MLK Weekend Thread: Glass - 40m 3 day, 47m 4 day| Aquaman passes 300m| Dragonball - 21m 5 day

[sfran43]

 

[Eric Atreides]

Always love weekends like these. Solid opens and good holds all around (even if below expectations for some of them)

[sfran43]

 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

This will make well over $50M thanks to Oscar noms next week. Probably even closer to $60M.

[cubsfan]

Not a bad opening for Glass.  

[MrGlass2]

7 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Looks like @MrGlass2 wins a gold account thanks to him misunderstanding the question.

Or maybe it was a Machiavellian plan taking all possibilities into account?

 

[cubsfan]

LOL

[Zakiyyah6]

Less than a 10% increase for Glass on Friday over Split is meh. It's still doing well but not much to talk about.

[sfran43]

 

[norbar]

52 minutes ago, TimmyRiggins said:

It won't have Split's legs but I doubt they will be as bad as some people think. Overseas, it seems to be doing very well. It'll probably end up higher OS, lower DOM, making a nice profit regardless. 

Most overseas countries don't get US buzz so they are often late to the party in Franchises. I often see OW getting the hype one part after US and OW results getting good only after a strong performance in the US. Hangover 1-2, FF5/FF6

[ScoobyDoo21]

That does not really sound too impressive considering without MLK this will just be on par with Glass.

 

I think this might go lower.

Edited January 19, 2019 by ScoobyDoo21

[babz06]

10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

This will make well over $50M thanks to Oscar noms next week. Probably even closer to $60M.

Still a somewhat underwhelming performance for something that was deemed a huge crowd pleaser. Won’t even make half what Hidden Figures, The Help, etc made which were also Oscar nominated. The Upside will also handily beat it without breaking a sweat. 

[cubsfan]

4 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Oof!

[Zakiyyah6]

I'm thinking 41-43mil but it wouldn't surprise me if the 3 day went slightly under 40mil.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, babz06 said:

Still a somewhat underwhelming performance for something that was deemed a huge crowd pleaser. Won’t even make half what Hidden Figures, The Help, etc made which were also Oscar nominated. The Upside will also handily beat it without breaking a sweat. 

It’s performing more in line with a typical well-reviewed drama released around Oscar time. Those movies were the kind of hits that nobody saw coming until they opened.

[a2k]

Glass

 

3.7

12.3

14.8 (+20%)

8.9 (-40%)

4.5 (-50%)

= 44.2 4-day (39.7 3-day)

 

3.7

12.3

16.0 (+30%)

10.4 (-35%)

5.7 (-45%)

= 48.1 4-day (42.4 3-day)

 

90-110 dom?

[POTUS 2020]

Friday, January 18, 2019
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019	>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 - Glass Uni. $16,000,000 - - 3,841 $4,166 $16,000,000 1 2 2 The Upside STX $4,170,000 +149% -40% 3,320 $1,256 $32,483,439 8 3 3 Aquaman WB $2,510,000 +130% -45% 3,475 $722 $296,516,848 29 4 1 Dragon Ball Super: Broly FUN $2,397,442 -29% - 467 $5,134 $12,817,471 3 5 4 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $1,760,000 +165% -20% 2,712 $649 $152,761,385 36 6 5 A Dog's Way Home Sony $1,705,000 +206% -48% 3,090 $552 $15,873,496 8 7 6 Escape Room Sony $1,530,000 +175% -43% 2,709 $565 $36,955,948 15 8 9 Mary Poppins Returns BV $1,229,000 +152% -31% 2,810 $437 $154,716,814 31 9 10 Bumblebee Par. $1,110,000 +146% -37% 2,711 $409 $112,393,676 29 10 8 On the Basis of Sex Focus $1,080,000 +98% -50% 1,957 $552 $13,991,747 25 11 7 The Mule WB $925,000 +69% -47% 2,688 $344 $94,349,689 36 12 12 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $615,000 +134% -34% 1,177 $523 $200,347,484 78

[TimmyRiggins]

29 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Less than a 10% increase for Glass on Friday over Split is meh. It's still doing well but not much to talk about.

It's got a $20 million budget, once again. Tracking was wrong and that's fine. It's going to do very well worldwide, Shyamalan financed it himself, it'll be a massive win and that's it. 

[a2k]

54 minutes ago, TMP said:

How would you extrapolate that high-end to where the final gross is looking at?

 

45 minutes ago, grim22 said:

It will come out of the long weekend around 8M ahead of Suicide Squad with no major competition past this point and the biggest drop behind it which was this week thanks to losing IMAX. 335-340 looks very likely.

Suicide Squad had a 12.7m 4-day (also the 5th weekend) for 300m cume and added 25m more.

Aquaman could have a similar 4-day which gives it 306.5m+ cume. Same 25m more gives 332m dom.

 

Unlike Suicide Squad's low competition weekend (Don't Breathe's 2nd weekend of 19.7m 4-day finished #1), Aquaman is facing Glass. I think it should add about 30m more after MLK Monday for ~337m dom.

Edited January 19, 2019 by a2k

[grim22]

Just now, TimmyRiggins said:

It's got a $20 million budget, once again. Tracking was wrong and that's fine. It's going to do very well worldwide, Shyamalan financed it himself, it'll be a massive win and that's it. 

Can we call something with bad reviews and to be determined legs a massive win? This is more of a "could have been way better, could have been way worse" than a massive win. They will make a profit, but this scenario was definitely not one which the studio and the makers probably went in anticipating.