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charlie Jatinder

Monday (7/22) Numbers

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The Lion King 21,160,000
Spider-Man: Far from Home 2,890,000
Toy Story 4 2,070,000
Crawl 790,000
Yesterday 650,000
Aladdin (2019) 600,000
Stuber 460,000
Annabelle Comes Home 440,000
Midsommar 270,000
Avengers: Endgame 260,000
The Secret Life of Pets 2 250,000
Ardaas Karaan 115,000
The Farewell 105,873
Edited by Charlie Jatinder
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10 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

The Lion King 21,160,000
Spider-Man: Far from Home 2,890,000
Toy Story 4 2,070,000
Crawl 790,000
Yesterday 650,000
Stuber 600,000
Aladdin (2019) 460,000
Annabelle Comes Home 440,000
Midsommar 270,000
Avengers: Endgame 260,000
The Secret Life of Pets 2 250,000
Ardaas Karaan 115,000
The Farewell 105,873

TLK: -59.9%

Spidey: -57.3%

TS4: -55.9%

 

Aladdin: -62.6%

 

Those drops all are rather harsh.

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53 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:
The Lion King 21,160,000
Spider-Man: Far from Home 2,890,000
Toy Story 4 2,070,000
Crawl 790,000
Yesterday 650,000
Aladdin (2019) 600,000
Stuber 460,000
Annabelle Comes Home 440,000
Midsommar 270,000
Avengers: Endgame 260,000
The Secret Life of Pets 2 250,000
Ardaas Karaan 115,000
The Farewell 105,873

I expected 55% off for Lion King, we got 60, not bad by any stretch, as it will most likely go to 25 today, maybe 18 Wednesday, 17 Thursday (that would be the high-end), which would put it on track for $75-85 million or so 2nd weekend, so it is what it is.

 

With that Monday for Far From Home I think we have to start accepting that $400 million is slowly turning into a pipe dream, so we'll probably have to settle for around $380-390 million, making this the 2nd highest grossing Spider-Man movie in North America. And of course it's already number 1 worldwide, so it all evens out.

 

Toy Story 4 is again over Toy Story 3 so we're getting pretty damn close to locking down TS4 finishing over TS3 domestically, if it's not already there (maybe I'm just too conservative). Yeah, I think it's already there, looking at $430+ million in North America, which is probably more than many expected a week before it came out. Another Disney movie showing great legs, by now this shouldn't surprise us (especially coming from Pixar's track record).

 

Aladdin is getting to $350 million, and yes that has been a certainty for some time now but I'm still not going to stop saying it because it's just so damn incredible. From maybe it gets to 200 million to oh it will certainly get to 250, 275, 290, 300?, 320??, 340???, what in going on here... 350???? Yeah, that was fun to watch these last two months.

 

And lastly I'm pretty sure if they still have enough in the tank Disney might try to get Endgame to $2.8 billion.

Edited by AlexMA
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The Lion King $21,160,000 (-60%/ ----)

Spider-Man: Far from Home $2,890,000 (-57.3% / -47.7%)

Toy Story 4 $2,070,000 (-55.92%/ -26.3%)

Crawl $790,000 (-59.2%/ -41.7%)

Yesterday $650,000 (-56.5%/ -24.8%)

Aladdin (2019) $600,000 (-51.2%/ -32.4%)

Stuber $460,000 (-64.1%/ -45.7%)

Annabelle Comes Home $440,000 (-43.4%/ -43.7%)

Midsommar $270,000 (-45.2%/ -51.6%)

Avengers: Endgame $260,000 (-42.9%/ -21.9%)

The Secret Life of Pets 2 $250,000 (-50.6%/ -50%)

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Just now, Charlie Jatinder said:

I think TS4 can go for $455mn. 

If it keeps this up sure, right now $430 million is the absolute minimum if it stays with TS3, but if it continues to grow its lead $450 could be well within its grasp. By the end of Tuesday Toy Story 4's lead will increase to over $14 million through the same point, and Toy Story 3 finished with $415 million. So yeah, it's getting 430-440 with an outside chance at 450.

 

But also we can't forget Toy Story 3 got a late push that got it past what many thought it could do at that point, and while Toy Story 4 might get a similar treatment, for now it's just an assumption, so we're not really dealing exactly with an apples to apples comp here. That push wasn't a huge deal, maybe $5 million extra than what it would have done without it, but it can mess with calculations towards the end there.

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23 minutes ago, stripe said:

not a strong Monday for TLK. Anyways, Tuesday will see huge increase. Expecting something over 26M

to be honest though, almost all the movies hadnt a strong monday it seems, so lion king is not the exception and if you see the other drops , then the lion king dropped quite well

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1 hour ago, AlexMA said:

I expected 55% off for Lion King, we got 60, not bad by any stretch, as it will most likely go to 25 today, maybe 18 Wednesday, 17 Thursday (that would be the high-end), which would put it on track for $75-85 million or so 2nd weekend, so it is what it is.

 

With that Monday for Far From Home I think we have to start accepting that $400 million is slowly turning into a pipe dream, so we'll probably have to settle for around $380-390 million, making this the 2nd highest grossing Spider-Man movie in North America. And of course it's already number 1 worldwide, so it all evens out.

 

Toy Story 4 is again over Toy Story 3 so we're getting pretty damn close to locking down TS4 finishing over TS3 domestically, if it's not already there (maybe I'm just too conservative). Yeah, I think it's already there, looking at $430+ million in North America, which is probably more than many expected a week before it came out. Another Disney movie showing great legs, by now this shouldn't surprise us (especially coming from Pixar's track record).

 

Aladdin is getting to $350 million, and yes that has been a certainty for some time now but I'm still not going to stop saying it because it's just so damn incredible. From maybe it gets to 200 million to oh it will certainly get to 250, 275, 290, 300?, 320??, 340???, what in going on here... 350???? Yeah, that was fun to watch these last two months.

 

And lastly I'm pretty sure if they still have enough in the tank Disney might try to get Endgame to $2.8 billion.

Tuesday bumps will be monstrous as usual. Thinking EG definitely gets to 2.8B as well. Unless they rip it from theaters OS given it has the record.

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14 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Tuesday bumps will be monstrous as usual. Thinking EG definitely gets to 2.8B as well. Unless they rip it from theaters OS given it has the record.

especially after a worse than expected monday for all the movies

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1 hour ago, AlexMA said:

I expected 55% off for Lion King, we got 60, not bad by any stretch, as it will most likely go to 25 today, maybe 18 Wednesday, 17 Thursday (that would be the high-end), which would put it on track for $75-85 million or so 2nd weekend, so it is what it is.

$75 2nd weekend is rather bad, don't you think? That's a 61% drop. I hope for $85+.

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