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charlie Jatinder

Monday (7/22) Numbers

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21.6 would be a 59.1% drop. Higher than I was hoping but hardly out of line for this summer after checking previous movies.

Here are the First Monday drops for movies released this summer - I did notice that Horror movies tend to have smaller Monday drops. (I've added Tuesday increases as well.  Horror movies in general have smaller Tuesday increases and also larger Monday drops tend to lead to larger Tuesday increases)

 

CP -56.1, +15.4

ACH  -57.3, +6.9

FFH - 57.6 (Monday after a Holiday weekend), +39.2

Yday -58, +17.9

TS4 -58.3, +45.4 

Anna -59.1, +47.6

JW3 - 60.7 (late Spring release), +13.5

Stuber -61.6, +69.9

SLOP2 -65.4, +55.6

Ma -66.2, +48.3 

RM -67.3, +56.6

KOTM -68.3, +43.6

XDP -68.7, +56.1

MIB -72.4, +62.8

Shaft -75m, +70.1

 

Aladdin's first Monday was a Holiday so you can't use it. It's second Monday was -65.8 (+65.9), third Monday -59.8 (+47.1), fourth Monday - 59.6 (+61.6)

 

If DHD's 21.6 holds, then FFH's First Tuesday gain (39.2) would get TLK to 30M on Tuesday.

 

 

Edited by RamblinRed
added Tuesday increases.
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21 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

21.6 would be a 59.1% drop. Higher than I was hoping but hardly out of line for this summer after checking previous movies.

Here are the First Monday drops for movies released this summer - I did notice that Horror movies tend to have smaller Monday drops.

 

CP - 56.1

ACH - 57.3

FFH - 57.6 (Monday after a Holiday weekend)

Yday - 58

TS4 - 58.3

Anna - 59.1

JW3 - 60.7 (late Spring release)

Stuber - 61.6

SLOP2 - 65.4

Ma - 66.2 

RM - 67.3

KOTM - 68.3

XDP - 68.7

MIB - 72.4

Shaft - 75

 

Aladdin's first Monday was a Holiday so you can't use it. It's second Monday was -65.8, third Monday -59.8, fourth Monday - 59.6

 

 

Men in Black and Shaft also need aristics as their Mondays were the day after fathers day which overly inflates the % drop. 

 

Also thank you for pulling this all together, appreciate it. 

Edited by narniadis
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16 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

21.6 would be a 59.1% drop. Higher than I was hoping but hardly out of line for this summer after checking previous movies.

Here are the First Monday drops for movies released this summer - I did notice that Horror movies tend to have smaller Monday drops.

 

CP - 56.1

ACH - 57.3

FFH - 57.6 (Monday after a Holiday weekend)

Yday - 58

TS4 - 58.3

Anna - 59.1

JW3 - 60.7 (late Spring release)

Stuber - 61.6

SLOP2 - 65.4

Ma - 66.2 

RM - 67.3

KOTM - 68.3

XDP - 68.7

MIB - 72.4

Shaft - 75

 

Aladdin's first Monday was a Holiday so you can't use it. It's second Monday was -65.8, third Monday -59.8, fourth Monday - 59.6

 

 

Excellent work.

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2 minutes ago, Permanent Magnet said:

Live footage of brainbug stopping TLK from getting to 652Mgiphy.gif?cid=19f5b51a5d3751206574495145

 

Its no contest. What choice has the puny cat but to retreat?

 

v8bfYTY.gif

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1 hour ago, john2000 said:

https://deadline.com/2019/07/the-lion-king-box-office-records-monday-1202651407/

 

 

Disney’s The Lion King chalked up the best Monday in July that Disney has ever seen with $21.6M in early estimates

 

 

This weekend, Lion King will definitely reign again with industry estimates expecting around a -50% decline for a second weekend of $95M

 

 

 Industry projections for Lion King‘s final domestic are between $650M-$700M.

 

(all of this seem very optimistic to me with such minimal info and we all know that we should take this with a HUGE grain of salt, fingers crossed)

 

That is probably slightly aggressive but i'm not expecting a huge drop given just one major release that shouldn't take much from it.

I could see something like a -53% drop which would be 90M. 

I think anything above 90M would all but guarantee 600M+.

 

it was almost 9.1M ahead of I2 after the weekend. Lost about 2M of that yesterday. But it could get that 2M back today. 

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