Avengers: Endgame Monday Thread (4/29): 36.87M (3rd best Monday ever)

[jedijake]

Heard a lot of people saying that they will see it during the week and more seeing over the weekend. Lots seeing it for their 2nd time. Pretty soon if you haven't seen this film you are going to look like a loser.

 

$1 billion domestic when? Mid-June?

[AndyLL]

11 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am being conservative here, assuming there were a lot of pre-sales. Using the usual ratio from Sunday to Monday, it would be 40-43mn and surprisingly, this film is playing close to latter so far.

 

But the safe number is 38-40.

 

And most schools are still in session.... 

[Biggestgeekever]

15 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

Monday business will be far more shifted towards the evening than Sunday 

A fair point. I'll be over the moon if we see $40M today.

[Porthos]

13 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am being conservative here, assuming there were a lot of pre-sales. Using the usual ratio from Sunday to Monday,

I can (RIGHTFULLY) be accused of being a pretty jaded fellow at times.  When I saw the 350+ OW along with all of the reports of massive sales still happening in the tracking thread I can't say I was shocked at the idea of 38 or 39.  

 

An amazing sign of insane demand yet to be burned off yet, to be sure.  But I and others has been calling a massive Mon and Tue for weeks now.

 

That being said:

 

Quote

it would be 40-43mn and surprisingly, this film is playing close to latter so far.

 

THAT'S a different forking story. 

Edited April 30, 2019 by Porthos

[stfletch]

14 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am being conservative here, assuming there were a lot of pre-sales. Using the usual ratio from Sunday to Monday, it would be 40-43mn and surprisingly, this film is playing close to latter so far.

 

But the safe number is 38-40.

Insane numbers. I know its unlikely but if it hits the top end of that range, that's $400M I'm just 4 days!!

Edited April 30, 2019 by stfletch

[KP1025]

8 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

If this beats the monday record on a normal monday...

So it looks like Infinity War is the only one on this list with a normal working Monday. The others, while not official holidays per se, had a large percentage of people off work/school (particularly TFA and RO).

 

TOP NON-HOLIDAY MONDAYS

Note: This chart only shows $8 million+ days, regardless of sorting.

Rank	Title (click to view)	Studio	Single Day Gross	Theaters	Average	Date / Days in Release		Gross to Date*	Final Gross*
1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$40,109,742	4,134	$9,702	12/21/15	4	$288.1	$936.7
2	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	BV	$32,085,637	4,157	$7,718	12/26/16	11	$318.1	$532.2
3	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$31,362,029	4,134	$7,586	12/28/15	11	$571.4	$936.7
4	Jurassic World	Uni.	$25,344,820	4,274	$5,930	6/15/15	4	$234.2	$652.3
5	Avengers: Infinity War	BV	$24,740,117	4,474	$5,530	4/30/18	4	$282.4	$678.8

[IceFire9yt]

Not only is Black Panther's 40.2M Monday record in reach, but so is TFA's 37.4M Tuesday record.  If it gets 40M, a doable 6.5% drop (IW had a 5.3% drop), will do it.

[RichWS]

[Legion Again]

Strong sign imo that the weekend was pretty showtimes constrained and demand was there to pass 400M if they savaged the holdovers enough.  

 

Also the Monday actual will be 40.7, it is ordained.

[Sue Denim]

38-40?????

 

Well, you can take my 31 prediction and nuke it from orbit.  It's the only way to be sure...

[JohnnyGossamer]

 

22 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am being conservative here, assuming there were a lot of pre-sales. Using the usual ratio from Sunday to Monday, it would be 40-43mn and surprisingly, this film is playing close to latter so far.

 

But the safe number is 38-40.

Edited April 30, 2019 by JohnnyGossamer

[Ozymandias]

stealing @BoxOfficeZ's gif

 

Edited April 30, 2019 by Ozymandias

[Legion Again]

Guess I’m gonna be wrong about FFH taking the Tuesday record from TFA 

[Darth Lehnsherr]

We need @RtheEnd confirmation

[Ent]

24 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am being conservative here, assuming there were a lot of pre-sales. Using the usual ratio from Sunday to Monday, it would be 40-43mn and surprisingly, this film is playing close to latter so far.

 

But the safe number is 38-40.

$43M will put its overall domestic BO at $400M domestic in...4 days !

 

Insane !

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

We need @RtheEnd confirmation

It’s like 6PM Pacific, they like to wait several more hours usually so there’s less extrapolation involved. 

[Rthmessiah]

few hours ago i was going with 36-38 trying stay conservative(over weekend conservative generally got me high end range  ), but I could see how 40 or more could be achievable. It's just with presales so high, see how evening goes.

[CJohn]

Just now, RtheEnd said:

few hours ago i was going with 36-38 trying stay conservative(over weekend conservative generally got me high end range  ), but I could see how 40 or more could be achievable. It's just with presales so high, see how evening goes.

This seems like a more realistic range.

[Ms Lady Hawk]

@RtheEnd usually likes making predictions later in the evenings. Not doubting Charlie’s number but would be nice to hear from the original BOT god. With this movie, we can never be surprised though. I think anything is possible. I honestly wouldn’t be completely shocked with 45M at this point. 

[Sheldon Cr]

43 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

That...is remarkable. Now I’m putting TFA as a doable target. 

Need to see more strong days but yep.its looking good so far