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charlie Jatinder

Tuesday (7/16) Numbers

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We will see how TLK affects it, but if it doesn't hurt it too much, TS4 should be on track to finish ahead of TS3 now. And I also think it could  win the summer proper, but I realize I'm one of the few expecting 400-420 for TLK. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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9 minutes ago, Mekanos said:

Aladdin: 360-370

TS4: 400-410

Spidey: 380-400

 

imo

This has made me reflect on how different the boxoffice has been this year compared to last year.

in 2018 there were only 4 films that made more than 335M.

They were only 6 that made 300M

But you also had 8 that made between 200-300 and 20 that made between 100-200.

 

By 10 days from now we will likely have 6 films over 300M (as many as all last year) 

But 2019 has no films in that 200-300 range (and only H&S and It2 on the radar that might get there).

2019 so far has 11 films between 100-200.

 

2019 is looking alot more bi-modal than 2018. A handful of huge films and then alot of films that are going to be sub 150. 2018 was more evenly distributed.

 

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22 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

What are expected final totals for Aladdin, TS4 and Spidey? 

A nail-biter at the top between TS4 and Spidey with Aladdin having the possibility of upsetting them if Lion King doesn't kick it out of theaters 1st:)...it would be hilarious if somehow Lion King fell off a cliff and fell behind the 3 b/c I think no one, even now, would have placed it 4th for the summer...

 

PS - NOT saying that's gonna happen (since I had TLK 2nd in a nail biter, myself, with Spidey)...but the way this summer has gone, it would be a pretty fitting result:)...

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5 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Yes in terms of $.

 

In real term, i.e. at same exchange rate for everything, Endgame will be 25% ahead.

 

I mean who will you call bigger grosser in India;

Avatar $24.7mn (₹110cr) or;

Jurassic World $20mn (₹130cr).

 

Adjusted for exchange rate; real term of gross of Avatar was $2.35 Bn Approx (i.e. $ 1.62 Bn overseas). Endgame will be $1.94 Billion.

 

If we just rotate the numbers 60 degrees, flip them backwards and view through binoculars, the numbers will be bigger and better!

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11 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

$168M today, $169M+ after this weekend. Looks more and more likely  that JW3 will pass The Matrix' $171M+ (unadjusted) by the end of its run! :ohmygod:

Oh yeah I definitely see that happening. Slow crawl to 171 but if it's 169 by end of Sunday gimme that 171+

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1 1 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony $8,822,096 +60% -42% 4,634 $1,904 $288,932,208 15
2 2 Toy Story 4 BV $4,957,061 +76% -26% 4,210 $1,177 $354,417,359 26
3 3 Crawl Par. $2,136,247 +58% - 3,170 $674 $15,496,862 5
4 4 Aladdin (2019) BV $1,556,859 +76% -4% 2,557 $609 $334,233,830 54
5 6 Stuber Fox $1,440,823 +70% - 3,050 $472 $10,514,057 5
6 5 Yesterday Uni. $1,410,415 +63% -19% 2,755 $512 $50,549,540 19
7 7 Annabelle Comes Home WB (NL) $1,100,809 +41% -38% 3,209 $343 $62,714,449 21
8 9 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Uni. $928,550 +86% -15% 2,320 $400 $148,671,180 40
9 8 Midsommar A24 $768,788 +38% -37% 2,707 $284 $19,850,665 14
10 10 Avengers: Endgame BV $437,462 +32% -14% 1,443 $303 $852,382,613 82
11 11 Men in Black International Sony $391,408 +42% -45% 1,612 $243 $77,153,638 33
12 12 Rocketman Par. $338,589 +55% -13% 1,332 $254 $92,517,085 47
- - John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum LG/S $247,257 +40% -27% 1,145 $216 $167,921,984 61
- - Child's Play (2019) UAR $119,968 +42% -65% 807 $149 $28,520,807 26
- - Unplanned PFR $95,496 +0% - 49 $1,949 $18,652,295 110
- - Godzilla: King of the Monsters WB $81,591 +35% -46% 434 $188 $109,332,925 47
- - The Last Black Man in San Francisco A24 $64,151 +25% +2% 207 $310 $3,450,824 40
- - Shaft (2019) WB (NL) $59,437 +54% -44% 303 $196 $20,813,008 33
- - Pavarotti CBS $49,613 +22% -29% 196 $253 $3,614,053 40
- - Bethany Hamilton: Unstoppable ENTMP $47,916 +46% - 205 $234 $322,493 5
- - The Other Side of Heaven 2: Fire of Faith AAE $47,613 +69% -22% 97 $491 $1,304,559 19
- - The Farewell A24 $40,791 +33% - 4 $10,198 $427,234 5
- - Pokemon Detective Pikachu WB $36,328 +34% -22% 207 $175 $143,458,742 68
- - Dark Phoenix Fox $31,699 +38% -61% 200 $158 $65,136,062 40
- - Booksmart UAR $27,392 +22% -20% 160 $171 $22,045,163 54
- - The Dead Don't Die Focus $18,050 +40% -39% 142 $127 $6,535,535 33
- - Ma (2019) Uni. $16,365 +14% -43% 152 $108 $45,346,300 47
- - Anna (2019) LG/S $14,377 +6% -65% 92 $156 $7,518,680 26
- - A Dog's Journey Uni. $13,385 +63% -1% 111 $121 $22,520,765 61
- - The Art of Self-Defense BST $11,792 -1% - 7 $1,685 $138,078 5
- - Dumbo (2019) BV $10,414 +51% -12% 92 $113 $114,652,659 110
- - Shazam! WB (NL) $7,931 -5% -11% 83 $96 $140,310,209 103
Edited by sfran43
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1 hour ago, Davidwested said:

Avatar Adjusted it would still be below Avatar's 876 million :redcapes:

In admission Avatar would probably still lose, the 3D share would off set a bit of the ticket price dif.

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On Fri TS4 will make it to ~3x multi, 362-363.

 

Those weekdays...

 

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
Jun 21, 2019 1 $47,406,956   4,575 $10,362   $47,406,956 1
Jun 22, 2019 1 $39,524,776 -17% 4,575 $8,639   $86,931,732 2
Jun 23, 2019 1 $33,976,333 -14% 4,575 $7,427   $120,908,065 3
Jun 24, 2019 1 $14,152,710 -58% 4,575 $3,093   $135,060,775 4
Jun 25, 2019 1 $20,570,969 +45% 4,575 $4,496   $155,631,744 5
Jun 26, 2019 1 $11,950,952 -42% 4,575 $2,612   $167,582,696 6
Jun 27, 2019 1 $11,407,113 -5% 4,575 $2,493   $178,989,809 7
Jun 28, 2019 1 $17,089,977 +50% 4,575 $3,736   $196,079,786 8
Jun 29, 2019 1 $23,043,114 +35% 4,575 $5,037   $219,122,900 9
Jun 30, 2019 1 $19,567,240 -15% 4,575 $4,277   $238,690,140 10
Jul 1, 2019 1 $7,960,780 -59% 4,575 $1,740   $246,650,920 11
Jul 2, 2019 2 $10,164,415 +28% 4,575 $2,222   $256,815,335 12
Jul 3, 2019 2 $7,704,752 -24% 4,575 $1,684   $264,520,087 13
Jul 4, 2019 2 $7,737,457 n/c 4,575 $1,691   $272,257,544 14
Jul 5, 2019 2 $11,901,267 +54% 4,540 $2,621   $284,158,811 15
Jul 6, 2019 2 $12,830,622 +8% 4,540 $2,826   $296,989,433 16
Jul 7, 2019 2 $9,128,466 -29% 4,540 $2,011   $306,117,899 17
Jul 8, 2019 2 $4,174,707 -54% 4,540 $920   $310,292,606 18
Jul 9, 2019 2 $6,675,157 +60% 4,540 $1,470   $316,967,763 19
Jul 10, 2019 2 $4,305,709 -35% 4,540 $948   $321,273,472 20
Jul 11, 2019 2 $4,431,102 +3% 4,540 $976   $325,704,574 21
Jul 12, 2019 2 $6,253,453 +41% 4,210 $1,485   $331,958,027 22
Jul 13, 2019 2 $8,201,112 +31% 4,210 $1,948   $340,159,139 23
Jul 14, 2019 2 $6,491,074 -21% 4,210 $1,542   $346,650,213 24
Jul 15, 2019 2 $2,810,085 -57% 4,210 $667   $349,460,298 25
Jul 16, 2019 2 $4,957,061 +76% 4,210 $1,177   $354,417,359 26
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6 hours ago, RamblinRed said:

Looking at Friday showings compared to today - FFH is going to take it on the chin this weekend in terms of available showings

FFH is losing alot of screens (including the IMAX and PLF).

At the 6 theaters closest to me it is going

3 screens to 1 screen

4 screens to 1 1/2 screens

4 screens to 1 screen plus 1 addl night showing

3 1/2 screens to 1 1/2 screens

3 screens to 1 screen

4 screens to 2 1/2 screens.

 

it looks like Disney was largely able to protect its properties. In a couple of theaters Aladdin is losing a late night show. AE is only being dropped from 1 theater it was in (out of 5), though in the others it is mostly down to just 1 nighttime showing.

 

Yesterday held all its theaters and looks like it kept at least 90% of its showings. Crawl and Stuber kepts their screens (though in the one theater Crawl was on 2 screens it is on 1 this weekend). 

Pretty much everything outside the top 6 are either gone or down to a single or 2 showings.

 

 

 

I don't know those theater demo's, but that makes zero sense to me.

 

Going from 21.5 theaters to 8.5 theaters seems really extreme for a movie going into it's third weekend.

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