SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME WEEK THREAD l 93.6M 3-Day, 185.1M 6-Day. l ****NO SPOILERS**** | Sale $5 off Gold/Premium/Silver l Other #s - TS4 34.3, YDay 10.7, Annabelle 9.7, Aladdin 7.6, Midsommar 6.6 (10.9 5-Day)

[Guest]

2 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

375-400M

That's very optimistic. Seeing the past history. 

[john2000]

7 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

DL weekend update so far

 

1. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) 4,634 theaters $31.5M Fri,  $83.5-$90M FSS Total: $175M-$182M/Wk. 1

2. Toy Story 4 (Dis) 4,540 theaters (-35), $11.8M Fri (-31%),  $33M FSS (-45%), Total: $305.2M/Wk. 3

3. Yesterday (Uni) 2,614 theaters (+11), $3.3M Fri (-45%),  $10.1M FSS (-41%), Total: $36.2M/Wk. 2

4. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $3.3M Fri (-50%),  $9.9M FSS (-51%), Total: $50.3M/Wk. 2

5. Aladdin (Dis) 2,758 theaters (-477), $2.7M Fri (-10%),  $8.2M FSS (-19%), Total: $321.3M/Wk. 7

6. Midsommar  (A24) 2,707 theaters, $2.2M Fri,  $6.2M FSS , Total: $10.6M/Wk. 1

7. Secret Life of Pets 2  (Uni) 2,846 theaters, $1.6M Fri (-24%),  $4.6M FSS (-37%) , Total: $140.6M/Wk. 5

in the same article they say 32 and 31.5 lol classic deadline

[Ledmonkey96]

I'd be somewhat surprised if FFH ended up under GotG 2 (390mil) at this point tbh...

[a2k]

21 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

DL weekend update so far

 

4. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $3.3M Fri (-50%),  $9.9M FSS (-51%), Total: $50.3M/Wk. 2

 

Went from -70% to -50%. 60m looked tough with the earlier 6.5m projected weekend. Now should be a breeze and will aim for 70m which frankly is still an under-performance compared to expectations and boxoffice of previous 2 films.

[Legion Again]

Deadline’s internal multipliers for holdovers all look kind of wack, heads up. Lot of ~3 or above. But even with an optimistic -20% Sun, to get 3x IM takes a +11% Sat. It’s not at all easy to get a x3 IM with this calendar configuration.

Edited July 6, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[catlover]

32 minutes ago, GrandierHorror said:

That's very optimistic. Seeing the past history. 

What past history? Do you think after making $180m in its first 6 days (albeit inflated), it will only make $170m for the rest of its run? I think the WOM's gonna be great and it will end up with at least $380m total. Right now I'm even optimistic about $400m.

[justvision]

54 minutes ago, GrandierHorror said:

I don't think civil war is going down. 

 

I see 740M os and 360m NA. It may come closer to Captain Marvel. 

I think he made a typo, CM instead in CW. Anyway they are only 25M apart.

Edited July 6, 2019 by justvision

[Zakiyyah6]

Happy to see Far From Home doing well. It was the film everyone acted like the low stakes Homecoming was. 

[a2k]

Sony unadjusted top 10 dom

 

Rank	Movie Title (click to view)	Studio	Total Gross / Theaters		Opening / Theaters		Open
1	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$404,515,480	3,849	$36,169,328	3,765	12/20/17
2	Spider-Man	Sony	$403,706,375	3,876	$114,844,116	3,615	5/3/02
3	Spider-Man 2	Sony	$373,585,825	4,166	$88,156,227	4,152	6/30/04
4	Spider-Man 3	Sony	$336,530,303	4,324	$151,116,516	4,252	5/4/07
5	Spider-Man: Homecoming	Sony	$334,201,140	4,348	$117,027,503	4,348	7/7/17
6	Skyfall	Sony	$304,360,277	3,526	$88,364,714	3,505	11/9/12
7	The Amazing Spider-Man	Sony	$262,030,663	4,318	$62,004,688	4,318	7/3/12
8	Men in Black	Sony	$250,690,539	3,180	$51,068,455	3,020	7/2/97
9	Ghostbusters	Col.	$229,242,989	1,506	$13,578,151	1,339	6/8/84
10	Hancock	Sony	$227,946,274	3,965	$62,603,879	3,965	7/2/08

 

another Spidey and Jum will be added pushing out GB and Hancock. MIB was huge back in the day, no wonder they tried again with it. (edit: Same for GB)

Edited July 6, 2019 by a2k

[KP1025]

29 minutes ago, catlover said:

What past history? Do you think after making $180m in its first 6 days (albeit inflated), it will only make $170m for the rest of its run? I think the WOM's gonna be great and it will end up with at least $380m total. Right now I'm even optimistic about $400m.

I think he was comparing to Amazing Spider-Man, which had a similar 6-day opening first week of July. That film ended up grossing 1.91x its 6-day opening. 

[john2000]

8 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

I think he was comparing to Amazing Spider-Man, which had a similar 6-day opening first week of July. That film ended up grossing 1.91x its 6-day opening. 

however as of now ffh is way more leggy than the amazing spiderman, so not really a good comparison and also the amazing spiderman dropped 70% in its third weekend something that i dont see ffh do, even with lion king

[baumer]

That's a huge increase for FFH. Much bigger than the sub 10% some were saying it would do. It also puts 180 back on the table for the 6 day. Very nice.

[john2000]

Just now, baumer said:

That's a huge increase for FFH. Much bigger than the sub 10% some were saying it would do. It also puts 180 back on the table for the 6 day. Very nice.

yep, now satur is the key, that can inrease its potential for the six day or not

[BadAtGender]

35 minutes ago, catlover said:

What past history? Do you think after making $180m in its first 6 days (albeit inflated), it will only make $170m for the rest of its run? I think the WOM's gonna be great and it will end up with at least $380m total. Right now I'm even optimistic about $400m.

 

3 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

I think he was comparing to Amazing Spider-Man, which had a similar 6-day opening first week of July. That film ended up grossing 1.91x its 6-day opening. 

Or Transformers, which also had a 6 day opening (well, it opened Monday evening, back when the previews were counted as day 0). It pulled 155m for the opening session and 319m total, for a 2.05 multiplier.

 

The last time we had this exact calendar configuration was 2013. Unfortunately both DM2 and Lone Ranger opted for Wednesday openings, so there isn't a good one-to-one comparison. DM2 had a 2.57 multi of the 5-day, while LR had a 1.83.)

 

Even when the 4th falls on the weekend or Monday, it seems fairly normal for releases to open the preceding Wednesday. Twilight Eclipse and TF3 both did that.

 

So, it's probably likely that FFH will do about 1.9-2.1 its 6-day in total.

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

DL weekend update so far

 

1. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) 4,634 theaters $31.5M Fri,  $83.5-$90M FSS Total: $175M-$182M/Wk. 1

2. Toy Story 4 (Dis) 4,540 theaters (-35), $11.8M Fri (-31%),  $33M FSS (-45%), Total: $305.2M/Wk. 3

3. Yesterday (Uni) 2,614 theaters (+11), $3.3M Fri (-45%),  $10.1M FSS (-41%), Total: $36.2M/Wk. 2

4. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $3.3M Fri (-50%),  $9.9M FSS (-51%), Total: $50.3M/Wk. 2

5. Aladdin (Dis) 2,758 theaters (-477), $2.7M Fri (-10%),  $8.2M FSS (-19%), Total: $321.3M/Wk. 7

6. Midsommar  (A24) 2,707 theaters, $2.2M Fri,  $6.2M FSS , Total: $10.6M/Wk. 1

7. Secret Life of Pets 2  (Uni) 2,846 theaters, $1.6M Fri (-24%),  $4.6M FSS (-37%) , Total: $140.6M/Wk. 5

Everyone going "yay" about FFH and here I am marveling (no pun intended) at that Aladdin drop.

 

20 percent drop WITH a major tentpole opening.  I don't care if said tentpole burned off three weekdays worth of demand, that's still remarkable.

 

This run of Aladdin is simply incredible.  Makes me wonder if it rather than TS4 might get the double feature treatment when TLK arrives.

 

(Don't particularly think EG will need the help at that point)

Edited July 6, 2019 by Porthos

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Everyone going "yay" about FFH and here I am marveling (no pun intended) at that Aladdin drop.

 

20 percent drop WITH a major tentpole opening.  I don't care if said tentpole burned off three weekdays worth of demand, that's still remarkable.

 

This run of Aladdin is simply incredible.  Makes me wonder if it rather than TS4 might get the double feature treatment when TLK arrives.

 

(Don't particularly think EG will need the help at that point)

yep aladdin still kicks butt, i would say that 350 seems very likely

[Porthos]

Also kinda under the radar (at least I haven't seen it talked about that much) but SLOP2 is doing pretty decent all things considered.  Already passed the 3x leg marker for family films and should cruise past 150m with little difficulty.

 

For a film that was left for dead, had direct competition two weeks after it opened, it's... actually having a decent run.

 

Nothing like Illumination wanted, of course.  But could have a nice 3.3x run (or even a bit more) when all is said and done.  

[Guest]

Aladdin proves again that movie stars do exist. Will Smith attracted the audience on OW after that Naomi Scott breakout performance and phenomenal wom took care of the rest. 

 

Hope Leo DiCaprio is also able to attract huge audience. I want OUTIH to earn 45M+ OW. 

[darthdevidem01]

I was also concerned initially as FFH seemed to be doing the same as TASM adjusted. But Thursday & Friday have been miles above TASM. And although people are saying due to how the dates have worked Saturday will be muted it will still be above TASM adjusted

[Guest]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

Also kinda under the radar (at least I haven't seen it talked about that much) but SLOP2 is doing pretty decent all things considered.  Already passed the 3x leg marker for family films and should cruise past 150m with little difficulty.

 

For a film that was left for dead, had direct competition two weeks after it opened, it's... actually having a decent run.

 

Nothing like Illumination wanted, of course.  But could have a nice 3.3x run (or even a bit more) when all is said and done.  

The problem is that it opened way below the first. 3.3x is very good but considering it has low ow the movie fell under the radar for boxoffice trackers.