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sfran43

Memorial Weekend Thread: 4-Day Actuals - Aladdin $116.81M | John Wick 3 $30.97M | Avengers Endgame $22.06M | Pokemon DP $17.25M

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Posting here since the other thread is locked!

Edited by sfran43
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This could maybe pull off an $80m weekend if it follows BATB.

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From BOM:

 

Disney's Aladdin delivered $7 million in Thursday evening previews beginning at 6PM and including select fan events that started at 5PM. The performance is well ahead of the $4.2 million Maleficent brought in ahead of a $69 million three-day debut as well as the $2.3 million for Cinderella, which opened with $67.8 million in its first three days. The performance is also ahead of the $5.5 million Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales brought in from preview showings ahead of a $78 million Memorial Day weekend four-day opening.

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So we're looking at 80-100m 4-day range?

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Just now, MrPink said:

So we're looking at 80-100m 4-day range?

seems like it.

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Really good number... This shouldn't go below $ 70M 3-day which pretty much assure $ 90M 4-day

 

But honestly i see no reason for this to be frontloaded, WOM seems great and fandango sales today are extremelly good.

 

I would bet on $ 75 - 80M 3-Day [10.7x - 11.4x] and $ 95 - 103M for the 4-day

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Quote

$5.5 million Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales brought in from preview showings ahead of a $78 million Memorial Day weekend four-day opening.

Pirates was more frontloaded being the 5th

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I can show you the woooooorld!

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If previews follow:

 

Pirates 5 - $100m 4-day

Solo - $51.1m 4-day (🤔)

Dumbo - $123.8m 3-day

BatB - $75m 3-day

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That's a great number for ALADDIN.

Can't miss 10x previews over 3-day imo with Sunday being uber strong.

10-11x previews gives 70-77 FSS / 85-100 FSSM.

Edited by a2k

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$100M+ for the 4-day is looking good. It's likely not too frontloaded and Sunday will behave like a second Saturday.

Edited by filmlover

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If it follows Pirates 5:

 

7

30

25.9

24.3

19.7

80.2M 3-Day, 99.9M 4-Day

 

That seems pretty good actually. It's already above the 75M 4-Day estimates the trades estimated, and would probably make 200M a certainty. This also could have stronger family appeal than we think, at least more so than Pirates, and boost the movie up a notch or two.

Edited by CoolEric258
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2 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Solid number for what kind of OW? So probably $70 million?

$ 75M if follows BTAB [which are already frontloaded] or $ 81M if follows Pirates 5 [which is reasonable]

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With a strong Friday bump and low Sunday drop, I won't be surprised by 90+ for the 3-day

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