Jan 11-13 Weekend Thread l Upside 19.6M, Aquaman 17.3M, Dog 11.3M, ITSV 9M. Aquaman crosses 1 BILLION DOLLARS WW. Win Gold accounts - link in first post.

[baumer]

4 hours ago, Manny G said:

Intouchable was a a phenomenon. Praised  by critics and audience alike it opened huge then went on to become the 3rd highest grossing movie of all of time in France right below Avatar. 

 

the Upside will be fine but don’t expect it to duplicate that success 

 

So you're saying this wont pass Black Panther to become the third highest grossing film of all time?

 

That's a bold statement, Cotton.  

[baumer]

4 hours ago, a2k said:

ITSV set to beat MPR. Who saw that coming as recently as 1st half of December. MPR doing 3x ITSV seemed more likely than going under back then.

 

Thinking 175 for ITSV, 165 for MPR, 125 for BB

There's a chance that AQM beats ITSV + MPR = 340 but it needs the actuals to be above that 15.5 Deadline estimate by a couple.

 

Below TGS, despite opening x-hundred% above it. 

 

I'm lost.....wtf is ITSV?

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Upside over performed. Solid for Escape Room too. Nice to see Green Book increasing, hope it continues for a few weeks to come.  

 

We have our first disaster flop of 2019: Replicas. A career low even for Keanu.

 

It was dumped, not marketed and has been on the black market for about a month now.

[a2k]

Some RT Audience scores (new releases should fluctuate and go down a few % eventually)

ITSV 94%

Dog's Way Home 89%

Upside 83%

AQM 80%

BB 79%

MPR 70%

On the basis of Sex 69% (Nice!)

Mule 67%

Replicas 43%

Escape Room 59%

 

4 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said:

 

I'm lost.....wtf is ITSV?

Into the Spider-verse

 

 

Edited January 12, 2019 by a2k

[Krissykins]

23 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said:

 

It was dumped, not marketed and has been on the black market for about a month now.

Yeh, deadline said they still spent $10m+ in US TV spots alone for Replicas though. That’s still more than Upside. 

[That One Girl]

THE MULE WITH THAT 40% DROP.  BEST IN THE TOP 10. 

[Valonqar]

2 hours ago, a2k said:

ITSV set to beat MPR. Who saw that coming as recently as 1st half of December.

Heck, people didn't see Aquaman beat MPR let alone ITSV. 

 

Holy shit, this thread's so slow I thought I was mistaken it was Saturday and that I was late for school! 

 

Kevin Hart strikes back. H8rs on suicide watch. 

[TMP]

Aquaman crossing a billion must be a great way to start what looks like a really promising 2019 for DC with Joker, Shazam!, Wonder Woman 1984 and HBO's Watchmen

[Claire of Themyscira]

I know, I'm late, but Merry Christmas and Happy New Year, whoreses!

 

 

@MCKillswitch123

[dxmatrixdt]

 

[Curtis1986]

Other than The Upside, If Beale Street could talk, and The Basis of sex this was a pretty rough weekend for hold

[Curtis1986]

Also with an A cinemascore and a 83 audience rating on Rotten Tomatoes and Rising the upside Challenge 100 million. 

[filmlover]

Nice opening for The Upside (good for Cranston, boo for Hart), tepid for A Dog’s Way Home, and terrible as expected for Replicas.

 

Most of the holdovers are looking at rough drops this weekend. Guess the holidays were just helping a bunch of movies out.

 

Good expansion for On the Basis of Sex, which should end up with $30-35M. Also a decent expension for Beale Street.

[Manny G]

1 hour ago, Claire of Themyscira said:

I know, I'm late, but Merry Christmas and Happy New Year, whoreses!

 

 

@MCKillswitch123

Didn’t we leave that flop in ‘18?

[Manny G]

4 hours ago, a2k said:

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY WEEKEND B.O. TOTAL WK 1 The Upside STX/Lan 3,080 $7M $19.3M $19.3M 1 2 Aquaman WB 3,863 (-321) $4.5M (-52%) $15.5M (-50%) $286.1M 4 3 A Dog’s Way Home Sony/Bona 3,090 $3.3M $11.2M $11.2M 1 4 Escape Room Sony 2,717 $2.6M (-65%) $8.4M (-54%) $31.9M 2 5 …Spider-Verse Sony 3,029 (-390) $2.1M (-48%) $7.3M (-44%) $146M 5 6 On The Basis Of Sex Focus 1,923 (+1,811) $2M (+285%) $6M (+275%) $10.3M 3 7 Bumblebee Par 3,303 (-294) $1.7M (-57%) $5.9M (-55%) $107.6M 4 8 Mary Poppins Returns Dis 3,253 (-837) $1.7M (-66%) $5.85M (-63%) $149.2M 4 9 The Mule WB 3,329 (+117) $1.7M (-40%) $5.5M (-40%) $90.5M 5 10 Vice ANNP 1,724 (-810) $1M (-42%)  $3.3M (-42%) $36M 3 11 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox 1,334 (+254) $891K (+22%) $2.9M (+22%) $198.1M 11 12 If Beale Street… ANNP 1,018 (+683) $775K (+28%) $2.4M (+33%) $7.7M 5 13 Replicas EST 2,329 $933K $2.4M $2.4M 1 14 Green Book Uni/DW/Part 742 (+176) $635K (+22%) $2.2M (+22%) $38.6M 9

 

Poppins and Bumblebee  thumbeling down so fast post holiday. Bumblebee at least has some overseas support to save face MPR on the other end😬

[efialtes76]

1 hour ago, Curtis1986 said:

Also with an A cinemascore and a 83 audience rating on Rotten Tomatoes and Rising the upside Challenge 100 million. 

No way. 

Edited January 12, 2019 by efialtes76

[TwoMisfits]

5 hours ago, a2k said:

15.5 for AQM is low-balling. Can't see bleow 16.5 and 17-18 is still possible,

4.5

7.9 (+75%)

5.1 (-35%)

= 17.5

I don't think so - full mid-country and mid-atlantic snowstorm is gonna hold down numbers...just ask Avatar back in the day when it opened on the 1st huge mid-Atlantic snow weekend...those areas don't know how to deal with snow, so folks stay home...especially when nothing screams "go out" to them, and a 4th weekend of a movie probably doesn't do that...

 

[filmlover]

Next weekend being a 4-day holiday means drops will be soft. Especially with only one new opener (and Glass starting to look more and more like an underperformer).

[TwoMisfits]

PS - and Deadline needs to rewrite the Dog's Way Home info...no way $11M+ OW on only an $18M budget is "tepid"...it will ride family numbers til Lego movie and make (probably) about 2xish its production budget on domestic performance alone by that point...that's a pretty good outing for a "premier" movie (since this isn't a sequel to last year - it's its own thing)...

 

Actually, I love the weekend...premier concepts doing well is the most fun time of the box office...sorry for Replicas, but you can't normally save a dump!  

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

PS - and Deadline needs to rewrite the Dog's Way Home info...no way $11M+ OW on only an $18M budget is "tepid"...it will ride family numbers til Lego movie and make (probably) about 2xish its production budget on domestic performance alone by that point...that's a pretty good outing for a "premier" movie (since this isn't a sequel to last year - it's its own thing)...

 

Actually, I love the weekend...premier concepts doing well is the most fun time of the box office...sorry for Replicas, but you can't normally save a dump!  

It’s an alright opening but it’s not gonna make much more than $40M at this point. Which is pretty middle of the road for this time of year. A Dog’s Purpose’s numbers two years ago were more impressive.