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Monday numbers: Endgame 10,7M

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45 minutes ago, Sue Denim said:

That sounds reasonable.  Still trying to get the hang of this.   Maybe this would be a better projection:

 

Mon   10.7   -76%

Tue     13.9   +30%

Wed     9.5    -32%

Thu      9.0    -5%

 

Weekdays:   43.1

 

Fri     18.4    +105%

Sat    30.6    +66%

Sun   20.2    -34%

 

Weekend:   69.2

 

Total after 3rd WE:  733.5

Friday jump could be much bigger. IW jumped 131% on its third Friday.

 

The weekend is looking in the 70-72M range on the conservative size. I'm hopeful it does a bit better.

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I don't think 67 or 87 is at all likely, though 67 is a much more likely number than 87. 67 would require a 55% drop, that is at least reasonable if Pika was to absolutely blow up this weekend - though I don't see it happening. 87 would require a 41% drop, that's not realistic unless it is a holiday weekend or there are no new openers - neither of which is the case this weekend.

 

Anywhere between 70-75 is what i'm expecting. It will likely need a 75M+ weekend to stay in front of TFA in cumulative through day 17. I am expecting it to stay #1 this weekend.

 

I'm really interested to see how much it goes up today. 

 

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6 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

There's more Star Wars movie coming?!🤔

https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1125804935818301440?s=19

I thought Avatar:

2020

2021

2024

2025

 

So 2022 okay, but 2024 makes absolutely no sense unless they change Avatar to 2023....

 

 

Also:

I don't know if it's a good idea.

 

Edited by Taruseth
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Is Pikachu a bigger competition to EG compared to Deadpool 2 to IW last year?

 

DP2 and IW are both superhero genre but different rating while Pikachu being a different genre but similar rating(PG vs PG-13) 

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Avengers Endgame: Countdowns

Pass Avengers' Infinity War Domestic total $678,815,482-$46,915,483

Pass Avatar's Domestic total $760,507,625-$128,607,626

Pass Star Wars-Force Awakens' $936,662,225-$304,762,226

Pass Titanic Worldwide 2,187,463,944-$0

Pass Avatar's Worldwide total $2,787,965,087-$549,565,088

Pass Avatar's OS total $2,027,457,462-$420,957,463

Pass Avatar's in South Korea Admissions 13,624,328-1,868,182

Pass 80M USD in Brazil-$20.5M

Pass 100M in Local Currency AustraliaAUD 32.62M  

Pass 100M GBP in UK-£26.5M

Pass $500M in China(First Hollywood movie)- $0

 

With 10.7M Monday, EG has surpassed TA1's 623M+ and becomes the 3rd highest grossing movie in the MCU history domestically and 8th highest of all time. It should surpass IW on Friday and BP some point on Saturday for the highest in MCU history. Domestic record is possible but it'll need to develop legs going forward, which is possible with the A+ CS!

 

OS continued with a strong number of 34M aided by holidays in UK, SK and Japan but nonetheless a strong number. 1.6B OS, it needs a very good hold to have a chance to dethrone Avatar OS but it has a shot.

 

WW all time record is the one most likely to happen out of the 3 and should happen within a month. It's already the 2nd biggest OS and actually just passed 1B OS-C meaning it has already surpassed IW OS gross minus China. Amazing ride and that continues to deliver.

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My predictions:

 

Monday: 10.7

Tuesday:  13.8

Wednesday: 9.2

Thursday: 9

Weekdays: 42.7

 

Friday: 19.3

Saturday: 31

Sunday: 20.7

Weekend: 71

 

I think those are very realistic and would put Endgame at 735mn on day 17,  which is 7 million behind TFA's total on the corresponding day. After this day TFA legs started fading and it managed a 1.26 multiplier from its 17 day total for 936mn total.

IW's 17th day put it at 548mn and with a 1.24 additional multiplier it finished with 678mn.

 

So this is basically the point where Christmas magic wears out.

 

A very, very reasonable 1.25 additional multiplier for EG puts it at 919mn.

So if my 3rd week prediction is any accurate, a very realistic range for EG is 908-929mn.

Maybe a great Spider-man boost manages to push it over TFA?

Unlikely but I wouldn't say impossible.

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37 minutes ago, doublejack said:

Friday jump could be much bigger. IW jumped 131% on its third Friday.

 

The weekend is looking in the 70-72M range on the conservative size. I'm hopeful it does a bit better.

The same thing was said about this past weekend's friday and see what happened to that one.  

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UNTITLED FOX MARVEL 6/26/20, 10/2/20, 3/5/21 have all been removed from Disney's schedule.

Disney's THE ONE AND ONLY IVAN drops Aug. 14, 2020.

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: GAMBIT(Fox), originally scheduled for release on 3/13/20, has been removed from the schedule

Untitled Star Wars films have been scheduled by Disney for: Dec. 16, 2022 Dec. 20, 2024 Dec. 18, 2026

Go Big Blue. Disney's AVATAR updates: AVATAR 2 - 12/17/21 AVATAR 3 - 12/22/23 AVATAR 4 - 12/19/25 AVATAR 5 - 12/17/27

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: NIMONA (Fox) is moving from 2/14/20 to 3/5/21

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: CRUELLA (Disney) will be released on 12/23/20

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: WEST SIDE STORY(Fox) will be released on 12/18/20

New release dates for Fox films distributed by Disney:

Underwater - Jan. 10, 2020

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: CALL OF THE WILD (Fox) is moving from 12/25/19 to 2/21/20

Disney's ARTEMIS FOWL moves from August 2019 to next summer--May 29, 2020.

No joke. Fox's THE NEW MUTANTS has been pushed back again--now set to drop April 3, 2020, instead of Aug. 2, 2019. .

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: SPIES IN DISGUISE (Fox) is moving from 9/13/19 to 12/25/19

The FINALLY frontier. James Gray's AD ASTRA will launch Sept. 20, 2019.

DISNEY RELEASE SCHEDULE CHANGE: THE ART OF RACING IN THE RAIN (Fox) is moving from 9/27/19 to 8/9/19

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19 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

I thought Avatar:

2020

2021

2024

2025

 

So 2022 okay, but 2024 makes absolutely no sense unless they change Avatar to 2023....

 

 

Also:

I don't know if it's a good idea.

 

You need this to make a sense out of it. 

 

 

 

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Now that the December 2020 slot is empty, might worth a try to finally get a Marvel movie in there just to see how it would do?

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2 minutes ago, Sam said:

Now that the December 2020 slot is empty, might worth a try to finally get a Marvel movie in there just to see how it would do?

check the post 2 positions above yours 😉

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1 minute ago, Sam said:

Now that the December 2020 slot is empty, might worth a try to finally get a Marvel movie in there just to see how it would do?

May be a Marvel vs DC battle. Doctor Strange 2 vs Wonder Women 2. This forum will become poison and 1/3 of forum posters will be banned.

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