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Charlie Jatinder

Wednesday (5/16) Early Estimates.

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6 minutes ago, a2k said:

AEG -33% on Wed.

32 weekend possible but feel it will do 29-31.

 

3.85 (-33%)

3.54 (-8%)

 

7.8 (+120%)

14.0 (+80%)

10.2 (-27%)

= 32.0 (-49.5%)

 

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I really don’t see how it can avoid sub 30m now, with the way it’s doing against AIW which had a rather big competition. For it to avoid another -50% drop it’s needs to do better than AIW, which looks unlikely now. 

 

AIW had -30,2% drop on the comparable day.

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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

A:EG 3.85

 

tumblr_m83v3ijC0A1qjifllo4_r1_500.gif

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1 minute ago, Juby said:

 

 

giphy.gif

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That was obvious joke. :P 

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19 minutes ago, JimiQ said:

giphy.gif

BTW, from Kevin Feige's AMAA at Reddit/r/marvelstudios, this is his favorite MCU meme.

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10 minutes ago, justvision said:

BTW, from Kevin Feige's AMAA at Reddit/r/marvelstudios, this is his favorite MCU meme.

Actually, that's why I used it.

 

23 minutes ago, Juby said:

That was obvious joke. :P 

Getting quite old though :Gaga:

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for the sake of the weekend prediction discussions / fast access to those:

in the spoiler tags the two already released predictions

 

BOPro

Spoiler

Weekend Forecast

Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, May 19 % Change from Last Wknd
John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum Lionsgate / Summit $52,500,000 $52,500,000 NEW
Avengers: Endgame Disney / Marvel $36,000,000 $778,900,000 -43%
Pokémon: Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. $27,600,000 $97,600,000 -49%
A Dog’s Journey Universal $9,000,000 $9,000,000 NEW
The Hustle United Artists Releasing $6,100,000 $23,100,000 -53%
The Sun Is Also A Star Warner Bros. $6,000,000 $6,000,000 NEW
Long Shot Lionsgate / Summit $4,000,000 $26,400,000 -36%
The Intruder Sony / Screen Gems $3,700,000 $27,800,000 -48%
Uglydolls STX $2,800,000 $18,500,000 -33%
Poms STX $2,300,000 $10,000,000 -57%

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-forecast-john-wick-chapter-three-parabellum-dog-journey-sun-also-star/

 

BOReport

Spoiler
Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Total
Gross
%
Change
Week
#
1 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
(Lionsgate / Summit)
$47.5 M $47.5 M NEW 1
2 Avengers: Endgame (Disney) $30.0 M $772.0 M -53% 4
3 Pokémon Detective Pikachu
(Warner / Legendary)
$24.5 M $94.5 M -55% 2
4 A Dog's Journey (Universal) $11.8 M $11.8 M NEW 1
5 The Hustle
(United Artists Releasing / MGM)
$6.0 M $23.1 M -54% 2
6 The Sun Is Also a Star (Warner / MGM) $5.2 M $5.2 M NEW 1
7 The Intruder (Sony / Screen Gems) $4.2 M $28.3 M -42% 3
8 Long Shot (Lionsgate / Summit) $4.0 M $26.4 M -36% 3
9 Poms (STXfilms) $2.8 M $10.7 M -48% 2
10 UglyDolls (STXfilms) $1.8 M $17.4 M -57% 3

http://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20190515.html

 

Please be aware about they all release at different days / time of day, one of the reasons those vary.

Last is usually BOM, usually during Thursday

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Posted (edited)

I think AE will drop at least 10% Thursday.

it dropped almost 11% last Thursday and it kept its screens and opened against a movie that played to the low end of expectations.

Losing it's PLF/IMAX screens is going to hurt it some as they have been a significant amount of its gross (Last weekend over $6M came from IMAX from one article I read) and if JW3 breaks out some that could hurt it slightly as well.

It won't drop 18% like IW. but I could see a 12-13% drop. 

I'm thinking 3.46 is its top end for Thurday and 3.3 would be the low end.

 

Looks like it should pass Avatar DOM on Saturday.

 

Edited by RamblinRed

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The WW race is gonna be real close, I can picture it now. But I presume it'll be at 2.6 by the end of this weekend. With less than 200 million left, I doubt Disney isn't gonna do *ahem* whatever it takes for it to reach Avatar, even if, technically speaking, they own Avatar too, so they win either way.

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Maybe some people shoud just learn from all this:

 

A. Opening weekend numbers, legs and multipliers arent terms that exist in a vaccum. Context is most important and when you have a 357M OW, you just cant expect the film to follow another movies legs that opened with 100M less.

 

B. The word "locked" shoud be banned from this website. 

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I am not quoting that person (NIRD), but above Novas response is probably the worst post ive seen in this forum.

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3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I am not quoting that person (NIRD), but above Novas response is probably the worst post ive seen in this forum.

Another of Shivampa's alt I presume.

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Uhh...

confused the office GIF

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A:IW was 4.19, but it then dropped 17% on thursday. I predict 11% drop tomorow for A:EG.

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If Aladdin is good. 

 

The race towards avatar. Will be interesting.

 

china end game is on its last legs and live action Disney classics movies are huge in Europe 

 

 

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