Jan 11-13 Weekend Thread l Upside 19.6M, Aquaman 17.3M, Dog 11.3M, ITSV 9M. Aquaman crosses 1 BILLION DOLLARS WW. Win Gold accounts - link in first post.

[Ryan Reynolds]

New Releases

DOG'S WAY HOME, A (2019)
ON THE BASIS OF SEX (2019)
REPLICAS (2019)
UPSIDE, THE (2019)

[titanic2187]

Who said January this year will be pretty dead??

 

 

[narniadis]

We might see good legs from 3 of this weekends openers given the implosion of Glass that is starting to look likely. 

[SchumacherFTW]

I wonder how leggy The Upside could be. The original in France had something close to 15x if I remember right. 

[NamakFiskKa]

54 minutes ago, narniadis said:

We might see good legs from 3 4 of this weekends openers given the implosion of Glass that is starting to look likely. 

 

[YLF]

21 minutes ago, NamakFiskKa said:

 

Emphasis on “openers”

[Daenys]

https://deadline.com/2019/01/kevin-hart-the-upside-aquaman-keanu-reeves-replicas-dogs-way-home-weekend-box-office-1202533526/

 

3RD UPDATE, Friday 11:39PM: In a slow weekend, STXfilms is reaping the box office spoils with The Upside on course to make $19.3M, which would rep the studio’s first No. 1 opening title since launching its theatrical arm in August 2015.

 

Rivals have often knocked STX for improperly dating their titles. Well, who is laughing now?

 

STX’s distribution of Lantern’s Upside is unexpectedly beating Warner Bros/DC’s Aquaman at this point in time, which is looking at a fourth weekend of $15.5M, -50%, and the Neil Burger-directed dramedy is over-indexing its industry tracking ($10M-$14M) significantly. Some rival studio projections think the film could even hit $20M. Upside easily won today, propped by $1.1M previews, with $7Mover Aquaman‘s fourth Friday which earned $4.5M.

 

Sony/Bona’s Film A Dog’s Way Home is coming in third with $11.2M, a meh result for a movie that cost $18M. 

 

Focus Features’ wide break of On the Basis of Sex is looking at $6M at 1,923 theaters.

 

Replicas has sparked out with $2.4M and a C CinemaScore.

[ChipDerby]

$15 mil my ass.

[TMP]

More like The Upset

[Steele131]

2 minutes ago, ChipMunky said:

$15 mil my ass.

Deadline is always low on the numbers. 15M seems low 

[Legion Again]

15.5 and adding 2.5x the weekend would leave Aquaman a quarter million short of Suicide Squad. 

[Manny G]

1 hour ago, SchumacherFTW said:

I wonder how leggy The Upside could be. The original in France had something close to 15x if I remember right. 

Intouchable was a a phenomenon. Praised  by critics and audience alike it opened huge then went on to become the 3rd highest grossing movie of all of time in France right below Avatar. 

 

the Upside will be fine but don’t expect it to duplicate that success 

[Michael Seng Wah]

36 minutes ago, Daenys said:

https://deadline.com/2019/01/kevin-hart-the-upside-aquaman-keanu-reeves-replicas-dogs-way-home-weekend-box-office-1202533526/

 

3RD UPDATE, Friday 11:39PM: In a slow weekend, STXfilms is reaping the box office spoils with The Upside on course to make $19.3M, which would rep the studio’s first No. 1 opening title since launching its theatrical arm in August 2015.

 

Rivals have often knocked STX for improperly dating their titles. Well, who is laughing now?

 

STX’s distribution of Lantern’s Upside is unexpectedly beating Warner Bros/DC’s Aquaman at this point in time, which is looking at a fourth weekend of $15.5M, -50%, and the Neil Burger-directed dramedy is over-indexing its industry tracking ($10M-$14M) significantly. Some rival studio projections think the film could even hit $20M. Upside easily won today, propped by $1.1M previews, with $7Mover Aquaman‘s fourth Friday which earned $4.5M.

 

Sony/Bona’s Film A Dog’s Way Home is coming in third with $11.2M, a meh result for a movie that cost $18M. 

 

Focus Features’ wide break of On the Basis of Sex is looking at $6M at 1,923 theaters.

 

Replicas has sparked out with $2.4M and a C CinemaScore.

If follow JR, fish boy will be at 14.6m.

With premium formats for the last weekend, 15.5m seems low.

[a2k]

15.5 for AQM is low-balling. Can't see bleow 16.5 and 17-18 is still possible,

4.5

7.9 (+75%)

5.1 (-35%)

= 17.5

[a2k]

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY WEEKEND B.O. TOTAL WK 1 The Upside STX/Lan 3,080 $7M $19.3M $19.3M 1 2 Aquaman WB 3,863 (-321) $4.5M (-52%) $15.5M (-50%) $286.1M 4 3 A Dog’s Way Home Sony/Bona 3,090 $3.3M $11.2M $11.2M 1 4 Escape Room Sony 2,717 $2.6M (-65%) $8.4M (-54%) $31.9M 2 5 …Spider-Verse Sony 3,029 (-390) $2.1M (-48%) $7.3M (-44%) $146M 5 6 On The Basis Of Sex Focus 1,923 (+1,811) $2M (+285%) $6M (+275%) $10.3M 3 7 Bumblebee Par 3,303 (-294) $1.7M (-57%) $5.9M (-55%) $107.6M 4 8 Mary Poppins Returns Dis 3,253 (-837) $1.7M (-66%) $5.85M (-63%) $149.2M 4 9 The Mule WB 3,329 (+117) $1.7M (-40%) $5.5M (-40%) $90.5M 5 10 Vice ANNP 1,724 (-810) $1M (-42%)  $3.3M (-42%) $36M 3 11 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox 1,334 (+254) $891K (+22%) $2.9M (+22%) $198.1M 11 12 If Beale Street… ANNP 1,018 (+683) $775K (+28%) $2.4M (+33%) $7.7M 5 13 Replicas EST 2,329 $933K $2.4M $2.4M 1 14 Green Book Uni/DW/Part 742 (+176) $635K (+22%) $2.2M (+22%) $38.6M 9

 

[a2k]

ITSV set to beat MPR. Who saw that coming as recently as 1st half of December. MPR doing 3x ITSV seemed more likely than going under back then.

 

Thinking 175 for ITSV, 165 for MPR, 125 for BB

There's a chance that AQM beats ITSV + MPR = 340 but it needs the actuals to be above that 15.5 Deadline estimate by a couple.

 

16 minutes ago, TMP said:

Holy shit that Poppins drop. $170m finish seems unlikely now tbh

Below TGS, despite opening x-hundred% above it. 

Edited January 12, 2019 by a2k

[Asyulus]

Meanwhile on the weekend prediction thread:

On 1/5/2019 at 11:15 PM, Asyulus said:

January 11-13, 2019:

 

1.) Aquaman: $17.4m

2.) Mary Poppins Returns: $10.3m

3.) A Dog’s Way Home: $9.2m

4.) Escape Room: $8.5m

5.) Spider-Verse: $8.3m

6.) Bumblebee: $7.4m

7.) Replicas: $7.2m

8.) The Mule: $6.1m

9.) Vice: $3m

10.) The Upside: $2.6m

[TMP]

Holy shit that Poppins drop. $170m finish seems unlikely now tbh

[titanic2187]

21 minutes ago, TMP said:

Holy shit that Poppins drop. $170m finish seems unlikely now tbh

I miss those "recovery statement" back during the holiday season.

 

 

[Krissykins]

Upside over performed. Solid for Escape Room too. Nice to see Green Book increasing, hope it continues for a few weeks to come.  

 

We have our first disaster flop of 2019: Replicas. A career low even for Keanu.