Weekend Thread: Friday Estimates: Pika pi! 20.7m, Assemble! 16.1m, Anne Hathaway! 4m, Cheerleaders: Endgame 1.5m, LotR: Origins 825k

[titanic2187]

3 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

So if i'm reading this right we are estimating 20.7mil for Pika Friday, 20.5mil for Pika Saturday and then it's going to make 16.8 Sun for 58mil weekend? That seems unlikely. It a less than 19% Sunday drop.

they expect some sweet-sweet mother's day hold

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

So if i'm reading this right we are estimating 20.7mil for Pika Friday, 20.5mil for Pika Saturday and then it's going to make 16.8 Sun for 58mil weekend? That seems unlikely. It a less than 19% Sunday drop.

Banking on a slight Mother's Day lift

[sfran43]

 

[TigerPaw]

4 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

So if i'm reading this right we are estimating 20.7mil for Pika Friday, 20.5mil for Pika Saturday and then it's going to make 16.8 Sun for 58mil weekend? That seems unlikely. It a less than 19% Sunday drop.

I got a feeling that WB is estimating a higher Satueday than 20.5..

[eddyxx]

10 hours ago, ViewerAnon said:

I, um, didn’t say $150M domestically!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alot of people hating on Professor Hulk on Facebook but I thought he was hilarious. 

[Avatree]

30 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Awesome Saturday for EG. Nice jump for Pika too. 

 

Wick looking at hopefully 50+ next weekend. And, while Aladdin won't breakout, should do well enough over the holiday weekend. EG and Pika's holds should be stellar that weekend too.

John Wick over 50M? You are... optimistic.

[Sam]

23 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

I was saying this back in November when the 1st trailer for Pikachu was released (believe it was @Nova who I discussed this with, though I could be wrong): it would be hurt by the close release to Avengers as well as a fuck ton of other family films and it should move to THIS November. No one believed me back then and just assumed Pikachu would scare the competition away instead (and Hell, I bought into that after a while). Should've followed my original instinct, WB 

Well, Pika did scared Endgame away from the May release date  

[a2k]

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Week
-	new	Pokémon: Detective Pikachu	Warner Bros.	$58,000,000		4,202	$13,803	$58,000,000	1
-	new	Poms	STX Entertainment	$5,110,000		2,750	$1,858	$5,110,000	1
-	(4)	UglyDolls	STX Entertainment	$3,912,000	-55%	3,652	$1,071	$14,272,796	2
-	(7)	The Curse of La Llorona	Warner Bros.	$1,800,000	-51%	1,182	$1,523	$51,400,031	4
-	(8)	Shazam!	Warner Bros.	$1,065,000	-57%	936	$1,138	$137,133,798	6
-	(10)	Little	Universal	$622,000	-56%	586	$1,061	$39,645,700	5
-	(14)	Amazing Grace	Neon	$312,000	-17%	260	$1,200	$3,283,977	23
-	(13)	Us	Universal	$249,000	-50%	266	$936	$174,406,380	8
-	(45)	Shadow	Well Go USA	$135,400	+393%	47	$2,881	$178,284	2
-	(18)	How to Train Your Dragon: T…	Universal	$133,000	-22%	187	$711	$160,130,730	12
-	new	The Biggest Little Farm	Neon	$101,012		5	$20,202	$101,012	1

[a2k]

WB going with a great hold for Pika. They over-estimated Shazam's Sun a couple of times.

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
May 10, 2019	1	$20,630,000		4,202	$4,910	$20,630,000	1
May 11, 2019	-	$20,480,000	-1%	4,202	$4,874	$41,110,000	2
May 12, 2019	-	$16,890,000	-18%	4,202	$4,020	$58,000,000	3

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

Shazam got slaughtered by AEG and never bounced back. A shame.  I still think they should have put this in a near dead August.  Or almost anywhere but right int he middle of CM and AEG.

[Nova]

I still don’t think the release date was THAT bad. And the reason I say that is the movie did open to $50M+ domestic which maybe is the limit for a Pokémon live action movie. Maybe it adds another $5-10M if it gets released during another date but seeing how it played out, I just don’t think a release date was going to take a $50M opener and make it a $90M+ opener. Some of us (like myself) just put unfair expectations on the film. That’s not the movie’s fault. 

 

But the real problem is that it’s flopping OS. And I’m not sure a release date would have changed that.  

Edited May 12, 2019 by Nova

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

The Lego Movie 2 was already there. It would also be hit by How To Train Your Dragon 3, Captain Marvel and Dumbo. Shazam could have helped its late legs, sure, but then Endgame would crash them down yet again. Pikachu is the far bigger investment between it and Lego, meaning it would make more sense for it to come out after the Avengers juggernaut, + Lego had already worked twice before in February.

That's a fair point, but at the same time, it's hard to find room for it just about anywhere else. Even though it would be struck by Frozen, Frozen skews more heavily female, while Pikachu is probably either four quadrant or male-skewing. August is a tough choice cause it would come in the shadow of The Lion King, which I think would be even worse for Pikachu than Avengers is being right now, and in September and October, It: Chapter 2 and Joker would swallow the hype as well. Maybe first weekend of November, where we've had a long list of big hits over the years. It would be hit bad by Frozen, but then it'd have the Thanksgiving week to make up for that. Besides that, the only other place I can think of is Christmas, but I don't think it would make any more money opening on Christmas than it will from its May opening.

I think August would've worked best given the lack of family films for a while, especially now that Spies in Disguise has moved to Christmas.

[TigerPaw]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Shazam got slaughtered by AEG and never bounced back. A shame.  I still think they should have put this in a near dead August.  Or almost anywhere but right int he middle of CM and AEG.

Many people believed it would bounce back; even WB executives hence this crappy release date. Very unfortunate...

 

[TwoMisfits]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I think August would've worked best given the lack of family films for a while, especially now that Spies in Disguise has moved to Christmas.

You have Dora and Angry Birds 2...now I'm not gonna say I'm optimistic on both those movies' chances...but one of them will hit:)...

Edited May 12, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I think August would've worked best given the lack of family films for a while, especially now that Spies in Disguise has moved to Christmas.

Dora the fucking explorer would like to have a word and The Angry Birds just got that much angrier. 

Edited May 12, 2019 by Nova

[Menor the Destroyer]

I do think Pika could have done much better if it had time to build up more buzz before release, but in this slaughterhouse year there's no release date it could do that

[Avatree]

rather than blaming release dates... or competition... or marketing...

 

is it not possible that there are fewer people interested in watching a Pokemon film than you thought?

[sfran43]

 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Nova said:

Dora the fucking explorer would like to have a word and The Angry Birds just got that much angrier. 

I keep forgetting both of those movies even exist.

[Jake Gittes]

19 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

This fucking thing actually increased PTA-wise from last weekend lmao.