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John Marston

MLK Weekend Thread: Glass - 40m 3 day, 47m 4 day| Aquaman passes 300m| Dragonball - 21m 5 day

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Universal/BVI/Blumhouse’s thriller Glass is looking at between$3.5M-$4M in early Thursday night previews per Deadline sources. As we always say, these figures can fluctuate by tomorrow morning.

 

Should Glass stay solid, it will rep the best preview night ever for Oscar-nominated Sixth Sense director M. Night Shyamalan, beating his previous $3M high with The Last Airbender (from 10pm and midnight shows in 2010) and Split‘s $2M from Jan. 19, 2017. Fandango had advance ticket sales for Glass well ahead of Split which posted an opening day of $14.6M (previews repped 14% of that figure), and three-day of $40M. There’s an outside chance Glass hits $5M by end of tonight, in which case the PG-13 film is just under The Nun‘s $5.4M Thursday night which yielded a $22M Friday (previews repped 25%) and a three-day of $53.8M. Four-day here for Glass could be in the $50M vicinity.

 

 

 

 

https://deadline.com/2019/01/glass-m-night-shyamalan-opening-weekend-box-office-1202537391/

Edited by John Marston
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Could look at this as a frontloaded Unbreakable sequel, or a more walk-up friendly Split sequel. The brand will either way cause some front-loadedness, so I'm going to expect 10x the previews for the 3-day (following the trajectory of The Nun). So 35-40 from these early numbers. 

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10 minutes ago, UNDERDOG said:

I feel Aquaman should be almost near 1.1 bil by the end of Monday.

Well, as of yesterday it was at 1.037 ... probably 1.04 going into Friday.  

 

I'd guess it's close to 1.07 billion after Monday.

Edited by AdamKendall
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Over the same calendar configuration in 2013 Mama did,

10.10

10.84 (+7.3%)

7.46 (-31.1%)

3.75 (-49.8%)

 

Glass could maybe do,

20

20

13 (-35%)

7 (-46%)

= 53 3-day / 60 4-day

 

Split did 40 FSS and 138 dom (3.45x) and I think Glass could target 150 dom (2.8x) with that start.

 

EDIT: With previews under 4m, this seems optimistic now. OD could be 17-19.

Edited by a2k
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