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charlie Jatinder

Tuesday (6/18) Numbers

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With AE getting a re-release next week by Disney, it will be interesting to see how wide of re-release they go with and which films take the hit from lost screens. 

 

https://deadline.com/2019/06/avengers-endgame-re-release-new-footage-avatar-box-office-1202634903/

 

My first assumption would be movies in the bottom half of the top 10 with the lowest PTA's would be the most threatened. So that would likely include XDP, KOTM, Shaft and JW3.

 

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8 hours ago, UserHN said:

They won't do that. If they do it, Cameron might rebel and suddenly leave Disney and go to other studios. I believe he's close to both Sony's Tom Rothman and Paramount's Jim G.

No one in the world can be THAT petty

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Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, June 23 % Change from Last Wknd
Toy Story 4 Disney / Pixar $149,000,000 $149,000,000 NEW
Child’s Play (2019) United Artists Releasing $18,000,000 $18,000,000 NEW
Men In Black International Sony / Columbia $12,100,000 $53,500,000 -60%
The Secret Life of Pets 2 Universal / Illumination $11,300,000 $116,200,000 -54%
Aladdin (2019) Disney $10,400,000 $284,800,000 -40%
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1 Toy Story 4 (Disney) $153.0 M $153.0 M NEW 1
2 Child's Play
(United Artists Releasing / Orion)
$13.5 M $13.5 M NEW 1
3 Aladdin (Disney) $12.5 M $288.0 M -28% 5
4 Men in Black: International
(Sony / Columbia)
$12.3 M $54.2 M -59% 2
5 The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Universal) $12.0 M $119.5 M -51% 3
6 Rocketman (Paramount) $6.0 M $77.5 M -36% 4
7 Anna (Lionsgate / Summit) $4.5 M $4.5 M NEW 1
8 Godzilla: King of the Monsters
(Warner / Legendary)
$4.4 M $103.0 M -50% 4
9 Shaft (Warner / New Line) $4.3 M $16.8 M -52% 2
10 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum
(Lionsgate / Summit)
$4.2 M $156.2 M -34% 6
11 Dark Phoenix (Disney / Fox) $3.5 M $60.0 M -63% 3
12 Late Night (Amazon Studios) $3.1 M $11.2 M -41% 3
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15 hours ago, WP Kelley said:

I was hoping for closer to 1.6m. Do you agree the drops seem to be stabilizing, but we're probably looking at a final gross of $105-$106?

I think it can go higher than 105-106.

 

96.85 on Tue,

 

0.94 (-35%) // 97.79

0.75 (-20%) // 98.54

 

1.10 (+46%)

1.65 (+50%)

1.25 (-24%)

= 4.0 (-54.4%) // 102.54

 

After a 4th weekend of 4.0 it can add ~7.5 thanks to strong summer weekdays in rest of the run for ~110 dom.

 

Can go a couple mil higher as apart from my Wed guess of -35%, rest of the holds are pessimistic.

 

 

 

 

 

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