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Toy Story 4 Weekend Thread | Estimates: Small Soldiers 118, Puppet Master 14.1, Prince of Persia 12.2 (-30%), Blues Brothers 2000 10.8 (-64%), Beverly Hills Chihuahua: The Squeakquel 10.3 (-58%)

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, UserHN said:

It's the fault of Deadline for raising the expectations so high. I will be contented with just Dory numbers but based on Menor's Pulse tracking, I think even Dory numbers is off the table. So I'll just be ok with $120M OW. Hoping for a billion worldwide.

I mean it's the fault of people who think a number that doesn't approach I2 is disappointing. Deadline had a part in that, but there are many who also can't take a step back and look rationally at what is going to be a massive OW for an animated film (which is guaranteed to have really good legs as well).

Edited by Jayhawk
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12M TROLOLOLOLOLOL FAILURE

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3 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

I mean it's the fault of people who think a number that doesn't approach I2 is disappointing. Deadline had a part in that, but there are many who also can't take a step back and look rationally at what is going to be a massive OW for an animated film (which is guaranteed to have really good legs as well).

Yes. I agree. That's why I'll be ok with a $120M OW.

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4 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

I mean it's the fault of people who think a number that doesn't approach I2 is disappointing. Deadline had a part in that, but there are many who also can't take a step back and look rationally at what is going to be a massive OW for an animated film (which is guaranteed to have really good legs as well).

 

Just now, CJohn said:

12M TROLOLOLOLOLOL FAILURE

...

Spoiler

I know CJohn is doing his bit 😛

 

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Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, UserHN said:

It's the fault of Deadline for raising the expectations so high. I will be contented with just Dory numbers but based on Menor's Pulse tracking, I think even Dory numbers is off the table. So I'll just be ok with $120M OW. Still hoping for a billion worldwide at least. OS markets don't fail us. Lol

Early days, could get walk ins to boost it to Dory levels although it would need quite a bit. By Charlie's early range 130+ is possible on the high end, and he has actual numbers

Edited by Menor

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Very good numbers and anyone claiming "disappointment" or "flop:"

 

Related image

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Beating Incredibles 2 always seemed unrealistic but Deadline throws a ridiculous number out and now the peanut gallery will say ONLY 150? WELL THAT'S DISAPPOINTING.

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3 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Yes. I agree. That's why I'll be ok with a $120M OW.

Only $10m more than the last film 9 years ago? 

 

I think this will do $150m+ 

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Posted (edited)

Sides, There is a chance that the actual will be higher for early thursday.

Edited by ScoobyDoo21

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I am laughing hard at the fact this won't even come close to Dory's number, let alone Incredibles 2.

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1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Only $10m more than the last film 9 years ago? 

 

I think this will do $150m+ 

True Friday needs to be in the high 40s for that. 120-130 range seems more likely, but we shall see

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3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I am laughing hard at the fact this won't even come close to Dory's number, let alone Incredibles 2.

Image result for john cena funny gif

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3 minutes ago, RichWS said:

Beating Incredibles 2 always seemed unrealistic but Deadline throws a ridiculous number out and now the peanut gallery will say ONLY 150? WELL THAT'S DISAPPOINTING.

BOM predicted $165m. 

BO predicted $149m. 

Variety said $140m+ 

THR said “is pegged to debut in the $150-200m range” yesterday (20th June) 

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pointing out that deadline's early predictions are way off doesn't mean that the numbers themselves are disappointing. I don't know how people came to that conclusion.

 

tenor.gif

 

 

 

 

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20 minutes ago, UserHN said:

It's the fault of Deadline for raising the expectations so high. I will be contented with just Dory numbers but based on Menor's Pulse tracking, I think even Dory numbers is off the table. So I'll just be ok with $120M OW. Still hoping for a billion worldwide at least. OS markets don't fail us. Lol

People have a right to be disappointed with $120M. That would be lower than the OW’s of Shrek the Garbage and TS3 adjusted.

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Toy Story 4 should have no problem sticking around for the remainder of the summer with great legs even from a $140-150M opening. Regardless, its opening is definitely looking to be a major cure for the box office blues of the last few weeks.

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9 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I am laughing hard at the fact this won't even come close to Dory's number, let alone Incredibles 2.

What’s worse is that it might not even beat Dreck the Turd for second place!

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10 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Only $10m more than the last film 9 years ago? 

 

I think this will do $150m+ 

Nope. Based on Charlie's estimated pure Fri numbers (38M-40M), I don't think it can go to $150M.

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Posted (edited)

I'll be a tad disappointed with "only" $120M only cause it'll make $500M DOM final total difficult. 

 

But yeah Disney definitely will take this massive win with all the other tentpole failures this summer.

 

It's gonna outgross Shrek the Third by around $100M anyways so not sure why everyone is dredging up the fact it may make less than that film on OW.

Edited by Darth Lehnsherr

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Toy Story 3's opening adjusts to $126M with almost a decade of inflation FYI. Anything above that is definitely a win.

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