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Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - Spider-Man FFH $45.35M | Toy Story 4 $20.95M | CRAWL $12.01M | STUBER $8.23M | Yesterday $6.70M | Aladdin 6.17M

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FFH is about 400K behind HC's Friday. Hopefully it has a bigger jump on Saturday.

TS4 is a little over 100K ahead of TS3 on Friday.

 

Looks like Yday will get to about 48M by Sunday. 

Aladdin is close enough to Yesterday that maybe it could jump it today, we'll see.

 

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3 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

It lost over 500 theaters this weekend. It'll be worse next weekend when TLK comes out.

 

 

yeah probably , worse jump on friday than expected , but a  bigger increase on satur and sun will probably be normal, so all in alla saturday hopefully will balance the friday

 

ps not that fridays bump is bad

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Summer 2019 doesn't look as bad if you include Endgame and accept the last weekend of April may very well become the new start of summer box office (a big tentpole + NFL Draft = an unofficial summer kickoff almost). 

 

Shazam! should have released on July 26th and Dora should have stuck to August 2nd. 

 

Spoiler

Top 20 for Summer 2019 shaping up like:

  1. Avengers - Endgame: $855 million 
  2. The Lion King: $730 million
  3. Toy Story 4: $420 million 
  4. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $415 million 
  5. Aladdin: $355 million 
  6. Hobbs and Shaw: $190 million
  7. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $180 million 
  8. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum: $170 million 
  9. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $150 million 
  10. Detective Pikachu: $144 million 
  11. Good Boys: $130 million (think this can be a sleeper hit)
  12. Godzilla - King of the Monsters: $109 million 
  13. Rocketman: $95 million 
  14. Men in Black International: $80 million 
  15. Dora and the Lost City of Gold: $75 million (it could be a big campy hit with teens/adults) 
  16. Yesterday: $70 million
  17. Annabelle Comes Home: $70 million 
  18. Dark Phoenix: $65 million 
  19. The Angry Birds Movie 2: $60 million 
  20. Angel has Fallen: $55 million 

Top 25 for 2019 (what I expect/predict for now; hope for Neighborhood):

  1. Avengers - Endgame: $855 million
  2. Star Wars Episode IX - Rise of Skywalker: $745 million 
  3. The Lion King: $730 million 
  4. Frozen 2: $520 million
  5. Captain Marvel: $427 million 
  6. Toy Story 4: $420 million
  7. Spider-Man - Far From Home: $415 million 
  8. Aladdin: $355 million 
  9. IT Chapter Two: $305 million
  10. Jumanji - The Next Level: $255 million 
  11. Doctor Sleep: $210 million 
  12. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood: $205 million 
  13. Hobbs and Shaw: $190 million 
  14. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood: $180 million 
  15. Us: $175 million
  16. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum: $170 million 
  17. How to Train Your Dragon - The Hidden World: $161 million
  18. Joker: $155 million 
  19. The Secret Life of Pets 2: $150 million 
  20. Detective Pikachu: $144 million
  21. Shazam!: $140 million 
  22. Maleficent - Mistress of Evil: $135 million 
  23. Good Boys: $130 million 
  24. Little Women: $125 million
  25. Spies in Disguise: $120 million 

 

 

 

 

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10 hours ago, Porthos said:

Interesting.


Fair enough then.  Maybe it's just one of those things that had little to no initial pre-sales and just ramps up later on.


Thanks again for the reply! :)

 

EDIT::

 

Tagging @CoolEric258 @VenomXXR @Menor so they can see this post as well.

I think it'll need to start bumping in presales after TLK opens. Right now all buzz is focused on that. That tracking is definitely interesting though.

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47 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

TLK is a Disney movie. EG dropped 40% in the face of Toy Story 4 so i don't think it'll drop more than that next wkn

The theaters have to take the screens from somewhere - TLK will likely be the widest release since AE in terms of total screens - certianly more screens than FFH, i think AE is going to lose alot of theaters next week. I'm thinking at least 700, wouldn't shock me if its closer to 1000 of its 1400 theaters.

 

AE will finish 11th this week, TLK is effectively like having 3 blockbusters all open the same weekend in terms of screens counts. The Stuber and Crawl being in week 2 are protected. The other movies in the top 5 will largely keep their screens as they are the best returning product (though FFH may not lose many theaters it will likely lose alot of screens). But anything below the top 5 is likely going to take hard falls to make room for TLK.

 

TLK is a much bigger movie than TS4. Probably at least 50% greater opening and in terms of screens it will take more screens than TS4 did.

 

I'm expecting at least a 50% drop and something closer to 60% wouldn't surprise me in the least.

 

AE, SLOP2, MIB, JW3 are all going to get hit really hard in theater losses.

ACH is the another one that could see huge losses as it is in the 3rd most theaters this weekend but will be probably #7 in gross.

 

 

 

 

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