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Toy Story 4 Weekend Thread | Estimates: Small Soldiers 118, Puppet Master 14.1, Prince of Persia 12.2 (-30%), Blues Brothers 2000 10.8 (-64%), Beverly Hills Chihuahua: The Squeakquel 10.3 (-58%)

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1 TOY STORY 4
Buena Vista

4,575
$47,390,000

-- / $10,358
$47,390,000 / 1
$39,608,000

-16.4% / $8,657
$86,998,000 / 2
$31,002,000

-21.7% / $6,776
$118,000,000 / 3

N/A
2 CHILD'S PLAY (2019)
United Artists Releasing

3,007
$6,103,295

-- / $2,030
$6,103,295 / 1
$4,544,140

-25.5% / $1,511
$10,647,435 / 2
$3,408,105

-25% / $1,133
$14,055,540 / 3

N/A
3 ALADDIN (2019)
Buena Vista

3,435
$4,000,000

+63.6% / $1,164
$279,310,128 / 29
$4,943,000

+23.6% / $1,439
$284,253,128 / 30
$3,257,000

-34.1% / $948
$287,510,128 / 31

N/A
4 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL
Sony / Columbia

4,224
$3,260,000

+56.5% / $772
$45,199,654 / 8
$4,270,000

+31% / $1,011
$49,469,654 / 9
$3,220,000

-24.6% / $762
$52,689,654 / 10

N/A
5 THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2
Universal

3,804
$3,200,000

+5.4% / $841
$110,493,535 / 15
$3,980,000

+24.4% / $1,046
$114,473,535 / 16
$3,110,000

-21.9% / $818
$117,583,535 / 17

N/A
6 ROCKETMAN
Paramount

2,414
$1,600,000

+46.1% / $663
$73,278,389 / 22
$2,310,000

+44.4% / $957
$75,588,389 / 23
$1,740,000

-24.7% / $721
$77,328,389 / 24

N/A
7 JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 - PARABELLUM
Lionsgate/Summit

1,607
$1,125,000

+81.9% / $700
$153,117,424 / 36
$1,682,000

+49.5% / $1,047
$154,799,424 / 37
$1,268,000

-24.6% / $789
$156,067,424 / 38

N/A
8 DARK PHOENIX
Fox

2,054
$1,016,000

+29.7% / $495
$57,575,311 / 15
$1,402,000

+38% / $683
$58,977,311 / 16
$1,182,000

-15.7% / $575
$60,159,311 / 17

N/A
9 SHAFT (2019)
Warner Bros. (New Line)

2,952
$1,005,000

+69.6% / $340
$13,391,394 / 8
$1,460,000

+45.3% / $495
$14,851,394 / 9
$1,090,000

-25.3% / $369
$15,941,394 / 10

N/A
10 GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS
Warner Bros.

2,368
$1,065,000

+36.5% / $450
$99,710,637 / 22
$1,550,000

+45.5% / $655
$101,260,637 / 23
$1,085,000

-30% / $458
$102,345,637 / 24

N/A
11 ANNA (2019)
Lionsgate/Summit

2,114
$1,358,000

-- / $642
$1,358,000 / 1
$1,247,000

-8.2% / $590
$2,605,000 / 2
$930,000

-25.4% / $440
$3,535,000 / 3

N/A
12 LATE NIGHT
Amazon Studios

2,172
$763,557

+45.2% / $352
$8,852,536 / 15
$1,071,001

+40.3% / $493
$9,923,537 / 16
$749,327

-30% / $345
$10,672,864 / 17

N/A
- AVENGERS: ENDGAME
Buena Vista

985
$522,000

+37.2% / $530
$833,130,966 / 57
$814,000

+55.9% / $826
$833,944,966 / 58
$559,000

-31.3% / $568
$834,503,966 / 59

N/A
- MA (2019)
Universal

862
$360,000

+27.7% / $418
$42,909,765 / 22
$480,000

+33.3% / $557
$43,389,765 / 23
$360,000

-25% / $418
$43,749,765 / 24

N/A
- THE DEAD DON'T DIE
Focus Features

690
$350,000

+60.7% / $507
$3,977,915 / 8
$460,000

+31.4% / $667
$4,437,915 / 9
$320,000

-30.4% / $464
$4,757,915 / 10

N/A
- THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO
A24

72
$121,546

+184.9% / $1,688
$1,050,534 / 15
$162,043

+33.3% / $2,251
$1,212,577 / 16
$130,000

-19.8% / $1,806
$1,342,577 / 17

N/A
- PAVAROTTI
CBS Films

135
$132,000

+285.2% / $978
$715,088 / 15
$163,000

+23.5% / $1,207
$878,088 / 16
$114,000

-30.1% / $844
$992,088 / 17

N/A
- WILD ROSE
Neon

4
$21,345

-- / $5,336
$21,345 / 1
$20,338

-4.7% / $5,085
$41,683 / 2
$14,500

-28.7% / $3,625
$56,183 / 3

N/A
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1 minute ago, salvador-232 said:

EXCHANGE RATES 

And the same will happen in Japan, on top of the fact that every single Pixar sequel has decreased in Japan, including Incredibles 2, that's why I'm still not sold on the billion until I see second weekend drops.  

yeah 1 billion is not locked, but for sure as hell its not off the table

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1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

Is 17.4 away from 70 dom after 10.75 weekend wich should be easy to add with summer weekdays.

That gives 200 ww

 

50 more os after 30 weekend will also happen for 250 ww.

 

Should add more than my guess both dom and os for possibly 260 ww. Similar to DARKP but on 110 prod budget instead of 200.

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That MIB drop LMAO. Hemsbomb knows no bounds.

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Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, salvador-232 said:

EXCHANGE RATES 

And the same will happen in Japan, on top of the fact that every single Pixar sequel has decreased in Japan, including Incredibles 2, that's why I'm still not sold on the billion until I see second weekend drops.  

And it may look like those damn exchange rates might not get any better, making it much harder for even the huge blockbusters to get over $1B WW in the future. Have things gone that awful this decade?

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34

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6 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

In several markets ticket prices have went up $0 or have experienced negative inflation. It's the big markets that drag it higher too. It's ridiculous to suggest inflation has changed much because it hasn't. Hell classic movie theaters have experienced deflation because they simply can't compete with modern theaters. I can buy movie tickets any time I want for $7.29 for leather recliners at AMC. The classic AMC charges $5.49 for all 2d tickets and does horrible.

That make me wonder how the hell the movies come after 2010s largely dominate the all time grossing film chart, and how the hell we only had four 1b WW grosser before 2010 but we got 30 more since 2010 . 

  

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3 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

And you won’t still care even if you see it, despite the insanely positive reviews? We can’t really judge a movie without having seen it, honestly.

Even if it got nominated for an Oscar I still wouldn’t go see it, I’m not interested in more Toy story movies, I haven’t said it’s good or bad 

 

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1 minute ago, VENOM said:

Even if it got nominated for an Oscar I still wouldn’t go see it, I’m not interested in more Toy story movies, I haven’t said it’s good or bad 

 

Too bad for you. 😒

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Just now, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

And it may look like those damn exchange rates might not het any better, making it much harder for even the huge blockbusters to get over $1B WW. Have things gone that awful this decade?

It's not as if some of the stupidest decision making in economic and governmental history is going on in both America and the UK this decade thanks to some of the dumbest people in world history being in charge of their respective governments.... That'll tend to put a damper on markets. 

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13 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Wow that looks like a gigantic drop from Ts3 in the UK

Kids are in school so Friday would have been deflated considerably from 2010. 

TS3 wasn’t released until the holidays 

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6 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

That make me wonder how the hell the movies come after 2010s largely dominate the all time grossing film chart, and how the hell we only had four 1b WW grosser before 2010 but we got 30 more since 2010 . 

  

The biggest reason is the huge expansion of multiplexes in China. Night and day to what they were in 2010

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8 minutes ago, a2k said:

Is 17.4 away from 70 dom after 10.75 weekend wich should be easy to add with summer weekdays.

That gives 200 ww

 

50 more os after 30 weekend will also happen for 250 ww.

 

Should add more than my guess both dom and os for possibly 260 ww. Similar to DARKP but on 110 prod budget instead of 200.

Yup. Still buried the franchise though. I’d be sad about it if the movie was good. 

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1 minute ago, wildphantom said:

The biggest reason is the huge expansion of multiplexes in China. Night and day to what they were in 2010

That make me wonder then in domestically how we have 7 movies passed 600m threshold in the post 2015-era while we had only Avatar passed 600m in 00s and Titanic in 90s.

 

The fact is no matter how 3D fade away, the films is nowadays looked easier to pass 600m than in 90s and 00s.    

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I don't know what is more hilarious: Aladdin dropping the most in the Top 10 on Sunday (34.1%) or Dark Phoenix dropping the least (15.7%). I think reality will be closer if you were to reverse those numbers.

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Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

That make me wonder how the hell the movies come after 2010s largely dominate the all time grossing film chart, and how the hell we only had four 1b WW grosser before 2010 but we got 30 more since 2010 . 

  

Dolby and IMAX prices have went up but Avatar was $15 for IMAX 10 years ago. Blockbuster films have done better but independent films are getting crushed.

 

This year is riddled with failures already and it's June.

Edited by cdsacken

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SLOP having a horrendous run. Unless it sprouts fantastic late legs, looks like the 2019 animation multi curse strikes again. Really sucks if this is the new norm for the medium. TS4 should tell us for sure. 

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45 minutes ago, UserHN said:

Wow. Close to @Charlie Jatinder's $125M OS OW estimates 👍

It’s probably going up with actuals... there’s hope for $ 600M OS

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Posted (edited)
23 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

Kids are in school so Friday would have been deflated considerably from 2010. 

TS3 wasn’t released until the holidays 

In fact....I’ve gone back and checked. 

TS3 opened in the U.K. on a Monday (19th July 2010)

 

Its opening weekend was $32.7 million - which equates to about $26 million at today’s exchange rate. That weekend included four extra days of summer weekdays with no school.  A 7-day opening. 

 

So TS4’s Fri-Sun of $15 million (which would have been $16 million at 2010 rates) is pretty terrific actually. 

Edited by wildphantom
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Lmao at that -35% Sunday drop for Aladdin by Disney. It's more likely to be -15% than -35%. 

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So, TS4 opening is great, both DOM and OS.

 

Yes, relative to tracking, it is disappointing, but i refuse to not see how impressive that number are because it was supposed to be bigger.

 

It made $ 118M surpassing the already huge debut of the third and breaking the record for the franchise, all of that with a fourth movie, and not only that, is a fourth film that everybody think is unnecessary, coming from a perfect ending, with a 9 year hiatus, and without the boom of the 3D which help TS3 a lot. That’s impressive and a proof of how loved this franchise is, also legs should be good so we’re probably looking for $ 400M total, which is also great.

 

OS speaking, it made so much better than i was expecting. I always think it will make around 500M, struggle for $ 550M. But with this big debut in only 64% of the markets, i think +600M could happen. I don’t know if the billion will happen, but damn, it’ll be pretty close and that’s a huge number no matter what.

 

 

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