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Weekend Thread: Endgame 40.6M Friday, 61-62.5m Sat (per Asgard p.49)

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3 hours ago, A Panda of Ice and Fire said:

No lmao, that's not what I said or the article said at all.

That is what you are implying.

 

That the ticket price is affected by supply and demand curves - which really isn't the case.

 

People will go and watch Endgame tonight because they want to - whether the ticket price was $8 or $10 I really don't think it would affect the number of people attending.

 

Then, apart from the rare occasions when a screening is completely sold out, supply is effectively infinite. If you live anywhere in the world today and want to watch Endgame you can.

 

Therefore, the amount of people who go to see the film today is pretty much solely a function of the demand for that movie - the number of screenings, amount of seats per screen, ticket price etc are all, within reason, largely irrelevant and the same was true 20 years ago with Titanic and 40 years ago with Jaws.

Edited by Broshnat
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24 minutes ago, Broshnat said:

That is what you are implying.

 

That the ticket price is affected by supply and demand curves - which really isn't the case.

 

People will go and watch Endgame tonight because they want to - whether the ticket price was $8 or $10 I really don't think it would affect the number of people attending.

 

Then, apart from the rare occasions when a screening is completely sold out, supply is effectively infinite. If you live anywhere in the world today and want to watch Endgame you can.

 

Therefore, the amount of people who go to see the film today is pretty much solely a function of the demand for that movie - the number of screenings, amount of seats per screen, ticket price etc are all, within reason, largely irrelevant and the same was true 20 years ago with Titanic and 40 years ago with Jaws.

I’m done with this conversation because you don’t seem to have any grasp of what you’re talking about when it comes to supply and demand.

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23 minutes ago, A Panda of Ice and Fire said:

I’m done with this conversation because you don’t seem to have any grasp of what you’re talking about when it comes to supply and demand.

I understand supply and demand I just don't see how:

  1. It is relevant to a discussion about using admissions to compare box office performance as broadly the same supply and demand conditions apply now as they did 50 years ago.
  2. It is really that relevant at all in terms of how many people go to see a blockbuster movie.

I saw Titanic 5 times back in 1998 and the amount of seats available, ticket price or any other kind of "movie industry structure" had no relevance - only how much I wanted to see the movie. And I would say the same is true of Endgame.

 

Supply and demand curves in the traditional economic sense aren't really relevant to this argument as the price is basically fixed relative to income and the supply of available seats far outweighs the demand in all but the most extreme circumstances.

 

If there was only one showing of a movie per day and relative ticket price was $100+ in one decade compared to thousands of showings and tickets at $1 in another decade then of course a direct comparison of admissions wouldn't be valid as the conditions are so drastically different - but that isn't really the case here.

Edited by Broshnat
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15 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

Anybody else bummed about Long Shot or is it just me? 

Definitely should be doing much better than it is. It's a worse opening than even Zack & Miri Make a Porno or Observe & Report among Rogen vehicles and those were a decade ago.

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2 hours ago, ZattMurdock said:

My other hunch: 

 

Once Endgame tops Avatar, and that's around Memorial Weekend, the hype around the film will make the film have bigger legs than expected for a film that opened to the amount Endgame. I believe we'll get Endgame going for a very strong run until Lion King cutting the number of thewter, only to get a rexpansion around August. I think the final multiplier will be around 2.9, with the film making bank from now until October / November. After that, I wouldn't be surprised with a re-release next February due to a possible best film nomination, and going fucking bonkers if wins the Oscar for best film. 

 

Runs of THE biggest films of all time are always wild, and while I get why people are still treating this film like yet another superhero film at the box office, I think we will start singing a different tune around the weekdays of the next week, going into the memorial weekend.

I'd be positively shocked if Endgame gets even a sniff of a Best Picture nomination. 

 

Agree that its late legs have the potential to be pretty solid though. 

Edited by svetlana99
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4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

It seems to share PLF with endgame in several markets. Its having all shows in the morning and post 6PM shows are all endgame. I think impact to end game is limited except little bit over the weekend. Already weekday iMax/PLF shows seem mostly empty for endgame except NY.

There's a 30 screen AMC near me that has an IMAX (LieMAX really) and a Dolby screen. Starting on Friday when Pika opens, Endgame gets the IMAX all day and Pika has the Dolby in the morning and afternoon (3 showings). Endgame gets the Dolby at 7pm.

 

So it is not quite a 50/50 split. It still tilts toward Endgame.

 

I'm also seeing more digital 2D showtimes for Endgame. Does the AMC think Endgame will have the bigger weekend? Looking like maybe yes.

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2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Definitely should be doing much better than it is. It's a worse opening than even Zack & Miri Make a Porno or Observe & Report among Rogen vehicles and those were a decade ago.

Its OW is not much different from 50/50 which also stars Seth Rogan and has the same director.  I know it's a long shot but I hope it gets close to $40m like that film.

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So Endgame needs a 3.13 post second weekend multiplier to beat TFA. Infinity War managed a 2.96. Endgame has to face Pika this weekend and Alladin in its 5th weekend which is Memorial weekend so offsets that a bit. Infinity War faced a direct comp. in Deadpool 2 in it’s 4th weekend and it put a damper on its late legs.

 

i think Endgame has the more favorable schedule ahead so I’m not ruling out it giving TFA a good battle.

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I've looked at a few theaters nearby, and all of them have more showings for Endgame this weekend than they do for Detective Pika. Maybe they are missing what consumers want, but I think they are on to something. Will we see a third weekend at #1? I'm thinking yes.

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10 hours ago, baumer said:

oh yeah and then I saw it twice when I got released in 3D. And it had nothing to do with it being in 3D I just wanted to see it at the movie theater again. Titanic is unlike pretty much any other film I have ever seen in the theater. It just elicits I'm very strong emotional reaction for me.

I know a person online in India, he has watched Titanic ~50 times including 38 times during initial release. He was barely 8-9 years old back then.

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9 minutes ago, blackspider said:

So Endgame needs a 3.13 post second weekend multiplier to beat TFA. Infinity War managed a 2.96. Endgame has to face Pika this weekend and Alladin in its 5th weekend which is Memorial weekend so offsets that a bit. Infinity War faced a direct comp. in Deadpool 2 in it’s 4th weekend and it put a damper on its late legs.

 

i think Endgame has the more favorable schedule ahead so I’m not ruling out it giving TFA a good battle.

John wick judging by pre sales is gonna be a lot bigger than people think. That weekend isn’t gonna be smooth sailing 

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17 minutes ago, doublejack said:

I've looked at a few theaters nearby, and all of them have more showings for Endgame this weekend than they do for Detective Pika. Maybe they are missing what consumers want, but I think they are on to something. Will we see a third weekend at #1? I'm thinking yes.

Seeing the same thing around me, actually, with Endgame keeping its IMAX slots.  At the very least we're looking for a close weekend.

Edited by IceFire9yt
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