Nova Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) From the Tuesday thread 1 hour ago, RtheEnd said: 1st pic yes, 2nd also be 4th film MCU 8.4 Edited May 9, 2019 by Nova 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LexJoker Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Its Pika Pika Day. 1 2 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 So north of a 30% drop? Interesting. Maybe my math is way off but that looks like it equates to about a 60 mill third weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) Basically the same drop as Infinity War had Assuming Thursday is $8.2M (-2.4%) giving Infinity War increases/decreases in 3rd Weekend Fri: $18.9M (+131.8%) Sat: $31.8M (+68.5%) Sun: $22.6M (-28.9%) = $73M (-50.4%) Expect it to be closer to $70M though Edited May 9, 2019 by Darth Lehnsherr 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 So, -32.8% drop from tuesdays 12.5m. Even though it only increased 17% on tuesday from 10.7m monday. It’s just 1% better than AIW comparable days drop, but AIW increased 10% more than AEG managed yesterday. It’s likely going to have sub 70m drop and be closer to CM’s 2nd weekend number. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Ok so using IW weekend numbers it's around 67. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dakus Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: Basically the same drop as Infinity War had The difference is that Endgame had only a 17% rise on Tuesday compared to Infinity War's 29% rise, so maintaining the same Wed drop isn't really great in comparison. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 1 minute ago, baumer said: Ok so using IW weekend numbers it's around 67. There is a great chance that BP might keep the best 3rd weekend among the MCU. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 As mentioned earlier, when you destroy the weekend record by 100 mill, chances are erosion will start quicker. It just perfectly balanced the box office, as it should be. 12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggestgeekever Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, baumer said: So north of a 30% drop? Interesting. Maybe my math is way off but that looks like it equates to about a 60 mill third weekend. I don't think it'll go quite that low; I think the running time is definitely affecting the weekdays, though it's certainly showing a bit of frontloadedness with the small Tuesday increase and now this number. The Sat increase should be great though, so I could see something like: Thu: $7.6M -10% Fri: $17.0M +125% Sat: $29.8M +75% Sun: $20.9M -30% Wkd: $67.7M And I see you just reposted to $67M. Edited May 9, 2019 by Biggestgeekever 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Detective Pikachu will dent it tomorrow night, but hopefully it keeping IMAX and some PLFs will cushion the drop somewhat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted May 9, 2019 Author Share Posted May 9, 2019 Will have to see how it plays out this weekend but I’m gonna assume that End Game will have harsher drops than expected on weekdays but then make up for those drops on the weekends. With the initial rush of having to see the movie out of the way, I’d assume the rest of folks don’t have time to spend 4 hours for a movie during the weekday but can certainly do that on a Saturday or Sunday for example. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: Basically the same drop as Infinity War had Assuming Thursday is $8.2M (-2.4%) giving Infinity War increases/decreases in 3rd Weekend Fri: $18.9M (+131.8%) Sat: $31.8M (+68.5%) Sun: $22.6M (-28.9%) = $73M (-50.4%) I think it will drop more than AIW on Thursday and it’s very unlikely that it will have the same Friday increase because of an early competition from Pika Pika. I would say it’s going to have similar FSS percentages as CM’s 2nd weekend, which is +105% Friday, +55% Saturday and -30% Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 -33% then. I expected a bit softer after the very muted Tuesday increase. Should be interesting to see how Pokemon impacts it this weekend if at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) Best case scenario: Wed 8.400.000 Thu 8.022.000 -4.5 % -378.000Fri 18.290.160 +128.0 % +9.999.360Sat 29.447.158 +61.0 % +10.864.930Sun 20.907.482 -29.0 % -8.316.124 68.644.799 -53.42% 3rd weekend gross. worst case scenario: Wed 8.400.000 Thu 7.560.000 -10.0 % -840.000Fri 16.480.800 +118.0 % +8.920.800Sat 25.710.048 +56.0 % +9.229.248Sun 18.254.134 -29.0 % -7.455.914 60.444.982 -58.9 3rd weekend gross. Edited May 9, 2019 by tawasal 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 53 minutes ago, Nova said: From the Tuesday thread but why write it as End Game, if its Endgame? Thread title looks a bit strange to my eyes 😉 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 (edited) Oooph. Maybe 240m more from domestic in the tank. 850-900m Edited May 9, 2019 by eXtacy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 Well last week was more fun than this week lol, but I guess that's to be expected with a 10-day monstrosity like Endgame. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 dissapointing (not that bad though) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted May 9, 2019 Share Posted May 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, eXtacy said: Oooph. Maybe 240m more from domestic in the tank. 850-900m still it will probably be around 790-800 by next weekend i dont see how it makes only 850 after then, even if it continues to have harsher drops than iw, the reaw number will be bigger, iw add 85 after its 4 weekend so endgame should add at least as much , so the floor will be at 875 imo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
