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Best Picture Predictions - 2019

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1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

Braveheart is far worse movie than Joker, one of the worst Oscar-wining best picture that I ever seen. Probably worse than Shakespeare in Love. It won because of it was in weaker year. 

 

 

 

Apollo 13

Babe

Toy Story

A Little Princess

Heat

Casino

Seven

Leaving Las Vegas

Dead Man Walking

Sense & Sensibility

12 Monkeys

Before Sunrise

Get Shorty

The Usual Suspects

The American President

To Die For

 

1995 was a rather strong year.  Braveheart wasn't even the best Scottish rebellion film that year. 

 

It's just another of numerable examples of the best films not only not winning but the best films not even being nominated.  Guessing the Oscar nominees is never about guessing the best films.

 

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9 hours ago, RealLyre said:

it will still be subjective because people will respond to different movies differently, there are some who think Joker was handled and acted better than You Were Never Really Here or Taxi Driver.

 

It will be experienced subjectively but it can be evaluated objectively.

 

And the more films a person sees, and particularly the more they analyse, the more they can discern between their subjective response and objective quality.

 

I don't enjoy the Godfather in the least. I have no emotional connection to it whatsoever and it does not resonate with me. But that doesn't stop me from acknowledging that it is one of the best films ever made. Does my emotional connection play a part? Yes, I'd always argue it out of an all-time top 10. But not much more than that.

 

And one has the right to argue that Joker was better than Taxi Driver or YWNRH. Though you'd struggle on an acting basis since you'd be comparing it to the same actor working with a superior script in one case, and with one of the universally accepted GOAT performances on the other. I'm not saying you can't do it. But it would be a mission.

 

As for the comment afterwards. Claiming that Joker has better cinematography, score and editing than Parasite or Little Women is simply lol. Little Women is one of the best lit, designed and photographed movies I've seen in years and Parasite is an editing masterpiece.

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49 minutes ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

 

It will be experienced subjectively but it can be evaluated objectively.

 

And the more films a person sees, and particularly the more they analyse, the more they can discern between their subjective response and objective quality.

 

I don't enjoy the Godfather in the least. I have no emotional connection to it whatsoever and it does not resonate with me. But that doesn't stop me from acknowledging that it is one of the best films ever made. Does my emotional connection play a part? Yes, I'd always argue it out of an all-time top 10. But not much more than that.

 

And one has the right to argue that Joker was better than Taxi Driver or YWNRH. Though you'd struggle on an acting basis since you'd be comparing it to the same actor working with a superior script in one case, and with one of the universally accepted GOAT performances on the other. I'm not saying you can't do it. But it would be a mission.

 

As for the comment afterwards. Claiming that Joker has better cinematography, score and editing than Parasite or Little Women is simply lol. Little Women is one of the best lit, designed and photographed movies I've seen in years and Parasite is an editing masterpiece.

 

if you don't enjoy a certain film, don't pretentiously acknowledge it as your top film. If a film failed your scale of greatness, don't bend it for the sake of comforting the community you are in. Judge a film subjectively with objective parameters.  

 

Joker has better editing, score and cinematography than Parasite. I reaffirmed my judgement.  And I appreciate the God created me a different left and right brain from you. 

 

 

 

 

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9 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Apollo 13

Babe

Toy Story

A Little Princess

Heat

Casino

Seven

Leaving Las Vegas

Dead Man Walking

Sense & Sensibility

12 Monkeys

Before Sunrise

Get Shorty

The Usual Suspects

The American President

To Die For

 

1995 was a rather strong year.  Braveheart wasn't even the best Scottish rebellion film that year. 

 

It's just another of numerable examples of the best films not only not winning but the best films not even being nominated.  Guessing the Oscar nominees is never about guessing the best films.

 

I was referring to the nominees group of that year. Apollo 13 is the best among all.

 

My 1995's top film was the usual suspect.   I wasn't really impressed by Pitt's Seven while 12 Monkeys is my all time favourite. 

 

 

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20 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

 

if you don't enjoy a certain film, don't pretentiously acknowledge it as your top film. If a film failed your scale of greatness, don't bend it for the sake of comforting the community you are in. Judge a film subjectively with objective parameters.  

 

Joker has better editing, score and cinematography than Parasite. I reaffirmed my judgement.  And I appreciate the God created me a different left and right brain from you. 

 

 

 

 

 

I mean, this is just incoherent waffle mate, sorry.

 

A film doesn't have to be enjoyed to be good. I'm not bending anything for the sake of any community.

 

"Failed your scale of greatness"....but you've just admitted your only scale of greatness is whether you enjoyed it or not.

 

I'm glad you find greatness in Joker. I'm glad you overlook the very clear faults it has, especially on a narrative level. It still doesn't make it an objectively great, rather than good, film that is immensely derivative of other great films and completely contradicts its own rationale at least twice.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

 

I mean, this is just incoherent waffle mate, sorry.

 

A film doesn't have to be enjoyed to be good. I'm not bending anything for the sake of any community.

 

"Failed your scale of greatness"....but you've just admitted your only scale of greatness is whether you enjoyed it or now.

 

I'm glad you find greatness in Joker. I'm glad you overlook the very clear faults it has, especially on a narrative level. It still doesn't make it an objectively great, rather than good, film that is immensely derivative of other great films and completely contradicts its own rationale at least twice.

 

 

If a film is a technical marvel yet can't keep you enjoyable, it is already a half-failure. Why can't a  film  achieve both? 

 

The revenant is a technical achievement but it bore me to hell, I gave it 5.5 because there were plenty of well-crafted film that keep me entertained. But according to your logic, I should go ahead and acknowledge how great the film was. Sound like a total hypocrite to me.  

 

You think people that rate Godfather or Citizen Kane or 8 1/2 as their best film are actually not entertained by the film? 

 

Lastly, I didn't overlook the flaw in joker, I just simply didn't agree that they even existed in the first place. There is no contradiction in between, if not, i will be convinced long ago.     

 

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32 minutes ago, Movie nerd said:

Imagine being that delusional and full of  yourself to think that your personal opinions are some kind of undeniable facts. 

Lovely bit of ad hominem.

 

How pleasant.

 

Again, there is difference between objective analysis and personal opinion and sensation. I really can't fathom why this is so difficult to grasp. Especially as I've clearly indicated I'm happy to listen to arguments: if you want to defend the Wayne material that requires outside-film knowledge or the hospital scene that seemingly undermines the notion that the character is a failure who has never been happy or indulged then you are welcome. Equally if you want to explain how I am meant to respond to the final scene or suggest what the film says about what support should have been given to this person with extreme narcissism and psychotic tendencies. Please go ahead. I already think it's a good film, it's not like I couldn't be convinced its a very good film. It's just that those are pretty large issues on top of the film's already accepted borderline-copycat nature.

 

And this literally just started with me asking if there was a chance Joker would be left off the nomination. All I'm doing since then is bolstering my opinion with evidence and analysis where appropriate. Like one does on a discussion forum. 

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end of the year guess:

 

1. Parasite

2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

3. The Irishman

4. 1917

5. Marriage Story

6. Joker

7. Jojo Rabbit

8. Ford v. Ferrari

9. Little Women

 

one of these could be a "surprise" nominee:

10. The Two Popes

11. Uncut Gems

12. Knives Out

13. The Farewell

14. Bombshell

15. Pain & Glory

Edited by CoolioD1
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would be funny if that became a big thing. that spike lee was given his honorary oscar like 5 years ago probably because they figured he was past it and wouldn't have an opportunity to win one for real and now he's just gonna keep coming back.

Edited by CoolioD1
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On 12/31/2019 at 4:24 PM, CoolioD1 said:

end of the year guess:

 

1. Parasite

2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

3. The Irishman

4. 1917

5. Marriage Story

6. Joker

7. Jojo Rabbit

8. Ford v. Ferrari

9. Little Women

 

one of these could be a "surprise" nominee:

10. The Two Popes

11. Uncut Gems

12. Knives Out

13. The Farewell

14. Bombshell

15. Pain & Glory

 

That's it. Totally agree. Besides the two Netflix films, it would be a great year full of popular choices.  4-5 films would be 100M+ grossers, Parasite is a great foreign hit (30M possible when nominations are announced) and JoJo Rabbit run is solid.

No idea if Marriage Story and The Irishman are strong in Netflix or their theatrical run.

 

 

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I start to think Ford v Ferrari will drop off the list as I still refuse to drop the farewell out of my top 9.

 

It is hard to include ford v ferrari in best picture race when the original screenplay category was packed. Christian bale, the biggest asset for the film is competing in a very competitive and crowded year, which means his snub won't be a total surprise. That would put F v F getting Best Pic nomination without any nomination in major category.

 

i am more keen to include KO in the race due to its lately holiday season breakout and very likely original screenplay + editing nomination 

 

   

 

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