Toy Story 4 Weekend Thread | Estimates: Small Soldiers 118, Puppet Master 14.1, Prince of Persia 12.2 (-30%), Blues Brothers 2000 10.8 (-64%), Beverly Hills Chihuahua: The Squeakquel 10.3 (-58%)

[PKMLover]

8 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Among others

CP : 4.25 (5.9 inc Previews)

Aladdin: 3.3 (+35%)

MIBi: 3.25 (+54.85%)

SLoP 2: 3.25 (+8%)

RM: 1.7 (+56%)

 

 

A:EG: 0.55 (+45%)

 

[DisposedData]

11 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Among others

CP : 4.25 (5.9 inc Previews)

Aladdin: 3.3

MIBi: 3.25

SLoP 2: 3.25

RM: 1.7

 

 

A:EG: 0.55

I don't like any of these numbers. Hoping west coast saves the day.

[UserHN]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Alright, let's admit it. Disney saw it opening $140mn. Anything below that is straight out disaspointing, considering how conservative they usually are.

 

BTW @Menor how are Saturday pre-sales on pulse.

Disappointing yes, but not a bad figure at all. Will still open above TS3's unadjusted and will be the #2 animated film of the year. Hoping for at least a billion. OS markets help is deeply needed.

[KP1025]

Even with competition from TS4, that's a really bad increase for SLOP2. 

[UserHN]

3 minutes ago, DisposedData said:

I don't like any of these numbers. Hoping west coast saves the day.

People in full vacation mode. Lol

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

16 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Among others

CP : 4.25 (5.9 inc Previews)

Aladdin: 3.3

MIBi: 3.25

SLoP 2: 3.25

RM: 1.7

 

 

A:EG: 0.55

Thanks as always Charlie. Any news on Godzilla and John wick?

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, DAR said:

You know who’d love to open to 120 million?  Every other animated film this year

Every other film would love to open to 250mn but not Endgame.

 

9 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

The budget is estimated as being between 175m to 200m. As long as it doesn't somehow sink it its second weekend, it should make a decent profit. 

Its not doing bad enough to worry about profitability. In all probability, domestic returns itself will be enough for breakeven and foreign returns plus home video being a huge plus.

 

[ThomasNicole]

6 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Disappointing yes, but not a bad figure at all. Will still open above TS3's unadjusted and will be the #2 animated film of the year. Hoping for at least a billion. OS markets help is deeply needed.

Exactly, considering the tracking is kinda disappointing seeing below that, but that’s it. It’s still the biggest opening of the franchise and should do $ 900M-1B, basically every non-Disney movie this year would kill for something like this.

Edited June 22, 2019 by ThomasNicole

[Legion Again]

Silver lining, Aladdin now has TS4 in its sights WW 

[jedijake]

Anything less than Disney's projections for TS4 is disappointing. Not terrible but disappointing. Anything less than what is ever expected is always going to be disappointing, especially with a franchise that is SO well loved and had SUCH high critic and audience ratings. That's just a fact of life. But it's also a fact of life that a $130 million OW is still great. If it ends up around $120 million then that would be VERY disappointing, but oh well.

 

LOL at the prospect of Aladdin ending up with a better multiplier than TS4. 

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Thanks as always Charlie. Any news on Godzilla and John wick?

Godzilla 1.025 while John Wick 3 weirdly at 1.11. That JW 3 number looks faulty.

 

Edit: Even last Friday it bumped 83% so its ok i guess.

Edited June 22, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[John Marston]

120m is a disappointing figure. No way to spin it. Fell below All trades and even Disney's projections. 

 

 

saying "Any other movie would kill to open that much" makes no sense. We are talking about this specific movie and what it had going for it. 

 

 

guess we'll have to see if Far From Home and TLK saves this summer

[Blankments]

I'm so depressed rn i saw late night instead of toy story 4 which could be titled toy story 3.5/5 i guess 

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Yeah with Aladdin's chances of $1 Billion looking better and better there is a possibility it outgrosses Toy Story 4 WW. 

[a2k]

Giving optimistic Sat and Sun,

12

38

42 (+10.5%)

34 (-21%)

= 126

 

With +15% Sat bump for 43.7 and -20% Sun for 35 it gets 128.7 ow

Edited June 22, 2019 by a2k

[PKMLover]

3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Godzilla 1.025 while John Wick 3 weirdly at 1.11. That JW 3 number looks faulty.

JW3 + 80% ???

[superduperm]

Just going to have to hope for some good legs. If it doesn’t hit $40M tomorrow, it might be panic time.

[Porthos]

23 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Next one is gonna be The Lion King. Some might be predicting 200 million opening, but I don't think it'll go that high...

 

Regarding TS 4, the opening number is good. It's all about legs now. A good CinemaScore will do the rest.

 

What's the budget for it? 

Heaven help this board if TLK comes in under expectations on its OW. 

 

(If FFH does better than 'expected' and sucks up a lot of July dollars....)

[UserHN]

4 minutes ago, a2k said:

Giving optimistic Sat and Sun,

12

38

42 (+10.5%)

34 (-21%)

= 126

 

Even with +15% Sat bump for 43.7 and -20% Sun for 35 it gets 128.7 ow

Realistic would be:

 

12

37

38

28

= 115

[UserHN]

5 minutes ago, superduperm said:

Just going to have to hope for some good legs. If it doesn’t hit $40M tomorrow, it might be panic time.

Why panic if it doesn't hit 40 Saturday? Even with a $115M to $120M, a billion is still alive.