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Flop Weekend Thread: Top 5 Weekend Actuals - TSLOP2 $46.65M | Dark Phoenix $32.83M | Aladdin $24.68M | Godzilla KOTM $15.45M | Rocketman $13.82M

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37 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Friday, June 7, 2019
 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr
     
>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day
1 - The Secret Life of Pets 2 Uni. $16,500,000 - - 4,561 $3,618 $17,425,000 1
2 - Dark Phoenix Fox $14,000,000 - - 3,721 $3,762 $14,000,000 1
3 1 Aladdin (2019) BV $7,034,000 +48% -41% 3,805 $1,849 $214,919,926 15
4 2 Godzilla: King of the Monsters WB $4,200,000 +59% -78% 4,108 $1,022 $67,257,097 8
5 3 Rocketman Par. $3,760,000 +72% -59% 3,610 $1,042 $40,258,756 8
6 4 Ma (2019) Uni. $2,290,000 +71% -68% 2,816 $813 $27,238,075 8
7 5 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum LG/S $1,930,000 +61% -35% 2,776 $695 $133,192,998 22
8 6 Avengers: Endgame BV $1,252,000 +45% -40% 2,121 $590 $820,817,940 43
9 7 Pokemon Detective Pikachu WB $835,000 +20% -55% 2,161 $386 $135,256,719 29
10 8 Booksmart UAR $451,376 +19% -54% 1,134 $398 $16,688,789 15
11 10 A Dog's Journey Uni. $390,000 +105% +34% 631 $618 $20,070,820 22
12 9 Brightburn SGem $160,000 -34% -78% 1,013 $158 $15,986,396 15

Glad to see Wick 3 finally stabilizing. As for the rest...

 

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1 minute ago, Bishop54 said:

KOTM could miss $100M. How many sequels failed to reach $100M after the first film hit $200M? I bet the list isn't too long. 

I imagine WB will end dragging it across $100M like they did with the 2014 movie across $200M as a worst case scenario since it'll still be at close to $80M by the end of the weekend coming off of a $14-15M gross.

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12 minutes ago, Alli said:

This summer is such a bust. Next one is bound to be way better.

Black Widow and Wondy 2 look like the only slam dunk wins. Fast without the rock could be a big disappointment. Tenet sounds amazing, but I'm not expecting much more than $200m dom.

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WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Secret Life of Pets 2 $45,000,000 4,561 $9,866 $45,000,000 1 Universal
2 Dark Phoenix $31,800,000 3,721 $8,546 $31,800,000 1 Fox
3 Aladdin $23,900,000 -44% 3,805 -671 $6,281 $231,785,926 3 Disney
4 Godzilla: King of the Monsters $14,700,000 -69% 4,108 0 $3,578 $77,757,097 2 Warner Bros.
5 Rocketman $14,000,000 -46% 3,610 0 $3,878 $50,498,756 2 Paramount Pictures
6 Ma (2019) $7,200,000 -60% 2,816 8 $2,557 $32,148,075 2 Universal Pictures
7 John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum $6,600,000 -40% 2,776 -828 $2,378 $137,862,998 4 Lionsgate
8 Avengers: Endgame $4,800,000 -40% 2,121 -984 $2,263 $824,365,940 7 Disney
9 POKÉMON Detective Pikachu $3,200,000 -54% 2,161 -986 $1,481 $137,621,719 5 Warner Bros.
10 Booksmart $1,600,000 -52% 1,134 -1384 $1,411 $17,837,413 3 United Artists Releasing
11 Brightburn $550,000 -78% 1,013 -1594 $543 $16,376,396 3 Sony Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 A Dog’s Journey $1,500,000 35% 631 -1043 $2,377 $21,180,820 4 Universal Pictures
2 The Intruder $315,000 -61% 306 -501 $1,029 $34,951,180 6 Sony / Screen Gems
3 Captain Marvel $150,000 -21% 175 13 $857 $426,424,055 14 Disney
4 Dumbo $125,000 -79% 112 -118 $1,116 $113,843,182 11 Walt Disney Pictures
5 Long Shot $105,000 -69% 147 -330 $714 $30,171,456 6 Lionsgate
6 Breakthrough $80,000 -46% 137 -114 $584 $40,456,835 8 20th Century Fox
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All these movies tanking critically and commercially and with audiences gives you each month an idea of what an  impossible and monumental task and achievement  the MCU has been as a whole ...

And please, spare me the marvel formula, it s way more complex  than that.

Any producer, fillmmaker, actor know what makes a good movie, everybody knows the "formula".

Edited by The Futurist
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I would say movies like Booksmart could have atleast gotten 75M total DOM without so many competition. If you give moviegoers so many options it's gonna get crazy. 

 

 

Edited by Geo1500
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Summer Slumping Sequels?

 

KOTM will make less than Kong 17 and Godzilla 14'

Dark Phoenix;  Definitely isn't rising from the ashes with that number and will make less than Apocalypse. 

SLOP2:  Look the last one was a surprise hit, so I guess these numbers aren't too bad considering but that's a 50% drop OW from the original and this isn't sniffing anywhere near the 350+ domestic.  Aladdin also competed with it for Family audiences.  

 

 

I guess we were spoiled by Endgame and John Wick shattering franchise records for sequels.  I'm gonna be honest, my expectation for DP was pretty low but I thought SLOP2 was gonna do somewhat better.  I personally didn't expect it to increase because the release date felt too close to TS4 to me.  The last one came in July and school was fully out but I was shocked by that low preview number.   I guess competition is still fierce like last weekend.  It's still getting more walk up business than DP so should help it for Sat/Sun.  Shaft5 and MIB4 are next with TS4 on the horizon.   Also Far From Home has the full holiday to clean up.  So it's far from over for Sequels this Summer. 

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5 minutes ago, TMP said:

Black Widow and Wondy 2 look like the only slam dunk wins. Fast without the rock could be a big disappointment. Tenet sounds amazing, but I'm not expecting much more than $200m dom.

BW, WW1984, Tenet, Minions, Jungle Cruise, are all guaranteed hits. 

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7 minutes ago, Geo1500 said:

I would even say movies like Booksmart could have atleast gotten 75M total DOM without so many competition. If you give moviegoers so many options it's gonna get crazy.

Booksmart is a great movie that should be doing much better than it has but this was never happening, come on now.

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5 minutes ago, Alli said:

BW, WW1984, Tenet, Minions, Jungle Cruise, are all guaranteed hits. 

Minions will drop 50%. I don't know why everyone's so confident in Jungle Cruise, even Dwayne Johnson seems to be wanting to make that guy his new go-to guy

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Gotta love when newish followers witness their first nasty summer. Kinda reminds me of a few over the years where all the same arguments are raised. Biggest difference now is the availability of streaming and how quickly films hit VOD. 

 

Also to the poster above - I am sorry, but there was no way Godzilla was making 200-300 in any spot on the calendar. First film in a series, maybe, but the worst aspect of the film is that its predecessor was hated by the GA. That is something you will have to learn to account for in your own expectations. 

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