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Eric Atreides

Jan 11-13 Weekend Thread l Upside 19.6M, Aquaman 17.3M, Dog 11.3M, ITSV 9M. Aquaman crosses 1 BILLION DOLLARS WW. Win Gold accounts - link in first post.

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    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (1) Aquaman Warner Bros. $4,560,000 +128% 3,863 $1,180   $275,156,781 22
- (4) Mary Poppins Returns Walt Disney $1,801,000 +104% 3,253 $554   $145,242,985 24
- (5) The Mule Warner Bros. $1,730,000 +103% 3,329 $520   $86,763,396 29
- (7) Vice Annapurna Pictures $1,035,630 +64% 1,724 $601   $33,693,473 18
- (13) If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna Pictures $761,692 +276% 1,018 $748   $6,061,117 29
- (15) Ralph Breaks The Internet Walt Disney $403,000 +146% 1,554 $259   $188,638,603 52
- (-) A Star is Born Warner Bros. $330,000 +148% 394 $838   $202,786,149 99
- (-) Creed II MGM $84,146 +57% 355 $237   $114,682,879 52
- (-) Destroyer Annapurna Pictures $48,263 +753% 27 $1,788   $322,781 18
- (-) The Nutcracker and the Four… Walt Disney $9,000 +62% 110 $82   $54,820,620 71
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TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 - The Upside STX $6,950,000 - - 3,080 $2,256 $6,950,000 1
2 1 Aquaman WB $4,560,000 +128% -51% 3,863 $1,180 $275,156,781 22
3 - A Dog's Way Home Sony $3,300,000 - - 3,090 $1,068 $3,300,000 1
4 2 Escape Room Sony $2,650,000 +156% -65% 2,717 $975 $26,182,931 8
5 3 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $2,200,000 +138% -46% 3,029 $726 $140,975,445 29
6 - On the Basis of Sex Focus $2,141,000 +1,362% +312% 1,923 $1,113 $6,472,847 18
7 4 Mary Poppins Returns BV $1,801,000 +104% -64% 3,253 $554 $145,242,985 24
8 6 Bumblebee Par. $1,760,000 +137% -56% 3,303 $533 $103,454,977 22
9 5 The Mule WB $1,730,000 +103% -40% 3,329 $520 $86,763,396 29
10 7 Vice Annapurna $1,035,630 +64% -42% 1,724 $601 $33,693,473 18
11 - Replicas ENTMP $950,000 - - 2,329 $408 $950,000 1
12 8 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $930,000 +146% +27% 1,334 $697 $196,226,306 71
- - If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna $761,692 +276% +26% 1,018 $748 $6,061,117 29
- 10 Green Book Uni. $635,000 +115% +22% 742 $856 $37,095,706 57
- - Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $403,000 +146% -73% 1,554 $259 $188,638,603 52
- - A Star is Born (2018) WB $330,000 +148% +77% 394 $838 $202,786,149 99
- 11 The Favourite FoxS $316,000 +24% -43% 512 $617 $20,689,182 50
- - Holmes and Watson Sony $175,000 -6% -84% 1,013 $173 $29,645,153 18
- - Creed II MGM $84,146 +57% -73% 355 $237 $114,682,879 52
- - Destroyer Annapurna $48,263 +753% +45% 27 $1,788 $322,781 18
- - The Nutcracker and the Four Realms BV $9,000 +63% -70% 110 $82 $54,780,620 71
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1 minute ago, a2k said:

Solid fri bump of 128% for AQM. I doubt if Sat bump will miss +80-90%.

 

4.56

8.2-8.7 (+80-90%)

4.9-5.7 (-35-40%)

= 17.7-19.0

lets hope it hits the high end to keep $350m dom alive

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So, it seems like Mary Poppins Returns will reach around 350 mil (incl. Japan) by the end of its run (BOP predicted 400 mil DOM in its long-range tracking lol). So, how money is it going to make/lose for Disney? I'm thinking it will make some profit but less than 100 mil.

Edited by lorddemaxus
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The Poppins dailies have me so confused. For the past 2 weeks it has been increasing like a movie targeting adults and dropping like a movie targeting kids. It's getting the worst of both worlds. It's just so strange that the only explanation is that it's making all it's money before evening shows 

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16 minutes ago, a2k said:

Solid fri bump of 128% for AQM. I doubt if Sat bump will miss +80-90%.

 

4.56

8.2-8.7 (+80-90%)

4.9-5.7 (-35-40%)

= 17.7-19.0

NATM2's weekend multiplier was 3.42x so if Aquaman follows a similar trajectory it'll get to 15.6m.  Aquaman has had a better weekend multi in the past two occasions so 3.6/3.7x can't be ruled out which would see Aquaman coming in at (16.6-17)m for the weekend.  I can't see Aquaman going higher than that atm.

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Marry Poppin was never a film for adult and the demo was not skewing adult either.

 

Kid-friendly tends to be less fluctuate during holiday season,( check the past data, all the kid movie were all very stable in dailies income during holiday season)  and when holidays ends with tepid word-of-mouth, the movie collapse.   

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18 minutes ago, grim22 said:

The Poppins dailies have me so confused. For the past 2 weeks it has been increasing like a movie targeting adults and dropping like a movie targeting kids. It's getting the worst of both worlds. It's just so strange that the only explanation is that it's making all it's money before evening shows 

the children demo probably came from parents dragging their child to theater and promise them to watch AQUAMAN  thereafter...

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34 minutes ago, grim22 said:

The Poppins dailies have me so confused. For the past 2 weeks it has been increasing like a movie targeting adults and dropping like a movie targeting kids. It's getting the worst of both worlds. It's just so strange that the only explanation is that it's making all it's money before evening shows 

Yup, it makes no sense and if WOM was truly bad it wouldn't have recovered as well over the holidays (still on track for a 7x+). However the behavior now is reminiscent of both Into the Woods and Les Mis which also died in January (technically both died after new years day, with short runs relatively speaking.) 

So maybe its a pattern for non-oscar limited release style-musicals? TGS is such an outlier that it needs a star next to it. 

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