Wednesday numbers: Shazam $2.60M | Pet Sematary $1.36M | Dumbo $936K | US $912K | CM $896K

[cdsacken]

46 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Recent first Wednesday drops before anyone starts crying: 

 

Dumbo -49%

Us -36%

Captain Marvel -41%

Dragon -45%

Madea -50%

Alita -44%

True but take note it did not jump up enough yesterday for the Monday big drop to recover. Then it fell hard today 46.4% near Dumbo which had bad WOM and reviews. Likely it will fall tomorrow but hopefully barely let's be optimistic and say 2.5 (under 5%). 

 

Friday 6.25 (150% increase)

Saturday 10.3 (65% increase)

Sunday 7.2 (30% drop)

 

All of those are pretty optimistic projections and that gets you only 23.75 million.

[LordNox]

1 minute ago, cdsacken said:

True but take note it did not jump up enough yesterday for the Monday big drop to recover. Then it fell hard today 46.4% near Dumbo which had bad WOM and reviews. Likely it will fall tomorrow but hopefully barely let's be optimistic and say 2.5 (under 5%). 

 

Friday 6.25 (150% increase)

Saturday 10.3 (65% increase)

Sunday 7.2 (30% drop)

 

All of those are pretty optimistic projections and that gets you only 23.75 million.

Yeah, Shazam is dropping unusually much for a movie that recieved an A cinemascore.

 

If this continues maybe 140-150M is the max it will do in NA.

[a2k]

Hope Fri bump is huge, else 25+ weekend is not a given.

 

2.63

2.50 (-5%)

 

6.5 (+160%)

11.0 (+70%)

7.5 (-32%)

= 25.0 (-53%)

Edited April 11, 2019 by a2k

[cdsacken]

Just now, a2k said:

Hope Fri bump is huge, else 25+ weekend is not a given.

 

2.63

2.50 (-5%)

 

7.0 (+179%)

11.0 (+57%)

7.5 (-32%)

= 25.5 (-52%)

179% is so hard to accomplish. Also in that instance Sunday drop would be bigger imo. Upside next weekend should be great.

[a2k]

Just now, cdsacken said:

179% is so hard to accomplish. Also in that instance Sunday drop would be bigger imo. Upside next weekend should be great.

just edited before you quoted. i gave it a lower 160% fri bump and higher 70% sat bump than before.

[Matthew]

I think it's dropping 52%+ next weekend. 

 Good drop considering Ant Man drop 57%

 

 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Hellboy is going to bomb but it's still taking IMAX screens from Shazam! this weekend. 

[LordNox]

What is the max Shazam can do in NA? 150M? I was hoping for smaller drops due to an A cinemascore but the drops are similar to Dumbo.

[Krissykins]

20 minutes ago, LordNox said:

Yeah, Shazam is dropping unusually much for a movie that recieved an A cinemascore.

 

If this continues maybe 140-150M is the max it will do in NA.

Dropping unusually much for an A CinemaScore?? It hasn’t even had a second weekend drop yet!

 

 

I would wait until it’s finished it’s run before comparing multipliers lol 

 

$140-150m would be fine from a $53m opening weekend  

 

Edited April 11, 2019 by Krissykins

[Ms Lady Hawk]

Shazam! is performing at expectations. Most people predicted that it would go into its second weekend with about 70 million and that is what it is going to do. A drop of 50%-58% is not unusual. There’s nothing worrisome about the Wednesday number.  

[Matthew]

Yeah, people need to stop overreact over Shazam box office. 

 

It will do atleast 140M+ Domestic which is very good, come to think it's budget is 100M(as reported by Deadline) 

[Matthew]

Shazam will earn around 14M from weekdays.. Around 27% of weekend. 

 

THERE IS NOTHING WRONG. 

Captain Marvel did 28% in its weekdays. 

 

[cdsacken]

Yeah I very much wanted 180 but 150 Dom wouldn't be that bad. Still enough to cost over all costs and make a bit.

 

Late legs depend on so much, we shall see. Kinda wondering if End Game late legs will be monster with the start of summer at like week 6 or something? 

Edited April 11, 2019 by cdsacken

[maxalcamo]

Ready player one has a similar first weekend (one day more but not previews) and

first monday 5.2 M

tuesday 5.4

wednesday 4M

thursday 3.5 M

 

second weekend

 

24.6 M (similar prediction for Shazam)

 

Ready player one total was 137.7. I think shazam can do a little better from the third weekend but with weakest weekdays it will do a similar total and not more than 145-150 M. 

 

Edited April 11, 2019 by maxalcamo

[NoLegMan]

A good number for Shazam, will be interesting to see how it holds this weekend.

[JohnnyGossamer]

37 minutes ago, Matthew said:

I think it's dropping 52%+ next weekend. 

 Good drop considering Ant Man drop 57%

 

 

Ant-Man likely had much stronger weekdays given it was released in the heart of summer days.

[boyamama]

100M ++ @the end of this weekend.....

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

 

12 minutes ago, Matthew said:

 

It will do atleast 140M+ Domestic which is very good, come to think it's budget is 100M(as reported by Deadline) 

Ugh.

If the only good and memorable superhero film released  in 2019 ends up with a total like that, I have no hope for humanity. 

I

 

[Rebeccas]

Just now, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

 

Ugh.

If the only good and memorable superhero film released  in 2019 ends up with a total like that, I have no hope for humanity. 

I

 

Yeah.. no lol

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

Just now, Rebeccas said:

Yeah.. no lol

You are right. I should have written, "[Shazam! is] the only good, memorable, unforgettable, and totally awesome superhero film released in 2019"...

My bad!