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Toy Story 4 Weekend Thread | Estimates: Small Soldiers 118, Puppet Master 14.1, Prince of Persia 12.2 (-30%), Blues Brothers 2000 10.8 (-64%), Beverly Hills Chihuahua: The Squeakquel 10.3 (-58%)

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Pika is gonna legit fall like 2m short of Warcraft isn’t it? 

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Posted (edited)

 

Edited by sfran43
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Posted (edited)

 

Edited by sfran43
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Exact same legs off the second weekend as the first film (4.24x) would give SLOP2 just over $150 million. However, I doubt it will be as leggy as its predecessor given all the competition this summer. A finish in the $140 million range seems more realistic. 

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Posted (edited)

 

Edited by sfran43

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1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

Holy hell, up 1M+!!!!!:ohmygod:

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Posted (edited)

 

Edited by sfran43
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2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

And up $100k from estimates for Endgame, impressive weekends for both Endgame and Aladdin worldwide.

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1 minute ago, ZattMurdock said:

And up $100k from estimates for Endgame, impressive weekends for both Endgame and Aladdin worldwide.

i am really triggered that it failed to hit 2 mill by 10k, lol (not fail of course)

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That is a sub 25% drop for Aladdin holy shit. I don't think this is going to slow down anytime soon. Will probably be top 10 for the whole summer.

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Does Aladdin hit $300M on Saturday or Sunday?

 

The Lion King has to be loving Aladdin’s performance.

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Aladdin heading for 315+, damn that's one hell of a run. Imagine if the marketing had been on point the whole time, we could have been seeing over Jungle Book domestic. 

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Stamina update on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (2015-2019); (2 weeks ago table):

 

Spoiler
Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)
90% of
Gross
on Day
Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW)
Domestic
Gross
First
Weekend
Release
Month
Rank
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. #8 (2016)
Justice League 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. #10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M May #3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M Dec. #1 (2017)
Avengers: Endgame* 23 2.34 $834.6M $357.1M Apr. #1 (2019)
Aladdin* 24 3.15 $288.6M $91.5M May #3 (2019)
Furious 7 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M Apr. #5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M Dec. #1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M May #3 (2015)
It 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M Sep. #7 (2017)
Spectre 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M Nov. #10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. #8 (2017)
Deadpool 2 29 2.54 $318.5M $125.5M May #6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 29 2.82 $417.7M $148.0M Jun. #4 (2018)
Finding Dory 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M Jun. #2 (2016)
Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. #9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M May #5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War 30 2.63 $678.8M $257.7M Apr. #2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M Dec. #1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp 31 2.86 $216.6M $75.8M Jul. #9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M Nov. #7 (2015)
Aquaman 31 4.94 $335.1M $67.9M Dec. #5 (2018)
Minions 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M Jul. #6 (2015)
Deadpool 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. #6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M Mar. #2 (2017)
Jurassic World 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M Jun. #2 (2015)
Cinderella 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M Mar. #9 (2015)
Sing 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M Dec. #10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout 36 3.60 $220.2M $61.2M Jul. #8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. #6 (2017)
Incredibles 2 36 3.33 $608.6M $182.7M Jun. #3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M Jun. #9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M Jul. #4 (2016)
Captain Marvel* 38 2.78 $426.8M $153.4M Mar. #2 (2019)
Black Panther 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. #1 (2018)
Inside Out 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M Jun. #4 (2015)
The Jungle Book 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M Apr. #5 (2016)
Wonder Woman 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. #3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch 42 4.00 $270.6M $67.6M Nov. #7 (2018)
The Martian 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M Oct. #8 (2015)
Zootopia 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M Mar. #7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. #4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody 69 4.24 $216.4M $51.1M Nov. #10 (2018)
average of table 33 3.43        
median of table 31 2.90        
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters
 
display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of June 23, 2019

 

Release
Month
Average
Multiplier
Median
Multiplier
Release
Month
Average
Multiplier
Median
Multiplier
January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22
February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00
March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75
April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75
May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23
June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76
all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93
excludes 2018-2019 releases

highest month in blue; lowest month in red

numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

 

 

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18 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Does Aladdin hit $300M on Saturday or Sunday?

 

The Lion King has to be loving Aladdin’s performance.

Saturday by the latest. It actually has a small chance of getting there Friday if the weekday holds are strong.

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After the slow start on Friday TS4's Sat and Sun numbers look really good. Remind me a little Aladdin in how it seemed to pick up some steam as the weekend went on. The 14% Sunday drop is really nice. Interested to see what sort of weekday numbers it starts to show.

 

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30 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Aladdin heading for 315+, damn that's one hell of a run. Imagine if the marketing had been on point the whole time, we could have been seeing over Jungle Book domestic. 

There is no way it falls behind indiana jones 4 (317m)

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