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AVENGERS: ENDGAME WEEKEND THREAD l Actuals: $357.115M | $859M OS, $1.209B WW l Russos true box office kings l *** NO SPOILERS - Even Tagged ***| SALE NOW LIVE: 50% Off Gold Montly, 25% Off Gold Annually

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9 minutes ago, a2k said:

Dom theatrical returns itself will be 460 odd using 850 dom. China returns will be close to 140 using 550 total. So returns of 600 from these 2 markets. Already makes it profitable. OS-China, non-theatrical revenue including merchandizing to come.

Disney gets 65% on theatrical rentals domestic on Avengers movies.  $850m would yield $552m

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9 hours ago, Jake Gittes said:

Bernard Hill, Orlando Bloom, Johnny Depp, Chris Pratt, Zoe Saldana, Emma Watson and Martin Freeman are I think the only actors who've played different roles in different billion-dollar grossers. Laura Dern also if you count the Jurassic Park re-release.

 

8 hours ago, TServo2049 said:

Also Vin Diesel, Hugo Weaving, Tyrese Gibson, John Rhys-Davies (if you count his short voice role in Aquaman), and Djimon Hounsou (Aquaman voice role + Korath cameo in CM). If you count animated films too, you can also throw in Josh Gad, Julie Andrews(!), Idris Elba, Alan Tudyk and John Ratzenberger (between on-camera and animation voices, the latter three have each played a different role in THREE billion-dollar grossers).

 

Additional thought you two got me on:

how many different franchises, successful or not....

 

E.g. Harrison Ford:

successful, him the lead or one of the leads in more than 1 movie of the series

Star Wars

Indiana Jones

Blade Runner

Jack Ryan

 

latter added / only once included:

Anchorman

The Expendables

 

not successfully established

Ender's Game (see book series)

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8 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Someone caught up on their BOT reading this morning.

 

 

Still think it'll be more like 357+ with slightly higher Friday and Saturday numbers.

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11 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

What was the final update for Sunday? 90 - 93? Meaning GoT may have impacted late night screenings by a million or two. That'll just result in additional spillover to the Monday and discount Tuesday numbers. Thinking 30+ is likely locked today. 

Monday was a  work/school day was always going to take away from Sunday late nights.  That's what impacted the B.O.  Not GOT. 

 

Looking at shows last night that started at 8, 9, 10, 11pm- they were still near capacity.

 

Thur/Fri/Sat were running 4m and 5am shows. Those showtimes along with 2ams and a lot of midnight were cut for Sunday  - well past any GOT airing.

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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, a2k said:

Using 358 AEG's OW was 6.0x it's previews. AIW's was 6.6x so one can see some front-loading due to unprecedented demand and sequel factor.

 

AIW's -55.5% drop will be very tough to match and gives 159 2nd weekend. Guessing high-140s/ low-150s.

More like it couldn't do any further due to capacity.

Sadly we missed 357. Its 358 with 157 110 91. I won't be surprised seeing very good Monday hold due to spillovers.

Edited by Charlie Jatinder
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2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

More like it couldn't do any further.

Sadly we missed 357. Its 358 with 158 110 90. I won't be surprised seeing very good Monday hold due to spillovers.

 

Lol @ sadly 🤣

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3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

More like it couldn't do any further.

Sadly we missed 357. Its 358 with 158 110 90. I won't be surprised seeing very good Monday hold due to spillovers.

As always, thanks for the updates.

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Why some expect a drop close to SM3 (61%), harsher than CW (59%)?

 

This is an event movie. The drop will be strong, of course, but not that harsh, IMHO

- No new competition

- Due to sellouts, many didn't have the opportunity to see it OW

- Many fans will repeat experience

- Interest from new audience after all the noise

 

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1 minute ago, SpiderByte said:

So what are the chances of this dethroning Avatar WW?

 

Final worldwide opening (including Russia) will come in around $1.25b

 

IW had a total of $860m and finished at $2.05b

 

If EG has the same legs, we’re looking at $2.97b, so that means we need legs of at least 2.23x to surpass Avatar. I’d say it’s 40/60 right now but we should have our answer by this time next week.

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Posted (edited)

A:IW dropped 48% from true FSS. IMO that's what EG shall target. However it could be better as first weekend saw it facing capacity problem. IMO $155-156mn is possible. Though will like a $157.

Edited by Charlie Jatinder
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39 minutes ago, AndyK said:

Some useless facts.

 

USA spent $1.1 per head-population on EndGame OW.

 

UK was around $0.82.

You missed Canada :ph34r:. It would be barely lower than $1 per person.

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6 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

A:IW dropped 49% from true FSS. IMO that's what EG shall target. However it could be better as first weekend saw it facing capacity problem. IMO $151-152mn is possible. Though will like a $157.

Well played.

 

It’s gonna be EG’s redemption arc after failing to get 357M.

 

I’ll organize a prayer circle. 

 

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14 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

This one is ....

not learning for your exams ;):P:D

 

Can't risk your future for us greedy BO fans (even if highly anticipated :wub: )

 

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Found this on Twitter from an account named  143 Cinema. Anyone know anything about this person? Anyways, they have this as the actuals.

 

#AvengersEndgame  

Friday (incl premiers) $156,065,580

Saturday $108,514,994

Sunday $88,436,640

 

Total domestic gross $353,017,214 and beat the analyst estimates.

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25 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

More like it couldn't do any further due to capacity.

Sadly we missed 357. Its 358 with 158 110 90. I won't be surprised seeing very good Monday hold due to spillovers.

257.7 counts, and 357.99 would as well. Fingers crossed.      

 

2nd weekend 207 because of capacity/spillover, 3rd weekend 107, 4th weekend 57. Then the work is done :ph34r:

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Something to think about when predicting second weekend is that first one had 77/23 breakup of singles/families. So it wasnt very walkup friendly. It should be next time

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3 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

Found this on Twitter from an account named  143 Cinema. Anyone know anything about this person? Anyways, they have this as the actuals.

 

#AvengersEndgame  

Friday (incl premiers) $156,065,580

Saturday $108,514,994

Sunday $88,436,640

 

Total domestic gross $353,017,214 and beat the analyst estimates.

He used to be my previous source. These numbers are comScore reported with 200-300 locs yet to report.

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