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Weekend Thread: Endgame 40.6M Friday, 61-62.5m Sat (per Asgard p.49)

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Was NOT expecting that CinemaScore for Long Shot. Haven't had a more positive reaction to a movie from an audience at my theatre for as long as I can remember (if you exclude things like Star Wars or Avengers opening night screening). 

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21 minutes ago, JB33 said:

I've concluded that RT Audience score is BS. Not so sure about Cinemascore.

Cinemascore is definitely NOT an indicator of legs, unlike what some publications want you to believe. Most mass audience/family oriented movies hardly ever go below B, even if they are average. But most R-Rated horror, comedy or serious drama/thriller will never hit A, even if they are critically acclaimed and end up having great multi at the BO.

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2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Was NOT expecting that CinemaScore for Long Shot. Haven't had a more positive reaction to a movie from an audience at my theatre for as long as I can remember (if you exclude things like Star Wars or Avengers opening night screening). 

Yeah that's the sense I was getting, which is why I'm shocked too. Makes me extra intrigued to see how its opening weekend plays out.

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Long Shot was really fantastic. Shocked at how much I enjoyed it. And my entire crowed loved it too. 

 

Lionsgate really fucked it up royally with the release date and marketing. But, I am sure people will discover it through streaming in a few months. 

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I think what happens is we get so enamoured with "patterns" that certain numbers become surprising or disappointing based on that. Especially for someone who is OCD, like me, if something isn't following a pattern it's discouraging. Have to remember to look at numbers at face value sometimes.

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It’s important to remember that the bigger a movie opens, the harder it is to maintain audience, even if it’s beloved.

 

ENDGAME crushed the opening weekend record, making it exponentially harder to keep up with lower-grossing films on a percentage basis.

Edited by ViewerAnon
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Everyone I know saw Endgame last week. Even my dad saw it last week and has seen like maybe 4 Marvel movies. Obviously it was going to drop  lmao. 

Edited by ban1o
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BOX OFFICE FOR MAY 3-5

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
yrt1240_v194.1074.jpg?resize=500%2C281 1 Avengers: Endgame Dis 4,662 $40.8M (-74%) $146.9M (-59%) $620.8M 2
longshot.jpg?resize=500%2C281 2 Long Shot LG 3,230 $3.78M $10.6M $10.6M 1
intruder-2.jpg?resize=500%2C281 3 The Intruder Sony 2,222 $3.96M $10.5M $10.5M 1
uglydolls-3.jpg?resize=500%2C281 4 UglyDolls STX 3,652 $2.5M $9.2M $9.2M 1
captain-marvel-ii.jpg?resize=500%2C281 5 Captain Marvel Dis 2,243 (-192) $1.3M (-49%) $4.2M (-49%) $420.7M 9
breakthrough-19.jpg?resize=500%2C281 6 Breakthrough Dis/Fox 2,884
(-29)
$1.1M (-42%) $4M
(-42%)
$33.2M 3
llorona-2-1.jpeg?resize=500%2C281 7 …La Llorona NL 2,540 (-832) $934K (-62%) $3.1M
(-62%)
$47.7M 3
shazaam.jpeg?resize=500%2C281 8 Shazam! NL 2,521 (-1,110) $614K (-60%) $2.2M (-60%) $135M 5
little.jpg?resize=500%2C281 9 Little Uni 1,359 (-760) $376K (-61%) $1.37M (-61%) $38.4M 4
dumbo-2019.jpg?resize=500%2C281 10 Dumbo Dis 1,668 (-712) $343K (-63%) $1.36M
(-61%)
$109.6M 6
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Just now, Nakamura said:

Is deadline realiable source? 

A lot of the time...no.

 

And no way to that $146M weekend prediction. Not even going to give that any credence.

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Hmm. The Friday number was bound to create some overreaction. But if it is closer to the 40 that DHD has, then - as much as it is a superb number in itself - TFA looks safe. :(

Let's see, maybe the actual will be closer to mid-40 and, of course, the Sat increase can change a lot. 

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