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Eric Atreides

AVENGERS: ENDGAME WEEKEND THREAD l Actuals: $357.115M | $866.526M OS, $1.223B WW l Russos true box office kings l *** NO SPOILERS - Even Tagged ***| SALE NOW LIVE: 50% Off Gold Montly, 25% Off Gold Annually

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9 minutes ago, Sue Denim said:

While I'm considering @iHeartJames offer, I thought I would take a look at how Sunday is doing at my local theater.  5 sellouts and 76% capacity for tomorrow with 39 showtimes.  Interesting though is that the evening shows look very light for now.  GOT effect??  

Sun              
2D 9:15 76 85   89.41%    
  9:30 143 152   94.08%    
  9:40 31 41   75.61%    
  10:00 209 209   100.00% **SOLD OUT
  10:20 60 85   70.59%    
  10:30 35 41   85.37%    
  10:40 87 98   88.78%    
  11:00 190 209   90.91%    
  11:30 148 155   95.48%    
  12:05 135 154   87.66%    
  12:20 143 154   92.86%    
  12:45 100 100   100.00% **SOLD OUT
  1:20 152 152   100.00% **SOLD OUT
  1:50 173 209   82.78%    
  2:10 91 100   91.00%    
  2:30 92 100   92.00%    
  2:50 182 209   87.08%    
  3:20 159 159   100.00% **SOLD OUT
  3:55 132 154   85.71%    
  4:10 154 154   100.00% **SOLD OUT
  4:30 82 98   83.67%    
  5:10 149 152   98.03%    
  5:40 171 209   81.82%    
  6:05 72 100   72.00%    
  6:20 90 98   91.84%    
  6:40 156 209   74.64%    
  7:10 142 155   91.61%    
  7:45 86 154   55.84%    
  8:00 75 152   49.34%    
  8:20 28 98   28.57%    
  9:00 30 152   19.74%    
  9:30 12 209   5.74%    
  9:55 3 85   3.53%    
               
3D 11:40 50 60   83.33%    
  1:00 67 100   67.00%    
  3:40 52 60   86.67%    
  4:50 62 85   72.94%    
  7:30 19 60   31.67%    
  8:40 6 100   6.00%    
               
    3844 5056   76.03%    

It's not a GOT effect. It's a people having to work/go to school tomorrow effect.

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20 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I have 120 pages to get through, but I'll just say

 

HOLY.

FUCKING.

SHIT.

ALL HAIL MARVEL.

 

Talk about some insane ass numbers. JESUS. WE DID IT @CJohn

After 4 years, we proved the silly haters wrong. 

giphy.gif

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2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

So the domestic weekend might land around $360m. Simply incredible, no other way to describe it. 

 

Weekend's going to go >300M without even counting the preview gross.  Mind-boggling.

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1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

And I still don't believe what EG does today is the absolute limit. No movie can sellout every showing in the country in a day. 

What good is a limit that is theoretical but impractical? The reality is today is serving as a practical experiment to verify how many people can see one movie in the US in a day. This can be treated as a de facto result.

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1 minute ago, spizzer said:

 

Weekend's going to go >300M without even counting the preview gross.  Mind-boggling.

 

Yep, truly stunning performance. I am curious to see what happens with the number today. For now I'm going with $110m based on RTH's range, but what if it can get to $115m? Then suddenly you have a very good chance for Sunday to also be a $100m day. I'd love to see that happen. An entire weekend of $100m+ days, lol

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6 minutes ago, spizzer said:

 

Weekend's going to go >300M without even counting the preview gross.  Mind-boggling.

It's going to destroy the OW admissions record! TFA and AIW were splitting distance of each other while EG's going to leave them in the dust.

Edited by druv10
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1 minute ago, doublejack said:

What good is a limit that is theoretical but impractical? The reality is today is serving as a practical experiment to verify how many people can see one movie in the US in a day. This can be treated as a de facto result.

People said this for many movies before and it turned out to not be true

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Checking an hour ago  at my locall with 250-300 seats per screen - spanning over 5 shows from 7:30pm to 10:45pm there were two non wheelchair seats left.  The 11:30 & 12:30am had 5 seats left each.  For some reason they haven't added later shows even though earliest shows tomorrow are 9am.  Slackers.  Sunday 9am show in 300 seat theater has less than 20 seats left, mostly front row.

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Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Yep, truly stunning performance. I am curious to see what happens with the number today. For now I'm going with $110m based on RTH's range, but what if it can get to $115m? Then suddenly you have a very good chance for Sunday to also be a $100m day. I'd love to see that happen. An entire weekend of $100m+ days, lol

 

Monday isnt a holiday in the US though, or? So that could maybe prevent Sunday from beeing another 100M grossing-day as late shows simply wont be that filled. Could lead to stupids amount of spillover for the weekdays and 2nd weekend though.

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5 minutes ago, Menor said:

It's not a GOT effect. It's a people having to work/go to school tomorrow effect.

Yep.  All these shows would overlap with GOT between ads + runtime ( not to mention any travel)

 

5:10 149 152   98.03%    
  5:40 171 209   81.82%    
  6:05 72 100   72.00%    
  6:20 90 98   91.84%    
  6:40 156 209   74.64%    
  7:10 142 155   91.61%  
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2 minutes ago, druv10 said:

It's going to destroy the OW admissions record! 

 

I know!  We've been in the 20-23M range since SM1.  Even on the high end of pricing, this will cruise past 30M.  That's a substantial portion of the movie-going population for an 84-hour period.

 

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Yep, truly stunning performance. I am curious to see what happens with the number today. For now I'm going with $110m based on RTH's range, but what if it can get to $115m? Then suddenly you have a very good chance for Sunday to also be a $100m day. I'd love to see that happen. An entire weekend of $100m+ days, lol

 

Yeah that's what I'm rooting for as well.

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2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Monday isnt a holiday in the US though, or? So that could maybe prevent Sunday from beeing another 100M grossing-day as late shows simply wont be that filled. Could lead to stupids amount of spillover for the weekdays and 2nd weekend though.

 

I don't think Monday is a holiday in America. But spillover should be pretty strong. If it can get to $115m for Saturday, I think there is pretty good chance for $100m on Sunday. That's a 13% drop, which is very good for this time of year but also accounts for the spillover effect. Infinity War dropped almost 16%. 

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8 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

I hated the exchange rate factor, and should send everyone an economic text book.

When everybody gaga about about how TFA or any film should have made if it wasn't for bad exchange rate, but nobody talked about how TFA got benefited from extra inflation rate induced by bad exchange rate.

 

Bad exchange rate means higher than usual inflation, that is almost always true especially for developing country. Mexico in 1994, even use exchange rate as a tool to curb hyperinflation by pegging peso to dollar.

 

So everyone that try to downplay Avatar or DH2 or any films that come from the good exchange rate era, please do remember, the extra inflation wiped out significantly the ER advantage. We are now 4 years into the era of strong dollar, the inflation is catching up quicker....      

The other thing they don't consider is that ER advantage is when you have stronger Euro or RMB against USD, however, there's 10 years of domestic inflation as well, and just piles on to it without the factor of foreign exchange. There is a reason why Avatar's global gross is adjusted to 3.25B two years ago. In 2019 this number would have been even higher, this is not even considering Market expansion which is a bigger deal than inflation.

Advantage in ER for Avatar is a empty taking point, Domestic + international inflation more than offset that, and then some more.

 

 
Rank Title Worldwide gross 
(2017 $)
Year
1 Gone with the Wind $3,703,000,000 1939
2 Avatar $3,251,000,000 2009
3 Titanic T$3,078,000,000 1997
4 Star Wars $3,041,000,000 1977
5 The Sound of Music $2,547,000,000 1965
Edited by NCsoft
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3 minutes ago, eddyxx said:

If this opens to 350m

 

100m weekdays

 

150m 2nd weekend

 

600m by end of next sunday?!?!

I would think it’ll do more than 100m in the week if it bows to 350. Monday and Tuesday alone will probably be at least 70 

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