sfran43 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, sfran43 said: Great stuff thanks sfran 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 (edited) Do we think we will fall below IW dailies on Tues, Wednesday or Thurs? (or none of these days! (unlikely)) For reference: IW fell 44% from last week on this Monday, Endgame just fell 56% from last week IW's stats this week Monday: $4,625,938 Tuesday: $6,009,292 Wednesday: $4,193,985 Thursday: $3,441,594 Edited May 14, 2019 by IronJimbo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 Less trolly much better. T:Maybe W: unlikely TH-S: not a chance Next week dailies will be close again Week after it fell off a cliff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 So Charlie aced Pikachu but slightly overestimated Endgame. His estimations have been awesome but I see slight bias creeping into estimating endgame 🙂 I guess Endgame will go below IW by wednesday but by friday could be back up. But it will again go below next week. Losing most of iMax and PLF next week will hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 (edited) 1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said: So Charlie aced Pikachu but slightly overestimated Endgame. His estimations have been awesome but I see slight bias creeping into estimating endgame 🙂 I guess Endgame will go below IW by wednesday but by friday could be back up. But it will again go below next week. Losing most of iMax and PLF next week will hurt. Thursday IW plummeted due to Deadpool 2. IW lost the exact same screens. IW Basically died entirely in a couple weeks so I doubt it's gonna do much worse. Edited May 14, 2019 by cdsacken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 BTW as Endgame is approaching Avatar, we have to appreciate Russo Brothers for shepherding 4 MCU movies. How about Disney/Katherine using them for SW movie. There is only so many MCU movies one director can make and he will struggle to top Endgame. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Thursday IW plummeted due to Deadpool 2. IW lost the exact same screens. IW Basically died entirely in a couple weeks so I doubt it's gonna do much worse Alladin's on the 24th right? IW made another 126m not including monday. Coincidentally I see that's the number needed to make $850m ($126m + $724m) I'm thinking $825 or so now. I think it's dailies will be much lower especially after Alladin. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 I'd guess T : 5.9 W: 4.3 Th: 3.8 F:8.3 S: 14.5 S: 10.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Thursday IW plummeted due to Deadpool 2. IW lost the exact same screens. IW Basically died entirely in a couple weeks so I doubt it's gonna do much worse It is losing some IMAX this thursday to JW3. That will impact Endgame as its playing strong in that format but I agree it wont drop as hard as IW. But Wednesday drops have been worse. So it all depends on where the gross is on Wednesday. Big advantage of IW relative to Endgame was IW was $566m end of 3rd week vs ~745m for Endgame. Anyway this weekend is huge for Endgame as its overtaking Avatar to become 2nd highest movie domestic of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 1 minute ago, IronJimbo said: Alladin's on the 24th right? IW made another 126m not including monday. Coincidentally I see that's the number needed to make $850m ($126m + $724m) I'm thinking $825 or so now. I think it's dailies will be much lower especially after Alladin. That's as likely as CM not hitting 400 was. Aladdin won't hurt it plus let's be honest it's not looking for Aladdin. Maybe not epic flop not Dumbo but not good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 Just now, cdsacken said: That's as likely as CM not hitting 400 was. Aladdin won't hurt it plus let's be honest it's not looking for Aladdin. Maybe not epic flop not Dumbo but not good. I see Alladin performing at 70% of Deadpool 2 at worst you have 1) Endgame falling faster than IW when both had no competition 2) Alladin having a matching audience I'm thinking we will see Endgame drop below Infinity Wars by quite a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 I don’t see why End Game would drop worse than IW did. June is a blood bath but if I’m not mistaken that’s when IW started to lose steam. Unless John Wick does $125M+, End Game wins this weekend in terms of competition and then the following weekend is Aladdin which imo will play similar to Solo (maybe even less so tbh) The weekend after that is when things start getting different with Godzilla but I don’t expect End Game to fall off a cliff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Nova said: I don’t see why End Game would drop worse than IW did. June is a blood bath but if I’m not mistaken that’s when IW started to lose steam. Unless John Wick does $125M+, End Game wins this weekend in terms of competition and then the following weekend is Aladdin which imo will play similar to Solo (maybe even less so tbh) The weekend after that is when things start getting different with Godzilla but I don’t expect End Game to fall off a cliff. After June 3rd it was a blood bath for the next 3 months. I agree. Very few are talking about 900+ anymore but 860-870? Definitely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 24 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: Do we think we will fall below IW dailies on Tues, Wednesday or Thurs? (or none of these days! (unlikely)) For reference: IW fell 44% from last week on this Monday, Endgame just fell 56% from last week IW's stats this week Monday: $4,625,938 Tuesday: $6,009,292 Wednesday: $4,193,985 Thursday: $3,441,594 I don’t think Endgame will have the same increase on Tuesday and will fare better on Thursday as it’s not facing DP2 level of competition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 Endgame will soon lose all premium screens. That will effect its average ticket price. That said Disney has 6 weeks contract with Plexes and so Endgame will hold theaters and minimum show count for at least 3 more weeks. My feeling is late legs will be slightly better than IW but affected by having run out of fresh audience. I am thinking range of 870-900m, with high end happening with CM like late run in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Nova said: Duplicate Edited May 14, 2019 by cdsacken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moses Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 Any data about international numbers??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tawasal Posted May 14, 2019 Share Posted May 14, 2019 24 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: So Charlie aced Pikachu but slightly overestimated Endgame. His estimations have been awesome but I see slight bias creeping into estimating endgame 🙂 I guess Endgame will go below IW by wednesday but by friday could be back up. But it will again go below next week. Losing most of iMax and PLF next week will hurt. He did say 4,8m after that early estimate, but no one updated the title. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
