CAPTAIN MARVEL WEEKEND THREAD l $153M DOM (3rd-biggest March opening), $455M WW (6th biggest WW opening) l Other weekend #s: Dragon 14.7, Madea 12, Lego 3.8, Alita 3.2

[LexJoker]

Pikachu will outgross Captain Marvel WW. That is not a joke.

[cedec0]

Been tracking how CM is doing in China and noticed something and I wanted an opinion.

 

https://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard

 

CM's percentage of the box office has been steadily falling over the last few hours from above 65 (where it has been all weekend) to now 59.3.  Fifteen minutes ago it was at 59.7.  Is this normal?

[ZeeSoh]

2 hours ago, Nova said:

Crazy to think that 10.5 years ago, the opening weekend record was $158M and now we’ve got movies opening around that number several times a year and the opening weekend record is  now $100M greater than that. 

 

Fun fact: that $158M was held by a CBM and the current record is also held by a CBM. That Super hero fatigue really hit the box office  

Here’s another interesting tidbit about opening weekends and superhero movies. 

 

First 100m OW - Spider-Man 1 (2002)

First 150m OW - Spider-Man 3 (2007)

First 200m OW - Avengers 1 (2012)

First 250m OW - Avenger 3 (2018)

 

Hitting those 50m milestones every 5-6 years. So prepare for the 300 to be breached by Avengers vs Xmen in 2023 😀

 

But then that would mean no 300m for Endgame. 😭

 

PS - if not for the pesky Jurassic Park, Batman Forever would have been the first to 50m completing the set. 

 

Superhero fatigue amirite?

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

2 hours ago, Yandereprime101189 said:

So how big will Captain Marvel 2 open after this and Endgame? Make your predictions!

It is locked for a 99 % Fresh score on RT, a 300 m OW domestic, and 2 billion worldwide.

[LexJoker]

20 minutes ago, cedec0 said:

Been tracking how CM is doing in China and noticed something and I wanted an opinion.

 

https://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard

 

CM's percentage of the box office has been steadily falling over the last few hours from above 65 (where it has been all weekend) to now 59.3.  Fifteen minutes ago it was at 59.7.  Is this normal?

You should post this in the China section of the forum.

[cedec0]

 

Quote

You should post this in the China section of the forum.

OK

Edited March 10, 2019 by cedec0

[a2k]

8 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Here’s another interesting tidbit about opening weekends and superhero movies. 

 

First 100m OW - Spider-Man 1 (2002)

First 150m OW - Spider-Man 3 (2007)

First 200m OW - Avengers 1 (2012)

First 250m OW - Avenger 3 (2018)

First 300m ow - Pikachu 1 (2019)

 

Hitting those 50m milestones every 5-6 years. So prepare for the 300 to be breached by Avengers vs Xmen in 2023 😀

 

But then that would mean no 300m for Endgame. 😭

 

PS - if not for the pesky Jurassic Park, Batman Forever would have been the first to 50m completing the set. 

 

Superhero fatigue amirite?

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Here’s another interesting tidbit about opening weekends and superhero movies. 

 

First 100m OW - Spider-Man 1 (2002)

First 150m OW - Spider-Man 3 (2007)

First 200m OW - Avengers 1 (2012)

First 250m OW - Avenger 3 (2018)

 

Hitting those 50m milestones every 5-6 years. So prepare for the 300 to be breached by Avengers vs Xmen in 2023 😀

 

But then that would mean no 300m for Endgame. 😭

 

PS - if not for the pesky Jurassic Park, Batman Forever would have been the first to 50m completing the set. 

 

Superhero fatigue amirite?

It’s interesting how the % growth needed goes down each time but the temporal gap hasn’t (yet) gotten any smaller. Should see 300M before 2023 imo, but not sure what movie it’d be if not Endgame.

[raulbalarezo]

2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

It’s interesting how the % growth needed goes down each time but the temporal gap hasn’t (yet) gotten any smaller. Should see 300M before 2023 imo, but not sure what movie it’d be if not Endgame.

Avatar 3

[Nova]

1 minute ago, raulbalarezo said:

Avatar 3

Hey hey settle down now. Avatar 2 will handle it

[charlie Jatinder]

12 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Very early number, $52-54mn Saturday.

 

Ps. Since I know how film played on Friday, I am not that conservative. So consider that.

$54mn is locked.

 

Disney will go with 30% drop on Sunday in estimates, that will give

 

61.7

54

37.8

 

153.5

 

Though considering how this year has been, I expect 25% Sunday dip.

Edited March 10, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[FlashMaster659]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$54mn is locked.

What's your ceiling?

[Eric Atreides]

1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$54mn is locked.

Black Panther dropped 13.1% from Friday (w/ previews obviously) to Saturday, so if 54M is the floor, that means a drop of 12% or less.

 

All hail Brie Larson, box office queen

 

[Water Bottle]

Well done @CoolEric258 on the first post. 

 

Very BOT worthy.

[Eric Atreides]

Just now, Water Bottle said:

Well done @CoolEric258 on the first post. 

 

Very BOT worthy.

It's what I do best.

 

Now let me take charge of all first posts for all event weekends from now until the end of time.

[FlashMaster659]

Amazing that CM is going to have a bigger true Fri. to Sat. jump than BP (if $54m holds).

Edited March 10, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[redgarlic]

40 minutes ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

It is locked for a 99 % Fresh score on RT, a 300 m OW domestic, and 2 billion worldwide.

Roughly on the same level of pikapika then

[expensiveho]

 

8 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

Black Panther dropped 13.1% from Friday (w/ previews obviously) to Saturday, so if 54M is the floor, that means a drop of 12% or less.

 

All hail Brie Larson, box office queen

 

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

What's your ceiling?

$54.5mn 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Amazing that CM is going to have a bigger true Fri. to Sat. jump than BP (if $54m holds).

That's more to the fact that BP Friday was already giant. Those matinees.