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THE LION KING WEEKEND THREAD l WITH DIGITAL FUR TECHNOLOGY | 191.8M OW (July OW Record, 8th biggest OW of all time) | Endgame beats Avatar. Disney keeps on winning! | SALE: One Month of Gold 50% Off!

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41 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Lol Disney do it every time a new film opens. 

 

That Cinderella one was the most blatant. Wait Wrinkle in Time was probably their most obvious fudge😂😂

Every studio does this with Double Features.  Sony just did it with MIBI when SM opened.

 

Fudging is Paramount pretending Transformers 4 opened to $100m when every B.O. expert was saying $97m.

 

Fudging is when Paramount in reporting O/S grosses kept pretending Venezuela's currency and exchange rates were what they were before the biggest latest collapse (before this last one) while every other studio was reporting a fraction of the revenue with far better performing films.

 

Venezuela Yearly Box Office

2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008
 
Rank Movie Title Distributor Gross Release
1 Office Christmas Party PPI $19,131,685 12/9
2 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows PPI $7,306,069 6/3
3 Moana Disney $6,271,997 11/25
4 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back PPI $5,570,780 11/25
5 Star Trek Beyond PPI $4,874,184 9/2
6 Point Break (2015) WB $4,539,227 1/8
7 Finding Dory Disney $3,319,862 6/17
8 Ben-Hur (2016) PPI $2,533,605 8/19
9 Doctor Strange Disney $1,680,938 11/4
10 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Disney $1,635,844 12/16
11 Zootopia Disney $1,628,000 2/19
12 The Jungle Book (2016) Disney $1,517,326 4/15
13 The Secret Life of Pets UPI $994,212 8/5
14 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $950,317 3/25
Edited by TalismanRing
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10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Every studio does this with Double Features.  Sony just did it with MIBI when SM opened.

 

Fudging is Paramount pretending Transformers 4 opened to $100m when every B.O. expert was saying $97m.

 

Fudging is when Paramount in reporting O/S grosses kept pretending Venezuela's currency and exchange rates were what they were before the biggest latest collapse while every other studio was reporting a fraction of the revenue with far better performing films.

 

Venezuela Yearly Box Office

2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008
 
Rank Movie Title Distributor Gross Release
1 Office Christmas Party PPI $19,131,685 12/9
2 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows PPI $7,306,069 6/3
3 Moana Disney $6,271,997 11/25
4 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back PPI $5,570,780 11/25
5 Star Trek Beyond PPI $4,874,184 9/2
6 Point Break (2015) WB $4,539,227 1/8
7 Finding Dory Disney $3,319,862 6/17
8 Ben-Hur (2016) PPI $2,533,605 8/19
9 Doctor Strange Disney $1,680,938 11/4
10 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Disney $1,635,844 12/16
11 Zootopia Disney $1,628,000 2/19
12 The Jungle Book (2016) Disney $1,517,326 4/15
13 The Secret Life of Pets UPI $994,212 8/5
14 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $950,317 3/25

I don't think you should take Krissy kins so seriously. 

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@Charlie Jatinder:

Thanks for dedicating a whole bunch of time and work to provide a bunch of strangers/nerds insider box office data and projections. You go above and beyond, and I am really appreciative. 

 

I also understand that early projections are just that, and I can’t imagine how difficult it is to project so early in the day on opening day with pre-sales complicating things, so few comparisons when the numbers are so big for a family film, etc. So cheers to you.

 

Peace,

Mike

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22 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

So are we going with The Lion Flop or the Flop-n King?

Disney's Kimba the Flopping Lion

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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

 

The Lion King $78,000,000
Spider-Man: Far from Home $6,050,000
Toy Story 4 $4,150,000
Crawl $1,680,000
Yesterday $1,400,000
Stuber $1,150,000
Aladdin (2019) $1,100,000
Annabelle Comes Home $750,000
Midsommar $475,000
The Secret Life of Pets 2 $425,000
Avengers: Endgame $425,000

Some Personal Estimates:

 

The Lion King

Thu : $23M

Fri: $55M

Sat: $65.9M

Sun: $51.1M

Weekend: $195,000,000

 

Avengers: Endgame

Fri: $425k

Sat: $575k

Sun: $460k

Weekend: $1,460,000(-30%)

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6 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

@Charlie Jatinder:

Thanks for dedicating a whole bunch of time and work to provide a bunch of strangers/nerds insider box office data and projections. You go above and beyond, and I am really appreciative. 

 

I also understand that early projections are just that, and I can’t imagine how difficult it is to project so early in the day on opening day with pre-sales complicating things, so few comparisons when the numbers are so big for a family film, etc. So cheers to you.

 

Peace,

Mike

Hear, hear!

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32 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

So are we going with The Lion Flop or the Flop-n King?

Lion : The Flopping King

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5 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

So, yeah, with that number, thinking 190 OW. What's Spidey looking at? 21?

yep spidey around 21

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13 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

So, yeah, with that number, thinking 190 OW. What's Spidey looking at? 21?

22 also possible

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Without overpredictions this forum would be really boring and dull, so keep ‘em coming! :hahaha:

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3 minutes ago, JimiQ said:

Without overpredictions this forum would be really boring and dull, so keep ‘em coming! :hahaha:

with the initial od of 90 ,220-230 opening wasnt overprediction though

Edited by john2000

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Im expecting huge saturday. Maybe over $ 67/70M? 😅

Edited by fabiopazzo2
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18 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

IM expecting huge saturday. Maybe over $ 67/70M? 😅

Hoping for 65. 

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18 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

IM expecting huge saturday. Maybe over $ 67/70M? 😅

?

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9 hours ago, Porthos said:

Still don't know what the Sat jump will be or the Tue number for that matter (what @TwoMisfits termed Family Opening Day [or something like that], IIRC).

 

Also, this IS a known quality and it's not like there will be a rush to see it to avoid spoilers.  There is a decent argument to be made that this doesn't have a rush factor at all.  Frankly we don't know what the legs of this film will be yet nor how the GA will react.

 

Plenty of time for this film to rake in silly amounts of cash.

Yep, Tuesday is family opening day:).  I will say, looking at my Cinemark already having prime Tuesday night showings sold out for almost every movie, this Tuesday will be very profitable for TLK (since it has 1/2 those prime slots)...and probably the holdovers again, too:)...

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People would call you an idiot 10 years ago if you said a Lion King remake would open to 50% of an Avengers opening. Pretty crazy what Marvel has been able to do. Disney is laughing all the way to the bank in both cases. 

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