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charlie Jatinder

Wednesday (5/30) Numbers

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5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Aladdin 8

JW 3 2.1-2.2

EG 1.25

Thank you, Charlie. Looks like average 30% drops for top three. With Endgame, it  would have been nice to see it drop in the 20s considering it had the heaviest drop on Tuesday. 

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Good numbers for Aladdin. Tomorrow is the last day until the weekend comes around. With Aladdin and Godzilla both set to increase. Aladdin could top the Box office friday-saturday-sunday despite Godzilla debut

Edited by Geo1500
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Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Total
Gross
%
Change
Week
#
1 Godzilla: King of the Monsters
(Warner / Legendary)
$60.0 M $60.0 M NEW 1
2 Aladdin (Disney) $44.5 M $188.5 M -51% 2
3 Rocketman (Paramount) $29.5 M $29.5 M NEW 1
4 MA (Universal) $15.5 M $15.5 M NEW 1
5 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
(Lionsgate / Summit)
$12.0 M $126.7 M -51% 3
6 Avengers: Endgame (Disney) $9.0 M $816.8 M -48% 6
7 Pokémon Detective Pikachu
(Warner / Legendary)
$6.7 M $130.7 M -50% 4
8 Booksmart
(United Artists Releasing / Annapurna)
$4.0 M $15.2 M -42% 2
9 Brightburn (Sony / Screen Gems) $3.2 M $15.1 M -59% 2
10 A Dog's Journey (Universal / Amblin) $1.4 M $19.0 M -66% 3
11 The Hustle
(United Artists Releasing / MGM)
$1.3 M $33.2 M -64% 4
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Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, June 2 % Change from Last Wknd
Godzilla: King of the Monsters Warner Bros. $56,000,000 $56,000,000 NEW
Aladdin (2019) Disney $40,000,000 $181,000,000 -56%
Rocketman Paramount $35,000,000* $35,000,000* NEW
Ma Universal $19,900,000 $19,900,000 NEW
John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum Lionsgate / Summit $12,500,000 $127,400,000 -49%
Avengers: Endgame Disney / Marvel $9,500,000 $817,400,000 -45%
Pokémon: Detective Pikachu Warner Bros. $7,700,000 $131,600,000 -43%
Booksmart United Artists Releasing $3,900,000 $14,700,000 -44%
Brightburn Sony / Screen Gems $2,800,000 $14,200,000 -64%
A Dog’s Journey Universal $2,000,000 $19,700,000 -52%
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I think it's completely possible Aladdin can do close to 60 this weekend. If it plays like any kind of normal family film, it should have Fri and Sat bumps around 100% and 50% respectively. If it plays like a family film with amazing WOM, bumps could be even better. 

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4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I think it's completely possible Aladdin can do close to 60 this weekend. If it plays like any kind of normal family film, it should have Fri and Sat bumps around 100% and 50% respectively. If it plays like a family film with amazing WOM, bumps could be even better. 

I would say its other way around. Movies that have strong weekday holds like Aladdin did on tuesday tend to have weaker friday increase. Leggy movies tend to hold strongly between Mon-thu and so have amazing weekend drops.

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3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I would say its other way around. Movies that have strong weekday holds like Aladdin did on tuesday tend to have weaker friday increase. Leggy movies tend to hold strongly between Mon-thu and so have amazing weekend drops.

I mean if we look at PG MD openers, they've all had second Friday bumps of 100%+ except Alice 2. Obviously that had awful WOM. 

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1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

I mean if we look at PG MD openers, they've all had second Friday bumps of 100%+ except Alice 2. Obviously that had awful WOM. 

when did we last have a Memorial day opener that had good WOM? I cant recollect in last 10-15 years.

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1 hour ago, VanillaSkies said:

And good for Endgame too. Will stay above 1 million for this week still. 

It's good if you've accepted it's not going to pass Avatar

It better stay above 1 million, IW didn't drop below 1 million the next week either and heavier competition is on the way for Endgame

1.25 is actually pretty bad compared to IW, but I have a feeling this is a lowball

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58 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I think it's completely possible Aladdin can do close to 60 this weekend. If it plays like any kind of normal family film, it should have Fri and Sat bumps around 100% and 50% respectively. If it plays like a family film with amazing WOM, bumps could be even better. 

 

It would require a 34.4% drop or less for Aladdin to do 60M.  A Memorial Day opener has not done that since Notting Hill.  The last time anything was in the 30% range at all was Spirit in 2002.

Edited by That One Guy
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14 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

It would require a 34.4% drop or less for Aladdin to do 60M.  A Memorial Day opener has not done that since Notting Hill.  The last time anything was in the 30% range at all was Spirit in 2002.

 

I don't understand the point in comparing Aladdin to old trends. Logically it dosen't give much fruits but each movie moves according to it's strength (promotions, excitement, suspense, fanbase, nostalgia, visuals, the unknown etc et) there is so many different things that can become a movies attraction hence it becomes its strength. Example Godzilla fans are into monster wars etc etc. 

 

I generally see old trends being used in comparison mostly but it dosen't make sense logically, mathematically and factually as I mentioned already each movie has it's own strength and appeal which makes old trend comparison not useful in most parts

Edited by Geo1500
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7 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

It would require a 34.4% drop or less for Aladdin to do 60M.  A Memorial Day opener has not done that since Notting Hill.  The last time anything was in the 30% range at all was Spirit in 2002.

While I think 60m is impossible, its amazing that we have not had movies with strong WOM released over memorial weekend for a long time. I cant recollect one. May be 2005 duo of Longest Yard and Madagascar 1 had good WOM. but that is really long back and cannot be used for comparison. Only Other movie I can think of is DOFP but Xmen movies are so frontloaded it had a big drop in its 2nd weekend though it did good after that to record series highest number.

 

 

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