Thursday (03/14/2019) Numbers - Early Estimates.

[Omni]

54 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

~577 Thurs. Add 65-75 DOM, 20-25 China, ~5 Japan would be roughly 675. 100M OS-C-J is perfectly possible, though could easily fall short as well. Maybe 755-785ish 

 

Also, welcome to the forum!

Remember part of its thursday gross will be counted into its OS weekend. 760M should be the target.

[Nero]

I think 2nd weekend gross will be 72M 

[AndyK]

35 minutes ago, Nero said:

I think 2nd weekend gross will be 72M 

Trailer effect - 75m in play.

[cdsacken]

If 69 I'll go 19/28.5/21.5

If crazy good let's say 20/30/25

 

 

[AndyK]

I predicted it would beat Wonder Woman global after 10 days but China is letting us down, so probably 12 now.

[Rthmessiah]

1 hour ago, Omni said:

Remember part of its thursday gross will be counted into its OS weekend. 760M should be the target.

Yes the bulk of thursday and some Wednesday will count for weekend OS

[Brainbug]

While i had my fair share of problems with CM, i did thought after seeing it that it would probably get very good WOM.

 

Judging the trailers impact is very hard. It certainly had one/will have one over the weekend, but how much is impossible to judge i think.

[Valonqar]

TRAILER EFFECT!!!!!!!!!!!

 

This bodes really well for my prediction that it won't drop more than 52% but will possibly have under 50% drop. so 75M minimum. BELIEVE!

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

TRAILER EFFECT!!!!!!!!!!!

 

This bodes really well for my prediction that it won't drop more than 52% but will possibly have under 50% drop. so 75M minimum. BELIEVE!

go carol (still think 70 million i want to be suprised)

[Ms Lady Hawk]

Wonder whether we will get a gender breakdown for this weekend. If women start to even out audience wise, then CM may be in for a very leggy run. 

[HouseOfTheSun]

72.6m is my target to beat IM3

[cdsacken]

52 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

Wonder whether we will get a gender breakdown for this weekend. If women start to even out audience wise, then CM may be in for a very leggy run. 

Indeed that helped Wonder Woman for sure.

[LexJoker]

No weekend thread yet? Assuming no one cared to show up for the previews of the newly released movies.

[JohnnyGossamer]

Pretty great Thursday number. Definitely a bigger boost from the trailer than expected. Thinking $70M+ for the weekend is locked up now.

[Brainbug]

10 minutes ago, LexJoker said:

No weekend thread yet? Assuming no one cared to show up for the previews of the newly released movies.

 

Weekend threads get made when the Thursday Prev numbers roll in. Will need another 2 to 3 hours probably.

[charlie Jatinder]

                                                         Captain Marvel China

 

Day	Date	Gross in ¥ ('000)	Gross in $	% +/- YD / LW*		Shows / Avg		Gross-to-Date	Day #
Thu	Mar. 07, 2019	¥15,274	$2,272,917			7,636	$298	$2,272,917	0
Fri	Mar. 8, 2019	¥214,410	$31,906,250			165,939	$192	$34,179,167	1
Sat	Mar. 09, 2019	¥225,210	$33,513,393	5.04%		171,157	$196	$67,692,560	2
Sun	Mar. 10, 2019	¥141,523	$21,059,970	-37.16%		166,092	$127	$88,752,530	3
Mon	Mar. 11, 2019	¥43,151	$6,421,280	-69.51%		145,812	$44	$95,173,810	4
Tue	Mar. 12, 2019	¥33,775	$5,033,532	-21.61%		140,519	$36	$100,207,342	5
Wed	Mar. 13, 2019	¥27,855	$4,145,089	-17.65%		136,917	$30	$104,352,431	6
Thu	Mar. 14, 2019	¥24,150	$3,593,750	-13.30%		122,981	$29	$107,946,181	7
Fri	Mar. 15, 2019	¥40,000	$5,952,381	65.63%	-81.34%	99,500	$60	$113,898,562	8

 

 

Seems like ¥160mn Approx weekend. That would be $24mn Approx. Good numbers considering the doom we were thinking in weekdays.

Spoiler

	Captain Marvel	Spider-man: Homecoming	Difference	Civil War	Difference
Previews	¥15,274	¥9,376	1.63	¥16,949	0.90
Friday	¥214,410	¥127,202	1.69	¥180,842	1.19
Saturday	¥225,210	¥173,986	1.29	¥248,896	0.90
Sunday	¥141,523	¥125,436	1.13	¥180,159	0.79
Monday	¥43,151	¥38,695	1.12	¥59,512	0.73
Tuesday	¥33,775	¥31,576	1.07	¥49,744	0.68
Wednesday	¥27,855	¥26,276	1.06	¥40,018	0.70
Thursday	¥24,150	¥22,111	1.09	¥32,853	0.74
Week One	¥725,348	¥554,658		¥808,973
Friday	¥40,000	¥19,178	2.09	¥48,740	0.82
Saturday		¥42,310		¥92,173
Sunday		¥31,023		¥67,049
Monday		¥8,279		¥20,186
Tuesday		¥7,253		¥17,685
Wednesday		¥6,479		¥15,418
Thursday		¥5,825		¥13,814
Week Two	¥40,000	¥120,347		¥275,065
Rest		¥99,750		¥159,927
Total	¥765,348	¥774,755		¥1,243,965

 

 

Edited March 15, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[cdsacken]

So Captain Marvel had a bigger percentage jump than Civil War from Thursday than Friday. Excellent

[MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie]

I'm off to see CM a third time and contribute to less of a second weekend drop.

 

(I guess, technically, I'm forcing AMC to contribute since I have A-List.  I don't remember what life was like before movie subscription services.  So great.  😊)

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie said:

I'm off to see CM a third time and contribute to less of a second weekend drop.

 

(I guess, technically, I'm forcing AMC to contribute since I have A-List.  I don't remember what life was like before movie subscription services.  So great.  😊)

Well done. I shall contribute a 2nd time on April 22nd. Then I will see End Game in the UK on April 26th and again in America the week after. We must do our part hah 😀

[charlie Jatinder]

Captain Marvel debuts in Japan with $1.9mn Friday. Shall go for $5.5-6mn Extended weekend.