Flop Weekend Thread: Top 5 Weekend Actuals - TSLOP2 $46.65M | Dark Phoenix $32.83M | Aladdin $24.68M | Godzilla KOTM $15.45M | Rocketman $13.82M

[sfran43]

 

[ScoobyDoo21]

I have no idea what Shaft has to do with E3, but ok. I guess Shaft has something to do with video games.

Edited June 10, 2019 by ScoobyDoo21

[a2k]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	The Secret Life of Pets 2	Uni.	$46,652,680	-	4,561	-	$10,229	$47,577,680	$80	1
2	N	Dark Phoenix	Fox	$32,828,348	-	3,721	-	$8,822	$32,828,348	-	1
3	2	Aladdin (2019)	BV	$24,680,968	-42.4%	3,805	-671	$6,486	$232,566,894	$183	3
4	1	Godzilla: King of the Monsters	WB	$15,450,407	-67.7%	4,108	-	$3,761	$78,507,504	$170	2
5	3	Rocketman	Par.	$13,816,016	-46.3%	3,610	-	$3,827	$50,314,772	$40	2
6	4	Ma (2019)	Uni.	$7,827,690	-56.8%	2,816	+8	$2,780	$32,775,765	$5	2
7	5	John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum	LG/S	$7,416,698	-33.1%	2,776	-828	$2,672	$138,679,696	-	4
8	6	Avengers: Endgame	BV	$4,870,963	-39.4%	2,121	-984	$2,297	$824,436,903	$356	7
9	7	Pokemon Detective Pikachu	WB	$3,188,152	-54.2%	2,161	-986	$1,475	$137,609,871	$150	5
10	8	Booksmart	UAR	$1,595,903	-51.7%	1,134	-1,384	$1,407	$17,833,316	-	3
11	11	A Dog's Journey	Uni.	$1,295,280	+16.2%	631	-1,043	$2,053	$20,976,100	-	4
12	9	Brightburn	SGem	$571,438	-76.7%	1,013	-1,594	$564	$16,397,834	$6	3
13	10	The Hustle	UAR	$485,210	-63.3%	416	-991	$1,166	$34,498,565	-	5
14	15	Biggest Little Farm	Neon	$355,871	-18.3%	285	+10	$1,249	$2,460,275	-	5
15	12	The Intruder (2019)	SGem	$315,446	-60.6%	306	-501	$1,031	$34,951,626	$8	6
16	N	Late Night	Amazon	$249,654	-	4	-	$62,414	$249,654	-	1
17	N	The Last Black Man in San Francisco	A24	$235,272	-	7	-	$33,610	$235,272	-	1
18	27	All Is True	SPC	$226,606	+149.8%	328	+247	$691	$741,653	-	5
19	26	Echo in the Canyon	Greenwich	$202,335	+109.0%	43	+29	$4,705	$498,079	-	3
20	14	Shazam!	WB (NL)	$174,657	-64.1%	205	-132	$852	$139,539,187	$100	10

[Krissykins]

Just back from Brightburn and it deserved to do so much better. 

 

Same with Booksmart. 

 

Shame. 

[WittyUsername]

2 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Just back from Brightburn and it deserved to do so much better. 

 

Same with Booksmart. 

 

Shame. 

Don’t those movies both only have $6 million production budgets? If so, I don’t think either of them would be considered a loss. 

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, WittyUsername said:

Don’t those movies both only have $6 million production budgets? If so, I don’t think either of them would be considered a loss. 

It's the P&A that can make them unprofitable.  

 

Avg wide release of low/mid budget horror still starts around $30-35m. 

 

Book-Smart probably less than that though especially with United Artists doing the releasing but independent wide release is still around $20m

[Krissykins]

8 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Avg wide release of low/mid budget horror still starts around $30-35m. 

 

Maybe not for 2600 theatres from ScreenGems. Guessing more $25m.

 

Could eventually make it up after streaming etc. 

 

But yeh, a wide release horror doing sub $20m isn’t good. Sad, such a fun film and it’s extremely violent. 

[DisposedData]

30 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Just back from Brightburn and it deserved to do so much better. 

 

Same with Booksmart. 

 

Shame. 

Agree with you on Booksmart or deserved to smash. But Brightburn definitely got what it deserved.

[HeadShot]

Godzilla king of flops bombing like it deserves 

[cdsacken]

Hmm what are we the thinking for Aladdin for Monday?

Fantastic Sunday 7.95m

 

Only dropped 65.8% before (2.72m)

 

That seems aggressive though. But it is summer kinda. Maybe 2.35-2.75?

 

Ah hell I will be aggressive and say 2.7

Edited June 10, 2019 by cdsacken

[MagnarTheGreat]

Movie	first wknd.	% change	mutliplier	dom. Total
Godzilla	$93.2M		2.15	$200.7M
Godzilla KotM	$47.8M	-48.7%
X: Apocalypse	$65.8M		2.36	$155.4M
Dark Phoenix	$32.8M	-50.1%
Secret Life of Pets	$104.4M		3.53	$368.4M
Secret Life of Pets 2	$46.7M	-55.3%

 

Can G: KotM multi go lower than the already low 2.15 since it's a sequel? Pets 2 should take a hit to the multiplier because it's a sequel that moved from July to June. Phoenix launched in June instead of May which is slightly more favorable for a multiplier. Pretty brutal if all three take a hit with lower multipliers than their predecessors after the way they opened.

[Ledmonkey96]

11 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Hmm what are we the thinking for Aladdin for Monday?

Fantastic Sunday 7.95m

 

Only dropped 65.8% before (2.72m)

 

That seems aggressive though. But it is summer kinda. Maybe 2.35-2.75?

 

Ah hell I will be aggressive and say 2.7

Based off my area I'd assume 3mil.

[cdsacken]

10 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Based off my area I'd assume 3mil.

That would be badass 

[cookie]

35 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Hmm what are we the thinking for Aladdin for Monday?

Fantastic Sunday 7.95m

 

Only dropped 65.8% before (2.72m)

 

That seems aggressive though. But it is summer kinda. Maybe 2.35-2.75?

 

Ah hell I will be aggressive and say 2.7

If it follows Maleficent again the Monday drop should be in the 57-59% range.

[Menor the Destroyer]

45 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Hmm what are we the thinking for Aladdin for Monday?

Fantastic Sunday 7.95m

 

Only dropped 65.8% before (2.72m)

 

That seems aggressive though. But it is summer kinda. Maybe 2.35-2.75?

 

Ah hell I will be aggressive and say 2.7

I am not really sure how good Pulse estimations after OW are but Aladdin is outpacing Phoenix by 13% today, it was about 75% of Phoenix yesterday and still practically tied it in actuals. I think it will have a good drop. Most kids are out of school so your estimate looks fine, maybe even a bit low. Even Solo dropped 65% on the comparable day, seems to be the standard drop for this time of year, and Aladdin has been having quite strong holds.

Edited June 10, 2019 by Menor

[a2k]

1 hour ago, MagnarTheGreat said:

Movie	first wknd.	% change	mutliplier	dom. Total
Godzilla	$93.2M		2.15	$200.7M
Godzilla KotM	$47.8M	-48.7%
X: Apocalypse	$65.8M		2.36	$155.4M
Dark Phoenix	$32.8M	-50.1%
Secret Life of Pets	$104.4M		3.53	$368.4M
Secret Life of Pets 2	$46.7M	-55.3%

 

Can G: KotM multi go lower than the already low 2.15 since it's a sequel? Pets 2 should take a hit to the multiplier because it's a sequel that moved from July to June. Phoenix launched in June instead of May which is slightly more favorable for a multiplier. Pretty brutal if all three take a hit with lower multipliers than their predecessors after the way they opened.

102.8 gives it 2.15x. It's 24.3 away from that after a 15.45 weekend so should get there. 2.25x is doable:

Mon-Thu + 3rd weekend (Father's Day) should add 7+ each for ~14.5 more this week.

Adding that same amount in rest of the run for a total of 29 to come, giving 107.5 dom (2.25x).

[Gamora]

That Aladdin reign just won't let up in Australia, three weeks at #1.

 

 

 

 

 

[xiazhi]

9 hours ago, Hades said:

WW 84 Under Xmen DP confirmed boys....Every Marvel shill's dream

1984 is not a teamup movie. Like Deadpool3 will still be big. You wanna say JL2 under dark pheniox confirmed. Every DC shill's dream

Edited June 11, 2019 by xiazhi

[JB33]

Been taking a break from box office for a bit but had to comment on some of these weekend numbers. I'm dumbfounded. Dark Phoenix doesn't surprise me in the least, but Pets 2? I know people here love to hate Illumination but let's be real here: that's an insanely bad drop on opening weekend from the 1st. Clearly audiences were more than content with a stand alone there.

 

And King of the Monsters? I didn't agree with some of the higher end predictions here but I'm surprised it went this low. The second weekend drop for this franchise is actually not surprising. It's the total number on opening weekend which led to such a small 2nd weekend number already that gets me. It may not have lived up to expectations but it deserves better numbers than this. It's a true summer popcorn movie.

 

Meanwhile, Aladdin continues to absolutely slay. It's the lone positive surprise at the box office right now. Again, Disney wins. I don't mean that as a studio wars kind of statement, it's just the truth. It's getting to the point where it feels like audiences collectively decided Disney is where they're going to put their faith and entertainment dollars and that's that, all other movies be damned.

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, JB33 said:

It's getting to the point where it feels like audiences collectively decided Disney is where they're going to put their faith and entertainment dollars and that's that, all other movies be damned.

They’ve put out an incredible streak of movies over the past 4 years that (mostly) have been seen by lots of people and enjoyed by those who’ve seen them. If you think you can only see like 6 movies a year with the family and you want to make sure everyone has at least a pretty decent time, 2 MCU+a Pixar+ a WDAS+ a live reimagining + a SW has got to seem like a pretty safe slate.