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sfran43

Weekend Thread: Miss Bala $650K preview

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Just now, sfran43 said:

 

AQM didn't double MPR but came close. Could be as much as 95% ahead with something like 338.5 vs 174.

 

Comparing just cause they were expected to be top 2 Holiday films 2018. MPR is successful at the BO in it's own right looking at global bo, especially as Dom forms such a big ratio of that bo. Japan will push MPR ww close to 3x the prod budget (130).

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2 minutes ago, a2k said:

Japan will push MPR ww close to 3x the prod budget (130).

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I don't think so. WOM for the movie isn't that good in Japan. Should make around 15 mil there and not the amazing numbers other musicals there have made. Reactions are more similar to A Star is Born which made a mediocre 12.7 mil.

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55 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I don't think so. WOM for the movie isn't that good in Japan. Should make around 15 mil there and not the amazing numbers other musicals there have made. Reactions are more similar to A Star is Born which made a mediocre 12.7 mil.

Wow, 15 would be bad. Just checked that it did 2.5 ow, so hoping it does 20. Is on 328 ww so 360 looks to be the goal if it can do low-20s Japan. 350-355 ww seems assured.

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The Upside 8.67 weekend, 75.41 cume

Spiderverse 4.55 weekend, 175.42 cume

 

Both movies 24.6 away from their round-figured milestones with vastly different weekends. Upside is legging it very well, so this alone makes it look like 200 is impossible for Spiderverse. Lego2 and Dragon3 will provide tough competition. 190 would be fantastic and seems well within reach.

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I just don't feel like anything is impressive about Mary Poppins numbers. The domestic numbers are fine but will be below music based movies like Bohemian Rhapsody and the R rated A Star is Born. The international numbers are just weak for the type of film that it is and because it has the Disney machine behind it. Disney has to be very disappointed. 

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3 hours ago, DAJK said:

Definitely the most interesting run of the month (of movies that were released in January)

 

Idk i think Dragon Balls numbers are more impressive. The Upside always had a chance at beeing a sleeper hit, Dragon Ball just came out of nowhere.

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Well there it is, that first weekend with no film above $10M since Labor Day weekend in 2015 that some of us were anticipating. 


It was also the lowest grossing weekend in total since August 25-27, 2017. The Hitman's Bodyguard led the weekend, falling 52.0% in its 2nd weekend to barely register above $10M ($10,262,619). The top 12 accounted for $50,792,670 and the total box office was $69,312,450.

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