Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - Godzilla KOTM $47.77M | Aladdin $42.84M | Rocketman $25.72M | MA $18.09M

[Cappoedameron]

Congrats Pikachu on becoming the highest grossing video game film of all time domestic at least.

[Legion Again]

Deadline’s Friday would be great for Aladdin, awful for Endgame. Might miss 850 even with a Labor Day expansion. 

[Biggestgeekever]

Rough stuff, honestly. At the rate things are going, Toy Story 4 is gonna look at the box office around it and go

 

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

BOX OFFICE FOR MAY 31-JUNE 2

thumb rank film dis. screens (chg) friday 3-day total wk 1 Godzilla…Monsters WB/Leg 4,108 $19.7M $51.7M $51.7M 1

Only 10m to 13m off your original estimate, Deadline.  Way to go. 👍

 

(Declines to mention that meant Deadline was off by 15 to 20 percent)

Edited June 1, 2019 by Porthos

[lorddemaxus]

I'm just hoping that Dark Pheonix does worse so that the focus goes away from Godzilla. That would be great to watch.

[Cappoedameron]

Just now, lorddemaxus said:

I'm just hoping that Dark Pheonix does worse so that the focus goes away from Godzilla. That would be great to watch.

Oh it's going to do worse, I think that's a no brainer.

[Ryan Reynolds]

3 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Wtf Endgame. Now even 840 is not guaranteed 

most of its potential audience already seen 3-4 times, to get higher box office need old people to see also, they have no interest

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I'm just hoping that Dark Pheonix does worse so that the focus goes away from Godzilla. That would be great to watch.

From the Tracking Thread:

 

Quote

It's dangerous to do this given that Fandango isn't necessarily a representative sample.

 

Still...

 

Last Friday:

On 5/24/2019 at 10:31 PM, Porthos said:

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-24 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	48.911%	40070	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
2	15.455%	12236	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
3	09.358%	7409	Avengers Endgame (2019) [combined]
4	05.218%	4131	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
5	04.798%	3799	Brightburn
6	04.465%	3535	Booksmart
7	02.545%	2015	Fandango Early Access The Secret Life of Pets 2
8       01.465% 1160    Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
9	01.304%	1032	A Dogs Journey
10	01.278%	1012	The Hustle (2019)

 

Tonight:

52 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-31 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	26.714%	20938	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
2       20.223% 15850   Aladdin (2019) [combined] 
3	19.006%	14897	Rocketman
4	12.522%	9815	Ma (2019)
5	06.153%	4823	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
6	04.275%	3351	Avengers Endgame (2019)
7	02.638%	2068	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
8	02.202%	1726	Booksmart
9	01.134%	889	Brightburn
10      00.773% 606     Dark Phoenix [combined]
11      00.746% 584     Toy Story 4 [combined]

 

(KotM:  1160 | Dark P:   606)

 

        

 

Edited June 1, 2019 by Porthos

[Legion Again]

Aladdin > KotM+XDP+MIB:I ?

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Wonder what's the worse Dark Phoenix could potentially do atm. Might not match its tracking of $50M.

[Brinatico]

20+ is on board for OD. On Godzilla 

No the best opening, but no the flop some were predicting. 

Like some erudite here who say 40 something. 

Get. it

[Legion Again]

Just now, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Wonder what's the worst Dark Phoenix could potentially do atm. Might not match its tracking of $50M.

35/80

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Just now, Brinatico said:

20+ is on board for OD. On Godzilla 

No the best opening, but no the flop some were predicting. 

Like some erudite here who say 40 something. 

Get. it

Strawman argument. Check @LOGAN'sLuckyRun's club for KOTM's OW nearly everyone there had it opening above $60M. 

 

[xiazhi]

5 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I'm just hoping that Dark Pheonix does worse so that the focus goes away from Godzilla. That would be great to watch.

Then things are gonna look too good for toy story

[THUNDER BIRD]

7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

No, they have a bad relationship with Universal and Pacific Rim Uprising lost more money than Godzilla KOTM will.

I don't care, i want more Godzilla movies, and while Toho can make more but production of Hollywood is something different to watch.

 

I just hope GvK works really well so that they continue Monsterverse further.

[Sam]

The WW box office chart for Hollywood movies this year so far looks so disproportionate. You have EG at 2.7B, Capt. Marvel at 1.1B, then the next highest grossing movie is weirdly... HTTYD3 all the way down clocking in at just a bit over 500M. No middle ground movies at all. 

[lorddemaxus]

I'm gonna go with 90 mil DOM, 100 mil China, and 150 mil OS. That means 340 mil WW for Dark Pheonix. Could be the lowest grossing superhero movie of the year (lower than even Shazam).

[Porthos]

4 minutes ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Wonder what's the worse Dark Phoenix could potentially do atm. Might not match its tracking of $50M.

I legit think it can open in the low 40s.  Been toying with a preview number of around 3m to 4m.

 

I don't have much/any hard data on hand locally outside of one glance a few days ago to back that up, but... Well here's hoping for its fans that it gets good/decent reviews.

[Webslinger]

I'm not surprised with where Godzilla is landing. Aside from the really cool first trailer that debuted last summer, it just didn't really feel like the film had enough buzz around it to bow anywhere near the 2014 film's huge breakout.

 

I'm honestly more disappointed with Rocketman. Even with the knowledge that it was never going to perform at Bohemian Rhapsody's level, it is still a bummer to potentially see the film land under a $25 million opening if that projection on the last page pans out. It seemed like it had enough factors working in its favor to open higher.

[Eric Atreides]

I pinned Dark Phoenix to open to about 35M when the year started, and I'm still sticking to it. Nobody cares about this movie.