JohnnyGossamer Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 (edited) FFH should have better Tuesday bumps this summer than Homecoming had... That should give it a consistent edge. Endgame should be very close to Avatar by next Monday even without OS numbers. Edited July 16, 2019 by JohnnyGossamer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, Permanent Magnet said: How Aladdin dropped to 710K ?? That is 61%drop! this movie wont have amazing drops all the time you know :d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoilingHotCoffee Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 21 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Spider-Man: Far from Home $5,560,000 Toy Story 4 $2,860,000 Crawl $1,350,000 Stuber $860,000 Yesterday $880,000 Aladdin (2019) $710,000 Annabelle Comes Home $790,000 Midsommar $560,000 The Secret Life of Pets 2 $500,000 Avengers: Endgame $310,000 Guys I think he means 810 for Aladdin You can see he has Aladdin above Annabelle which has 790 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 (edited) . Edited July 16, 2019 by danhtruong5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, BoilingHotCoffee said: Guys I think he means 810 for Aladdin You can see he has Aladdin above Annabelle which has 790 at the same time though the has stuber over yesterday so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 good hold for FFH, though below HC's hold for 2nd Monday. Comparing it to CM makes no sense. It was released at a different time of the year (you can't compare a summer weekday with a winter/spring weekday) and CM got about a 20M boost from AE's release at the end of its run. FFH will not get that at the end. HC is the obvious comp. if you just throw the first 3 days into the opening weekend total then you have the exact same release pattern. I'll wait for the officials as Charlie's weekday numbers for FFH have sometimes been a little higher than actuals. But as of Sunday actuals the same run as HC would get FFH to 401.5 (if Charlie's Monday number holds it would be 401.6). So FFH is just hanging onto 400. Analytically I don't think that will last. What FFH has to weather the next 3 weekends is way more than what HC had to deal with. HC went 6 straight weeks with drops of 40% or less (all but week 3 were sub 35% drops). It had a 49.9% drop in weekend 3 where FFH is likely to have a 56-59% drop this weekend as it will lose IMAX and PLF and have to deal with a huge debut. Then next week it has to deal with TLK's second weekend (which is likely to be larger than any opening weekend HC had to face) as well as OUaTiH. And then in weekend 5 it has to deal with H&S - which could potentially open higher than any movie opened during HC's run. It would be awesome for FFH To get to 400, I just see it is as unlikely. Just like I don't expect TS4 to stay in front of TS3 even though it is ahead of it right now. I think ultimately FFH will end up in the 387-391 range (GOTG2 +-2) and TS4 in the 405-410 range (3.35-3.4 multiple). I'm expecting FFH to have a higher jump on Tuesday than HC and then bigger drops on Wed and Thur. Then i'm expecting it to have a weekend about 2M below HC's third weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Permanent Magnet Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 (edited) 34 minutes ago, BoilingHotCoffee said: Guys I think he means 810 for Aladdin You can see he has Aladdin above Annabelle which has 790 Yes it maybe be a typo, idk. Edited July 16, 2019 by Permanent Magnet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2019 Author Share Posted July 16, 2019 57 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Spider-Man: Far from Home $5,560,000 Toy Story 4 $2,860,000 Crawl $1,350,000 Aladdin $890,000 Yesterday $880,000 Stuber $860,000 Annabelle Comes Home $790,000 Midsommar $560,000 The Secret Life of Pets 2 $500,000 Avengers: Endgame $310,000 Few typos. 11 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clouseau Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Looking at performance of past Spider-Man franchises, FFH not grossing considerably less than HC would be a win, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Spiderman HC will be around 320 million by Sunday and after that it will just benefit from good summer legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 (edited) FFH $5,560,000 (-60% / - 48.7%) TS4 $2,860,000 (-55.93% / -31.4%) Crawl $1,350,000 (-60% / ----) Aladdin $890,000 (-50.7% / -11.7%) Yesterday $880,000 (-55.7% / -22%) Stuber $860,000 (-61% / ----) Annabelle $790,000 (-52% / - 38.2%) Midsommar $560,000 (-51.1% / - 42%) SLOP2 $500,000 (-49.3% / -25.2%) Endgame $310,000 (-53.4% / -18.5%) Edited July 16, 2019 by danhtruong5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 16, 2019 Author Share Posted July 16, 2019 The Endgame numbers are assuming the weekend numbers won't be adjusted down because I still have weekend at $1.75mn. Going by that, Monday would be $275k 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danhtruong5 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The Endgame numbers are assuming the weekend numbers won't be adjusted down because I still have weekend at $1.75mn. Going by that, Monday would be $275k The weekend numbers will be adjusted down??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: The Endgame numbers are assuming the weekend numbers won't be adjusted down because I still have weekend at $1.75mn. Going by that, Monday would be $275k Even so, it should still be up for second (if weekend holds) or third best weekly hold in Top 10. Aladdin keeps owning insane holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 That would mean today is the first day where Aladdin is above the respective day for Black Panther (until now that was the only movie where every single day was above the respective Aladdin day). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said: The weekend numbers will be adjusted down??? he said if that will happen not that it will , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Permanent Magnet Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 55 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: Few typos. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Aladdin is still 4th in the dailies on its 53rd day. What a craptastic summer it has been with so many bad and forgettable films this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 2 hours ago, stripe said: Anyways, I don't get why BOM doesnt make a showdown with Far From Home vs Homecoming vs Amazing SM vs SM2. July's Spiderman movies. Useful info, IMHO I think they do in general less of those showdowns than in the past. E.g. SMFFH got no showdown at all, in the past a movie with a release theatre count of 4000+ would have even gotten one if the movie wasn't part of a franchise, even often enough more than one showdown. I kinda love those showdowns, not happy about that development 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Quote On the other hand, we still saw a serious decline with the overall box office down 31% from last weekend to $126 million. Worse still, this was 24% lower than the same weekend last year and this left 2019 further behind last year’s pace. It is now behind 2018 by 8.6% or $570 million at $6.10 billion to $6.67 billion. https://www.the-numbers.com/news/240230830-Weekend-Wrap-Up-Spider-Man-Repeats-on-Top-but-2019-Takes-Another-Hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
