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Eric Duncan

Jan 11-13 Weekend Thread l Upside 19.6M, Aquaman 17.3M, Dog 11.3M, ITSV 9M. Aquaman crosses 1 BILLION DOLLARS WW. Win Gold accounts - link in first post.

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15 minutes ago, Ipickthiswhiterose said:

 

I agree about the resiliency. But I'm not sure MPR goes in the bag as a "live action remake". It's a sequel, and a sequel from a film so old there wasn't really any box office format to go on. So I don't think it provides a template for the other three to that much of an extent. I think at present these remakes are going to be taken very much as their own individual beasts.

 

I really don't like the live action remakes, but I think realistically if something as horrendously made as BATB made a huge amount, it pretty much establishes a floor for the Lion King, which is an even more beloved movie from the same time period. I can't honestly see TLK not ending up in the highest 20 grossers of all time, and probably top 10. I wish that weren't the case, but I just can't see any other eventuality.  

 

Aladdin I think could go in a lot of different directions. It's certainly the one that might actively receive the strongest backlash, and might legit flop.

 

Dumbo I think is something of a different kettle of fish. It's going to be less close to the original than the above two and time means that there's much less of a nostalgia factor. I think this will be one where the reviews and immediate reception will actually make a difference. 

MPR is not a remake, but it certainly viewed as live action fairy tale to general public.

The lion king will be even more bigger than BATB.

While aladdin, the poster and the colouring make the film looks like an opening of a porn. 

12 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

:gold: meh expansion for IF Beale street could talk, this may end up lower than 20m. Hope the oscar buzz keep go on

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7 minutes ago, TMP said:

Dumbo seems good for O/U $200m dom, Simba will be the King of 2019's box office, but Aladdin's gonna get shit-faced. $125m dom total?

Why do all of you think it will flop? I admit I avoided the trailers just because. Is the trailer that bad or are there other issues?

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6 minutes ago, Emerald kikyou said:

I am curious why you think that? It’s actually the only one out of the three mentioned that I want to watch.

Because:

 

- Guy Ritchie has a very distinct style, which has historically sometimes rubbed viewers up the wrong way.

- Lots of people have a very close attachment to Robin Williams in the genie role, and some may simply be offput by anyone else doing what they see as sacrilege. 

- Certain musical set pieces that dominate perspectives of the animated movie will be very difficult to transition to live action (Never had a Friend, Prince Ali)

- Traversing any snarky responses to a visually caucasian Jasmine.

- People increasingly having it in the neck for Disney outside of their most banner releases.

- Just a sliiiiiiightly odd release date that indicates that while it's not NOT being prioritised, that it isn't exactly BEING prioritised either.

- Generally massive year for Disney meaning that it isn't even in their top 7 or 8 biggest name launches of 2019, so might get lost in the shuffle marketing and visibility wise.

 

 None of which is to say that I myself think it will either be bad or fail, but I certainly get that if one was going to stick one's neck out and call a surprise Disney flop/underperform this year, this might be the one you'd choose. 

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1 minute ago, Emerald kikyou said:

Why do all of you think it will flop? I admit I avoided the trailers just because. Is the trailer that bad or are there other issues?

After the complete financial misfires of Man from UNCLE & King Arthur, it's obvious that Sherlock Holmes was an outlier in terms of how much of a populist film-maker he really is. Add to that Will Smith's inconsistent box office power, likely bad reviews, and being sandwiched between Pika Pika, Godzilla 2, and SLOPpy seconds, then it smells like a recipe for Solo 2.0

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Hope On The Basis of Sex has some sexy legs, if only to make Mimi Leder a bigger name talent

Between RBG's strong box office in the summer and this, it looks like America stans a true feminist icon

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