Avengers: Endgame Tuesday Thread (4/30): 33.11M (3rd best Tuesday ever, 2nd best non-opening)

[doublejack]

1 hour ago, Mango said:

So we’re looking at $450M by Wednesday, $500M by Friday, and over $600M by Sunday.

 

Fucking insane.

It is a longshot, but with better than expected holds tomorrow and Thursday, and a bigger than projected jump on Friday there is a scenario where Endgame hits 600M on Saturday. This would be the "OMG it may have a 200M second weekend" sequence of events.

[charlie Jatinder]

I have numbers bit lower than @RtheEnd. Around 32mn.

[WrathOfHan]

Endgame as it doesn't break the weekday records:

 

 

Endgame as it demolishes the second weekend record:

 

 

btw I'm seeing it again tomorrow in Dolby

[druv10]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I have numbers bit lower than @RtheEnd. Around 32mn.

Sorry Charlie, I'm taking Rth's number over yours. 

[Ms Lady Hawk]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I have numbers bit lower than @RtheEnd. Around 32mn.

Thank you, but I hope you’re not letting that poster from yesterday temper your predictions. I am sure that I am not speaking only for myself when I say that your enthusiasm interpreting numbers is a breath of fresh air. You and RtheEnd are absolutely awesome! 

[IceFire9yt]

Well, Charlie's numbers would fit with that questionable twitter's poster's numbers.

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I have numbers bit lower than @RtheEnd. Around 32mn.

#flopgame fire Feige

[JB33]

3 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

Thank you, but I hope you’re not letting that poster from yesterday temper your predictions. I am sure that I am not speaking only for myself when I say that your enthusiasm interpreting numbers is a breath of fresh air. You and RtheEnd are absolutely awesome! 

Seconded.

[charlie Jatinder]

Imo that's totally normal. Monday was inflated with spillover and things back to normalcy today. I hope so.

If it only drop 25% tommorow, that will be sign toward it.

[MagnarTheGreat]

Way too early to make judgments from this (get another weekend under the belt), but making it available.

 

MCU franchise first entry (domestic)	Day 4 Cume Multiplier	Day 5 Cume Multiplier	Final Multiplier	Added After Day 5	90% of Gross On Day	Release Month
Guardians of the Galaxy	1.12	1.25	3.53	2.28	43	Aug.
Black Panther	1.20	1.30	3.47	2.17	38	Feb.
Iron Man	1.11	1.17	3.23	2.06	37	May
Ant-Man	1.11	1.25	3.15	1.90	37	Jul.
Marvel’s The Avengers	1.09	1.18	3.01	1.83	35	May
Spider-Man: Homecoming	1.10	1.23	2.86	1.63	36	Jul.
Thor	1.08	1.16	2.75	1.59	26	May
Doctor Strange	1.07	1.16	2.74	1.58	29	Nov.
Captain America: The First Avenger	1.12	1.24	2.72	1.48	26	Jul.
Captain Marvel*	1.07	1.17	2.70	1.53	31	Mar.
The Incredible Hulk	1.11	1.20	2.43	1.23	23	Jun.
average	1.11	1.21	2.96	1.75	33
median	1.11	1.20	2.86	1.66	35
MCU franchise sequel (domestic)	Day 4 Cume Multiplier	Day 5 Cume Multiplier	Final Multiplier	Added After Day 5	90% of Gross On Day	Release Month
Avengers: Endgame*	1.10	1.20	TBD	TBD	TBD	Apr.
Ant-Man and the Wasp	1.09	1.22	2.86	1.64	31	Jul.
Captain America: The Winter Soldier	1.07	1.14	2.73	1.59	30	Apr.
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	1.07	1.15	2.66	1.51	30	May
Avengers: Infinity War	1.10	1.19	2.63	1.44	30	Apr.
Thor: Ragnarok	1.07	1.16	2.57	1.41	29	Nov.
Iron Man 2	1.07	1.14	2.44	1.30	27	May
Thor: The Dark World	1.12	1.18	2.41	1.23	24	Nov.
Avengers: Age of Ultron	1.07	1.14	2.40	1.26	26	May
Iron Man 3	1.06	1.13	2.35	1.22	25	May
Captain America: Civil War	1.07	1.15	2.28	1.13	23	May
average	1.08	1.16	2.53	1.37	28
median	1.07	1.15	2.51	1.35	28

 

* results not final; Avengers: Endgame Day 5 estimate from RtheEnd. Jatinder estimate: 1.19 Day 5 multiplier.

 

See also: Calendar effect

[Sam]

13 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I have numbers bit lower than @RtheEnd. Around 32mn.

That’s not a bit lower though  

 

32m gonna put the Tues drop to double what 34.5m is lol.

[AndyLL]

28 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

 

This should be an enlightening test for how useful this person's data is

Probably pulling numbers directly from the magic abacus @RtheEnd uses and posts them.

 

My understanding is they're not supposed to do that which is why our insiders give projections for the day. 

 

We had someone doing that on the a year or so ago and there were some issues with it. 

 

Or maybe I'm just confused in my old age. 

[Biggestgeekever]

3 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

Probably pulling numbers directly from the magic abacus @RtheEnd uses and posts them.

 

My understanding is they're not supposed to do that which is why our insiders give projections for the day. 

 

We had someone doing that on the a year or so ago and there were some issues with it. 

 

Or maybe I'm just confused in my old age. 

Aye, I do remember that. I assume since they're from twitter it's fine, but if not, just let me know and I won't post them any further.

[Nova]

21 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I have numbers bit lower than @RtheEnd. Around 32mn.

Charlie dude. I love your enthusiasm but when the numbers don't fit in with what I want them to be, I don't believe you. So on that note. $34.5M is the number! 

[keysersoze123]

May be just link it instead of embed it or just post relative data. I dont see how comscore comes after BOT for any infringment.

[AndyLL]

4 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Aye, I do remember that. I assume since they're from twitter it's fine, but if not, just let me know and I won't post them any further.

No issue for us since its Twitter.  The other time it was an issue because they posted directly here. 

[doublejack]

15 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

TFA's domestic record should be within reach if EG is at 620M-640M by next Sunday. which is 100M above TFA in the same point in time. (TFA was at 540M after it's 2nd weekend.)

 

TFA had massive weekdays its second week. Even if Endgame does 150% of what IW did, the gap will shrink considerably. TFA did 111.7M mon-thur of its second week. 150% of IW is about 49.2M.  TFA also had a 90M third weekend, so it is not as if Endgame will have a lot of opportunity to restore some margin there.

 

Endgame needs to be at least at 640M by Sunday, maybe a bit higher than that even, and probably also needs a 100M 3rd weekend. Those are difficult but I think achievable numbers given what this movie has already done.

[sfran43]

[raulbalarezo]

Just now, sfran43 said:

Between Charlie and RTH Numbers 

 

[IceFire9yt]

32M is a harsher Tuesday drop than I was hoping for, but it was after a much better Monday hold than I was expecting, so I guess its perfectly balanced.