Toy Story 4 Weekend Thread | Estimates: Small Soldiers 118, Puppet Master 14.1, Prince of Persia 12.2 (-30%), Blues Brothers 2000 10.8 (-64%), Beverly Hills Chihuahua: The Squeakquel 10.3 (-58%)

[ThomasNicole]

4 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am feeling more confident about upper limit than 2 hours ago. In fact, even $45mn is possible. But let's just stick $42mn for next 6-7 hours.

With $ 45M, + 150M is happening

 

Anyway i’m very happy with $ 140M or so

[FlashMaster659]

Extremely early Friday numbers from DHD

 

"See our breakdown in the previous post, but the notion is that Toy Story 4 gets to north of $55M today"

 

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-story-4-opening-weekend-box-office-childs-play-1202635964/

[Krissykins]

52 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Bright burn did $3mn of $1mn previews. Since I don't really tracked film that small, $5.65mn is basically how R rated films generally perform.

Hmm, Saw 3D, Jigsaw, Get Out, Nightmare on Elm Street were R and had a similar preview number but did between 4.5-9.9x

 

Anyway, hopefully it goes higher with night time business 

[superduperm]

11 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am feeling more confident about upper limit than 2 hours ago. In fact, even $45mn is possible. But let's just stick $42mn for next 6-7 hours.

Let's hope this is a good sign for its internal multiplier.

 

I want that $150M 😡

Edited June 21, 2019 by superduperm

[superduperm]

7 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

With $ 45M, + 150M is happening

 

Anyway i’m very happy with $ 140M or so

Not quite.

 

57

47

41.5

 

145.5

 

BUT a 4.5+ previews-to-OD multiplier might be a good sign for Saturday. Who knows. Problem is Finding Dory had a great previews-to-OD multiplier and it stayed flat on Saturday. I2 was the one that increased 11%+.

Edited June 21, 2019 by superduperm

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

There’s no other franchise ever with 4 consecutive films with increases in admissions right (talking sequels not cinematic universes)?

Dr No, Russia with Love, Goldfinger, Thunderball  

 

Fast 3,4,5,6,7 looks like a 5 streak    

 

Thor should have a good shot if they make a 4th

[cookie]

Opening better than Finding Dory adjusted would be a good enough goal and should make $500m perfectly doable.

[john2000]

16 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I am feeling more confident about upper limit than 2 hours ago. In fact, even $45mn is possible. But let's just stick $42mn for next 6-7 hours.

sorry but i want to aks, if this is still morning projections , could ts4 improve more than 45 ? 

Edited June 21, 2019 by john2000

[superduperm]

Just an idea: Is it possible for this to beat Finding Dory's OW with a smaller OD? I feel like Finding Dory had a rough Sunday drop because it wasn't really a Father's Day movie like some of the other films in the market and I think the NBA Finals hurt it that day, too.

[superduperm]

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

sorry but i want to aks, if this is still morning projections , could ts4 imporve more than 45 ? 

I'm going to go out on a limb and say it can because it's not even 1 PM on the east and film business has just BARELY started over here on the west. Everything right now is just projecting/estimating.

 

With that said, let's not hope for more than 45 right now I've already been disappointed enough lol.

[nguyenkhoi282]

I was expecting only 125M before presales started, so anything more is great 

[DisposedData]

1 hour ago, RealLyre said:

kinda harsh Sunday drop no? I2 dropped 10% and Dory dropped 24%. 

They had Fathers day.

[superduperm]

2 minutes ago, DisposedData said:

They had Fathers day.

Am I the only one who thinks Father's Day did Finding Dory no favors whatsoever? There were a lot more films in theaters that fit the theme better.

[MovieMan89]

28 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Dr No, Russia with Love, Goldfinger, Thunderball  

 

Fast 3,4,5,6,7 looks like a 5 streak    

 

Thor should have a good shot if they make a 4th

For some reason I had thought 6 did less admissions than 5. Man that franchise is such a weird anomaly. 

[Eric Atreides]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-the-angry-birds-movie-2-47-meters-down-uncaged-good-boys-whered-you-go-bernadette/

 

Angry Birds Movie 2: 19/70 (Don't know if the 19's for the 3-Day or 5-Day)

47 Meters Down: Uncaged: 15/39

Good Boys: 15/43

Where'd You Go, Bernadette?: 11/45

 

Yesterday: 10 OW. N/A for total

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-the-angry-birds-movie-2-47-meters-down-uncaged-good-boys-whered-you-go-bernadette/

 

Angry Birds Movie 2: 19/70 (Don't know if the 19's for the 3-Day or 5-Day)

47 Meters Down: Uncaged: 15/39

Good Boys: 15/43

Where'd You Go, Bernadette?: 11/45

 

Yesterday: 10 OW. N/A for total

19 for the 3-day.   

 

No changes to all other movies, they’ve been unusually stable recently.

[Cap]

2 hours ago, That One Guy said:

more like Flop Story 4

 

11 hours ago, That One Guy said:

 

me to everyone this weekend:

 

 

[MovieMan89]

Lol, leave it to BOT to declare a movie likely to be the second biggest animated film ever a flop. 

[sfran43]

 

[JohnnyGossamer]

7 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Seems like he's yet to check with our Charlie. Hope he's right though.

 

Very much seems that any shade tossed at the OW DOM was kneejerk. Looks like it's gonna in at or above all tracking.