Weekend Thread: Endgame 40.6M Friday, 61-62.5m Sat (per Asgard p.49)

[Porthos]

51 minutes ago, kitik said:

I went on vacation and when I came back the Like button was fixed!!!

 

Who should I thank for that?

 

48 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

@Water Bottle i think

And @captainwondyful for pestering Water Bottle about it like a boss! 👍

[MagnarTheGreat]

Stamina update on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (last week's table):

 

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
Avengers: Endgame*	9	1.74	$621.3M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Captain Marvel*	36	2.74	$420.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#2 (2019)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	33	3.42
median of table	31	2.89
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of May 5, 2019

 

Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier	Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier
January	2.88	2.66	July	3.30	3.22
February	2.81	2.73	August	3.22	3.00
March	3.02	2.89	September	2.87	2.75
April	2.76	2.65	October	3.02	2.75
May	2.95	2.82	November	3.43	3.23
June	3.13	3.01	December	5.45	4.76
all (1025 movies)				3.21	2.93
excludes 2018-2019 releases
highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

 

[keysersoze123]

15 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

I think you're underestimating how much impact competition will have on Endgame. It won't face a Deadpool film, but this coming weekend it'll likely hold worse than IW, and IW's 6th weekend and 7th weekend had minimal competition so it had great holds. That won't be the case with Endgame as it faces Godzilla, Rocket, Dark Phoenix, and Secret Life of Pets 2.

 

$880M-$890M is the target, in my opinion.

That could happen. But I have seen movies handle competition and this has a must see factor. It could co exist with other movies. How on earth did Cap Marvel gross so much in past 6-7 weeks. It got a bigger boost than even BP got from IW. So this could have a long run that should help it hit the milestone.

[sfran43]

 

[CJohn]

NOT A RECORD FLOPGAME CAN'T EVEN BEAT SILLY WARS.

[sfran43]

 

[Zakiyyah6]

Sunday dropped more than I thought. Still a great weekend number though. 

[sfran43]

Est. / Act.		Diff	Movie Title (click to view)	Studio	Studio Est. / Actual		Diff	% Diff	Theaters	Est. Total	Actual	Wk
1	1	-	Avengers: Endgame	BV	$145,804,000	$147,383,211	$+1,579,211	+1.1%	4,662	$619,698,638	$621,277,849	2
2	2	-	The Intruder (2019)	SGem	$11,000,000	$10,855,054	$-144,946	-1.3%	2,222	$11,000,000	$10,855,054	1
3	3	-	Long Shot	LG/S	$10,025,000	$9,740,064	$-284,936	-2.8%	3,230	$10,025,000	$9,740,064	1
4	4	-	Uglydolls	STX	$8,510,000	$8,603,407	$+93,407	+1.1%	3,652	$8,510,000	$8,603,407	1
5	5	-	Captain Marvel	BV	$4,276,000	$4,282,244	$+6,244	+0.1%	2,243	$420,768,018	$420,774,262	9
6	6	-	Breakthrough	Fox	$3,948,000	$3,906,900	$-41,100	-1.0%	2,884	$33,224,512	$33,183,412	3
7	7	-	The Curse of La Llorona	WB (NL)	$3,500,000	$3,702,607	$+202,607	+5.8%	2,540	$48,100,003	$48,302,610	3
8	8	-	Shazam!	WB (NL)	$2,450,000	$2,504,958	$+54,958	+2.2%	2,521	$135,193,790	$135,248,748	5
9	10	+1	Little	Uni.	$1,474,000	$1,420,165	$-53,835	-3.7%	1,359	$38,584,325	$38,530,490	4
10	9	-1	Dumbo (2019)	BV	$1,433,000	$1,511,608	$+78,608	+5.5%	1,668	$109,709,592	$109,788,200	6
11	11	-	El Chicano	Briarcliff	$700,432	$700,261	$-171	-0.0%	605	$700,432	$700,261	1
12	12	-	Pet Sematary (2019)	Par.	$500,000	$502,803	$+2,803	+0.6%	655	$53,757,219	$53,760,022	5
13	13	-	Us	Uni.	$496,000	$494,860	$-1,140	-0.2%	599	$173,920,690	$173,919,550	7
14	14	-	Amazing Grace (2019)	Neon	$367,395	$377,245	$+9,850	+2.7%	263	$2,771,728	$2,781,578	22
15	15	-	Penguins (Disneynature)	BV	$344,000	$328,976	$-15,024	-4.4%	1,052	$6,724,829	$6,709,805	3
16	16	-	Missing Link	UAR	$278,048	$289,507	$+11,459	+4.1%	707	$16,142,120	$16,153,580	4
17	17	-	Red Joan	IFC	$253,814	$256,119	$+2,305	+0.9%	139	$527,783	$530,088	3
18	18	-	How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World	Uni.	$182,000	$171,470	$-10,530	-5.8%	245	$159,949,060	$159,938,530	11

[Krissykins]

BOM had Endgame’s budget as $356m??

 

I just noticed this appears to be correct. 

 

I’ve never seen any discussion about it on here. That’s insane! Is that the biggest production budget of all time? 

Edited May 6, 2019 by Krissykins

[nevermore]

2 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

BOM had Endgame’s budget as $356m??

 

I just noticed this appears to be correct. 

 

I’ve never seen any discussion about it on here. That’s insane! Is that the biggest production budget of all time? 

On Stranger Tides had 378 million

[Lordmandeep]

Endgame beat the TLJ total gross in ten days 🤗

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Endgame beat the TLJ total gross in ten days 🤗

 

Well it beat Titanics Worldwide gross in like 11 or 12 Days lol.

[ZackM]

3 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Endgame beat the TLJ total gross in ten days 🤗

Cool.

[cookie]

11 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

BOM had Endgame’s budget as $356m??

 

I just noticed this appears to be correct. 

 

I’ve never seen any discussion about it on here. That’s insane! Is that the biggest production budget of all time? 

The officially acknowledged cost for Age of Ultron was $365m after UK tax rebates.

[TServo2049]

Anybody remember the claim that kept circulating prior to IW’s release that the two films combined were budgeted at $1 billion? Yeah, I doubt that was true, but $356m for just one seems like a bargain in comparison.

Edited May 6, 2019 by TServo2049

[Lordmandeep]

should make around 730-735 million domestic by next Sunday. 

 

850 is locked and final total around 900 million likely.

 

Think it will drop hard this weekend but do well on weekend 4 and 5 due to repeat viewings and casuals checking it out. 

 

 

Edited May 6, 2019 by Lordmandeep

[KJsooner]

Tons of films should beat The last Jedi. TLJ is a pos.

[LonePirate]

Is Pikachu receiving any PLFs this weekend? If so, EG’s legs are going to be a little shorter.

[Krissykins]

17 minutes ago, nevermore said:

On Stranger Tides had 378 million

Jesus! BOM has it listed as $250m but I just seen $378m elsewhere. 

 

I had no idea Endgame cost so much. I wonder why I never noticed

[Taruseth]

5 hours ago, A Panda of Ice and Fire said:

Going to stop you there because if you’re implying by “more popular” to mean higher demand, that’s absolutely false and you should take an intro to economics course.

 

Quantity is a function of price, determined by price.  Look, for example, at the change that’s happened in theaters recently. 

 

Prices have not changed at the same rate as the actual inflation rate, why?  There’s changing cost structures in how theaters work, they are opting for bigger, luxury seats which reduce the capacity each of their theaters have, and respectively increase the price.  If the theater does so where the revenue from a sellout will be the same as it was before (just spitballing with this one as it’s an example, it may not actually match like this), then while they’ll sell less tickets they’ll make just as much revenue, potentially more if they weren’t selling out the old theaters but are selling out these.  

 

In that case to, sure if there were two movies and one movie sold out one old theater and the other one new one, the movie that sold out the old one would have higher admissions and “adjust” higher.  But holding everything else equal you couldn’t really say that the old one was more popular, because a lower price will result in a higher quantity demanded, actual demand for the two movies could have been exactly the same!

 

Then take into consideration that there’s a vast amount of other similar factors also going into this, and hopefully you can see why comparing popular movies to each other from vastly different times is in itself a futile task that you aren’t going to get a real answer from no matter how you try and measure it.

I might have, you are right about that, went overboard with that statement, I actually just wanted to say that a pure gross isn't the supreme way to compare movies, cause that is flawed too as the whole surrounding changed too (one could also look at it relative to the whole movie market, to the second biggest film that year, though I am not saying those are suitable alternatives for this) and the specific definition of what popular means.

 

Though that relation works both ways, price is depended on demand and what is offered, too (so quantity).

 

Which, you write in the next paragraph.

Maybe the reason in the US, no idea why it got so fucking expensive in Germany, because those seats seriously aren't luxury seat (auditoriums are at the least the same size as twenty or more years ago and seatings, as far as I know, haven't gotten better) yet the prices have skyrocketed and are still doing it, which together actually is killing the cinema right now and that isn't just in adm. (where the last year was the worst since 1990! but even in €, it was the worst since 2008 and in $, it  was the worst since 2006) Though ticket prices decreased last year for the first time since 2003.

 

Yeah, for the theatres it doesn't matter if they got their money with 10 adm. or 100 (though actually, 100 would probably mean more money for food and all that, that is beside the point right now).

 

Apparently, you really didn't read until the end, as I agreed with your final point that those comparisons are really flawed as there are too many things that are influencing the gross/adm. count of a movie and that the way one chooses to compare them can make the movie, I want to be the most popular, be the most popular  (adm. for Titanic, money for Endgame). 

 

Movies gross more and more money every year in the US, does it make them more popular, I wouldn't really say that, as the number of possible watchers is growing, the economy is growing etc.