Weekend Thread (3/15-3/17): Captain Marvel 68, Wonder Park 15.8, Five Feet Apart 13.2, Dragon 9.3, Madea 7.8

[Eric Atreides]

 

Edited March 18, 2019 by CoolEric258

[filmlover]

Guessing about mid-teens to $20M for the weekend, which isn't so bad.

[Eric Atreides]

As a comparison, Boss Baby had $1.5M previews, while A Wrinkle in Time had $1.2M. Sherlock Gnomes didn't have any previews

[Brainbug]

I despise the trailer for Wonder Park so much.

[lor15]

If the budget wasn't inflated, $20M OW would be fine, but...

[Valonqar]

I stand by my projection (that I made before EG trailer yesterday) that CM drop will be under 50% with 52% tops in the worst case scenario. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

6 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I despise the trailer for Wonder Park so much.

Aaww. 🥺

 

But clearly a bad trailer...must mean it results to a...bad movie, right? 🤔

[HouseOfTheSun]

That’s DOA numbers for Wonder Park

[charlie Jatinder]

$19-20mn as per early morning readings.

Edited March 15, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[filmlover]

$715K for Five Feet Apart (unknown if that includes the Wednesday shows) and $300K for Captive State.

[HouseOfTheSun]

1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$19-19.5mn as per early morning readings.

Initial weekend guess?

[JohnnyGossamer]

1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$19-19.5mn as per early morning readings.

What kind of weekend does that likely point to? $70M+?

[Eric Atreides]

https://deadline.com/2019/03/captain-marvel-box-office-week-2-captive-state-wonder-park-weekend-results-1202575749/

 

Deadline updated further

 

Quote

Focus Features has the Participant/DreamWorks/Amblin sci-fi pic Captive State at 2,500 locations. Previews began at 7 PM last night with $300K, with earlier-week projections at $4M over three days for this $25M feature production from director Rupert Wyatt.

 

CBS Films/Lionsgate has the romance movie Five Feet Apart,about a pair of teenagers with life-threatening illnesses who meet in a hospital and fall in love. Last night brought in $715K. The pic cost  $7M before P&A and tracking has the movie between $8M-$10M, but Captain Marvel could steal cash away for a result that’s more in line of $6M-$9M at 2,803 theaters.

 

Greta did $350K for previews, so Captive State should open in the ballpark of that movie.

 

Love, Simon meanwhile did $850K, so FFA reaching double digits will be tricky.

[DAJK]

So probably 15-16 for Wonder Part, 8-9 for Five Feet, and 4M for Captive State

 

Bleh, bring on US

[Jake Gittes]

 

[charlie Jatinder]

I expect a 3.85x internal multiple for 2nd weekend, so that gives $73-75mn.

 

I will be happy with $71mn, that will make it almost certain to cross Wonder Woman.

[LeoC]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$19-19.5mn as per early morning readings.

That would be a pretty underwhelming Fri to Thur increase. Let’s see how things go in a couple hours. 

[druv10]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

$19-19.5mn as per early morning readings.

19M

31M

21M

71M weekend

 

[HouseOfTheSun]

5 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

What kind of weekend does that likely point to? $70M+?

Using 19m flat, if it follows IW on Saturday and Sunday - 69m. If it follows BP, 74m. 

So probably like 72m or thereabout. 

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

 

I'm just glad that Haley Lu Richardson's getting nice ink for it even though the rest of the movie looks like blah. Waiting for her to get a major breakthrough.

Edited March 15, 2019 by filmlover