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Avengers: Endgame Thursday Thread: DHD 21.7M

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Good number for EG. I expect a +$42 Friday for a $150 second weekend. It will make $850 domestic which is HUGE and over what it was expected to do. OS will be even more impressive. China really improve over IW.

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4 minutes ago, baumer said:

You're making a lot of assumptions as well. I know I am also we're just reading things in different ways. I don't think end game is going to be able to sustain the pace that it's on or the pace that it will need to pass TFA. That's all. You're talking about it like it's a mathematical certainty. I'm just talkin about it like it's a possibility that it will not pass it. So again we'll see what happens.

I REALLY want EG to pass TFA. I am by no means in love with any of the two movies, but I do prefer EG. The reason I want it to be number one is because it's the apex of the MCU. The crowning achievement - say what you will about it, you cannot deny the sheer accomplishment of building this universe. The logistics behind it are mind-boggling and the way the MCU has changed the Hollywood landscape and really hit that sweet spot with audiences worldwide is nothing short of awe-inspiring. The way I see it, EG being #1 is a celebration of that fact.

 

Having said that, unless the Sat and Sun numbers are as mind-blowing (in terms of %) as last weekend, I can see TFA being safe. Even if there are no other monstrous hits coming, we are still looking at quite a few movies in the 150-250 region coming in the next couple of months. Theaters will have to take screens away from EG, so its late legs might be what makes the difference. I think it will be a few million either way, so it will definitely be fascinating to watch.

 

Here's hoping that the weekend puts EG in a good position.  

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8 minutes ago, baumer said:

In other movie news besides end game, I am on my way to see long shot now. And I just found out that Raiders of the lost ark is playing at the theater here tonight. I have never seen in Raiders of the lost ark on the big screen and I am definitely going to try to go tonight.

A great time! I've seen it twice on the big screen and once at the Symphony Center where the orchestra plays the score as the film runs on a huge screen overhead!

 

I hate that the Fandango movie event Sat 5/4 is Batman('89) and I'm not going to be able to go!!

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$937m is a nice feather in the cap if it can get it, but the real goal is $2.79b

 

EG will beat IW by $200m domestically and $250m in China. That means we need the rest of the world to surpass IW by about 14%.

 

I know legs can taper off, but this seems like essentially a forefront conclusion at this point, given the fact that several dozen countries will come in 25% over IW.

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The whole contour of the last several pages is just bizarre to me. It literally doesn’t matter a bit that TFA had winter holidays, or the weekdays were better, or that it dropped this much then and that much the other time. There is only one single aspect of TFA run’s that is important to the question of whether Endgame will pass it, and that is:   

 

$936,662,225    

 

Conditioning on already knowing that number, all else is fluff. 

Edited by Thanos Legion
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6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

The whole contour of the last several pages is just bizarre to me. It literally doesn’t matter a bit that TFA had winter holidays, or the weekdays were better, or that it dropped this much then and that much the other time. There is only one single aspect of TFA run’s that is important to the question of whether Endgame will pass it, and that is:   

 

$936,662,225    

 

Conditioning on already knowing that number, all else is fluff. 

Exactly. Like even if TFA has higher weekdays Endgame will make that final number with legs of 2.6, aka Infinity War. The fact that TFA has bigger weekdays in X and Y week doesn't change that

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6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

The whole contour of the last several pages is just bizarre to me. It literally doesn’t matter a bit that TFA had winter holidays, or the weekdays were better, or that it dropped this much then and that much the other time. There is only one single aspect of TFA run’s that is important to the question of whether Endgame will pass it, and that is:   

 

$936,662,225    

 

Conditioning on already knowing that number, all else is fluff. 

So you’re telling me the number EG need to get to is 937M?

 

Well, in that case, it has my blessings. 

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2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Well, Jurassic World fought good, but couldn’t escape the fate of ‘found dead in a ditch’

 

Good hold internationally after the May 1st holiday. 1.312B OS is about 55M away from IW’s OS total.

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A few early impressions...  all that have green fonts = all are estimates for the moment,  black fonts = finals  

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2019/05/02

 

Quote

Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday May 2, 2019

← Previous Chart Chart Index  
 
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Avengers: Endgame Walt Disney $21,400,000 -15% 4,662 $4,590   $473,751,786 7
Previews The Intruder Sony Pictures $865,000   2,073 $417   $865,000  
Previews Long Shot Lionsgate $660,000   2,500 $264   $660,000  
- (2) The Curse of La Llorona Warner Bros. $515,000 -18% 3,372 $153   $44,599,898 14
Previews UglyDolls STX Entertainment $300,000   2,250 $133   $300,000  
- (5) Shazam! Warner Bros. $290,000 -19% 3,631 $80   $132,740,822 28
- (8) Pet Sematary Paramount Pictures $126,565 -20% 1,655 $76   $53,257,219 28
- (12) Amazing Grace Neon $64,540 -2% 247 $261   $2,404,333 147
- (-) Unplanned Pure Flix Entertain… $24,763 -9% 251 $99   $17,855,008 35
- (-) High Life A24 $20,449 -7% 146 $140   $1,013,978 28
- (-) Wonder Park Paramount Pictures $14,525 +11% 249 $58   $45,067,841 49
- (-) Apollo 11 Neon $6,126 +36% 62 $99   $8,577,343 63
- (-) Gloria Bell A24 $3,904 +5% 39 $100   $5,555,378 56
- (-) Little Woods Neon $3,238 -6% 29 $112   $126,867 14
- (-) The Beach Bum Neon $2,732 -22% 15 $182   $3,492,187 35

 

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