Weekend Thread: Friday Estimates: Pika pi! 20.7m, Assemble! 16.1m, Anne Hathaway! 4m, Cheerleaders: Endgame 1.5m, LotR: Origins 825k

[Brainbug]

3 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Me and my family bought to contribute $60 to Pika Pika

 

You really coudnt afford that extra 9 dollars

[Krissykins]

Wine Country on Netflix had two scenes in it that made me cry laughing. 

[Shawn Robbins]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357

 

the absurd legs and performance debate around aeg is making me jack nicholson in shining mad.

This should be a recommended post. Mods?

 

[DeeCee]

I’ve been here a while but it’s weird finding different people have different opinions. Who knew?

[AndyLL]

8 minutes ago, Shawn said:

This should be a recommended post. Mods?

 

I'm not to sure that ak2 clearly expressed his point 

[cdsacken]

2 hours ago, a2k said:

Disappointed that Shazam could not recover once AEG hit it. Rampage behaved differently last year. Shazam will barely get to 140 dom. Good compared to the prod budget (100) but underwhelming for sure. The global cume will cross 360 (or already has) and considering China is a very small part with dom being heavy it will ensure great returns.

Part of my reasoning behind pika. I don't think it's as family friendly as people think with a narrow interest group being a hybrid type film with a lot of stuff coming to compete against it.

 

Of course I could be wrong, we shall see.

[Nova]

Although I said earlier I was disappointed in End Game’s third weekend because of expectations that I put on it; way before it came out I mentioned that the run time could have an effect on End Game being rewatchable in theaters as you’d need at least 4 hours to go to the theaters and thus effect its legs. 

 

So while I’m “disappointed” (again by putting unfair expectations on the film) I’m not exactly surprised and I don’t think it has anything to do with End Game being worse of a movie than IW. 

[cdsacken]

I'm just disappointed because I wanted both to do good and push for #1 by beating expectations. Instead DP might barely meet the heavily reduced expectations and End Game won't even be close to the aggressive initial deadline figure

End game is still doing awesome and may do well next weekend.

Edited May 11, 2019 by cdsacken

[JonathanLB]

I think it has been a common refrain on this forum that the vast majority of veteran users and many casual enthusiasts know more about box office predicting than Deadline. Wasn't it just last weekend they gave us a range of $135-175M for Endgame?! They are not very good at this. It's nice they have the data and whatnot (but so does Rth), but their predictions are often laughable even when they have the right numbers. I have no idea why that is, but they deserve the derision when they say things like $135-175M or this weekend $75-85M when a more reasonable estimate of range would have been $65-75M, nobody would have faulted them for that. 

[NoLegMan]

Are we looking at 2.5B WW by Monday?

[Pure Spirit]

2 hours ago, a2k said:

it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357 it opened to 357

 

the absurd legs and performance debate around aeg is making me jack nicholson in shining mad.

Yeah but it looks like the world doesn't love the movie 3000 million

[Pure Spirit]

45 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

I'm not to sure that ak2 clearly expressed his point 

TBH I'm not sure what his point was. Do we need a disclaimer at the bottom of every post that says "also Endgame opened to 357 million" when discussing its current box office?

[JB33]

Just got back from Pikachu. It was alright. Good fun. Clearly I wasn't enough of a Pokemon fan as a kid for this to provoke any sort of nostalgia.

 

Anyway, what's the word on EG now? Less than $60M I'm guessing?

[keysersoze123]

Just now, JB33 said:

Just got back from Pikachu. It was alright. Good fun. Clearly I wasn't enough of a Pokemon fan as a kid for this to provoke any sort of nostalgia.

 

Anyway, what's the word on EG now? Less than $60M I'm guessing?

I think we will have to wait another 4 hours for estimates, it should have a good increase today. Loss of day time PLF to Pikachu would reduce average Ticket price a bit but a increase around 65% could be on cards. So around 26.5m Saturday and 19m sunday. So above 60m I am thinking.

 

Pikachu, I did not track but I am feeling it will not increase as much as fanboy rush yesterday. So extrapolating from Fandango numbers I would say 17m Saturday. Sunday should drop to 12m and so around 50m OW.

[WittyUsername]

I predicted about a month or two ago that Endgame would suffer the DH2 effect, where it would be a critically acclaimed film that would nonetheless be very front loaded. Looks like I was on to something, given that the movie is now falling behind TFA, despite having a significantly (and I do mean significantly) higher OW. They called me a mad man...

[JB33]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think we will have to wait another 4 hours for estimates, it should have a good increase today. Loss of day time PLF to Pikachu would reduce average Ticket price a bit but a increase around 65% could be on cards. So around 26.5m Saturday and 19m sunday. So above 60m I am thinking.

 

Pikachu, I did not track but I am feeling it will not increase as much as fanboy rush yesterday. So extrapolating from Fandango numbers I would say 17m Saturday. Sunday should drop to 12m and so around 50m OW.

Thank you.  I guess that's more or less what I expected.

[Thrylos 7]

14 minutes ago, WittyUsername said:

I predicted about a month or two ago that Endgame would suffer the DH2 effect, where it would be a critically acclaimed film that would nonetheless be very front loaded. Looks like I was on to something, given that the movie is now falling behind TFA, despite having a significantly (and I do mean significantly) higher OW. They called me a mad man...

Nobody called you a madman and it still has a good chance at having better legs than DH2, nevermind that the actual box office size of the movies is completely different. DH2 is tiny compared to EG.

Edited May 12, 2019 by Thrylos 7

[WittyUsername]

9 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

Nobody called you a madman 

That part was a joke. I was referencing one of Thanos’ lines in IW...

[John Marston]

I now think the reason the first Pikachu trailer so huge is that people just wanted to see how the Pokémon would look like in live action. No need to see the whole movie after seeing the trailer 

[Steele131]

Any Saturday numbers yet?