again,” Rocketman
“Into The Unknown,” Frozen 2
“Speechless,” Aladdin

 

Best Score

Alexandre Desplat, Little Women
Hildur Guðnadóttir, Joker
Michael Abels, Us
Thomas Newman, 1917
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Waves

 

Best Stunt Work

1917
Avengers: Endgame
Captain Marvel
Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw
John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum

 

Best Visual Effects

Ad Astra
Avengers: Endgame
Alita: Battle Angel
1917
The Irishman

 

 

I think the most worrying snub is Marielle Heller (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood) for Best Female Director. I hesitate to suggest that this nomination was a 'gimme,' but if she's missing from an awards body such as this, then her chances at the nomination will likely fall down.

Edited by SLAM!
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6 hours ago, SLAM! said:

Here's the full list of HCA nominees for quick access:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

 

I think the most worrying snub is Marielle Heller (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood) for Best Female Director. I hesitate to suggest that this nomination was a 'gimme,' but if she's missing from an awards body such as this, then her chances at the nomination will likely fall down.

I think A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood was out of the BP race ages ago. The ok box-office opening also doesn't really help either. Would be happy if Gerwig got in.

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12 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

Nominations announcement from the first big critics circle. Find it odd to see Joker and JoJo in there. Both seemed divisive and I thought they would only get industry award noms:

 

https://www.nextbestpicture.com/latest/the-2019-hollywood-critics-association-hca-nominations

umm I don't like not seeing Saoirse Ronan in the actress noms 🙄

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Another day, another precursor.

 

The Two Popes wins big with the AARP Movies for Grownups Awards:

 

Spoiler

Best Picture/Best Movie for Grownups

The Irishman
Bombshell
Marriage Story
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Farewell
The Two Popes
Little Women

 

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert, Frankie
Helen Mirren, The Good Liar
Julianne Moore, Gloria Bell
Alfre Woodard, Clemency
Renée Zellweger, Judy

 

Best Actor

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems

 

Best Supporting Actress

Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Nicole Kidman, Bombshell
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

 

Best Supporting Actor

Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

 

Best Director

Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Fernando Meirelles, The Two Popes
Sam Mendes, 1917
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

 

Readers’ Choice

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Bombshell
Downton Abbey
The Irishman
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Richard Jewell
The Two Popes

 

Best Ensemble

Bombshell
Dolemite Is My Name
Downton Abbey
Knives Out
Little Women

 

Best Intergenerational

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Little Women
Parasite
The Etruscan Smile
The Farewell

 

Best Buddy Picture

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Ford v. Ferrari
Just Mercy
The Lighthouse
The Two Popes

 

Best Screenwriter

Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
Kasi Lemmons, Harriet
Anthony McCarten, The Two Popes
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
Steven Zaillian, The Irishman

 

Best Time Capsule

Harriet
Judy
Little Women
Motherless Brooklyn
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

 

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On 11/21/2019 at 7:30 PM, titanic2187 said:

https://deadline.com/2019/11/spirit-awards-nominations-full-list-nominees-indie-film-ifp-1202792053/

2020 Film Independent Spirit Noms Announced 

BEST FEATURE

A HIDDEN LIFE

CLEMENCY

THE FAREWELL

MARRIAGE STORY

UNCUT GEMS

BEST FIRST FEATURE

BOOKSMART

THE CLIMB

DIANE

THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO

THE MUSTANG

SEE YOU YESTERDAY

BEST FEMALE LEAD

Karen Allen – COLEWELL

Hong Chau – DRIVEWAYS

Elisabeth Moss – HER SMELL

Mary Kay Place – DIANE

Alfre Woodard – CLEMENCY

Renée Zellweger – JUDY

BEST MALE LEAD

Chris Galust – GIVE ME LIBERTY

Kelvin Harrison – Jr., LUCE

Robert Pattinson – THE LIGHTHOUSE

Adam Sandler – UNCUT GEMS

Matthias Schoenaerts – THE MUSTANG

BEST DIRECTOR

Robert Eggers – THE LIGHTHOUSE

Alma Har’el – HONEY BOY

Julius Onah – LUCe

Benny Safdie, Josh Safdie – UNCUT GEMS

Lorene Scafaria – HUSTLERS

BEST DOCTUMENTARY

AMERICAN FACTORY

APOLLO 11

FOR SAMA

HONEYLAND

ISLAND OF THE HUNGRY GHOSTS

BEST SUPPORTING MALE

Willem Dafoe – THE LIGHTHOUSE

Noah Jupe – HONEY BOY

hia Labeouf – HONEY BOY

Jonathan Majors – THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO

Wendell Pierce – BURNING CANE

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE

Jennifer Lopez – HUSTLERS

Taylor Russell – WAVES

Zhao Shuzhen – THE FAREWELL

Lauren “Lolo” Spencer – GIVE ME LIBERTY

Octavia Spencer – LUCE

 

Marriage story the movie produced by a company which market cap is in the billions is an indie film ?

 

:hahaha:

Edited by The Futurist
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13 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

 

Marriage story the movie produced by a company which market cap is in the billions is an indie film ?

 

:hahaha:

even though they don't count Netflix as one of the major studios, that's not their only rule.

 

Quote

The Spirit Awards Nominating Committees apply the following guidelines in making their selections:

  • Uniqueness of vision
  • Original, provocative subject matter
  • Economy of means (budget up to $22.5M, and Marriage Story cost 18M to make)
  • Percentage of financing from independent sources (they sometimes can overlook this part if other conditions are met)

 

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