Jump to content
Jedi Jat

Monday (7/22) Numbers

Recommended Posts

 

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

TLK guess

 

21.05

27.3 (+30%)

17.75 (-35%)

16.9 (-5%)

= 83.0 // ~275 1 week

 

23.7 (+40%)

31.9 (+35%)

25.5 (-20%)

= 81.1 (-58%) // ~356 10-day

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Well, the animated 1994 TLK do have a higher DOM-gross than JP, though. 👩🏻

 

The Lion King (1994) = $422M

Jurassic Park = $402M

 

First runs:

 

06/11/1993 Jurassic Park $357,067,947

 

 
06/15/1994 The Lion King $312,855,561

 

--> I win                                                       

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

 

Edited by sfran43
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Gitesh calling the Monday drop “superb”. 

 

:wintf:

 

If -60% for the Lion King is “superb”, what was -55% for Incredibles 2 despite an inflated Sunday? - incredible

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
56 minutes ago, a2k said:

TLK guess

 

21.05

27.3 (+30%)

17.75 (-35%)

16.9 (-5%)

= 83.0 // ~275 1 week

 

23.7 (+40%)

31.9 (+35%)

25.5 (-20%)

= 81.1 (-58%) // ~356 10-day

I'm thinking higher Tuesday kick and sharper Wednesday drop, but we'll see:)...

Edited by TwoMisfits
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Gitesh calling the Monday drop “superb”. 

 

:wintf:

 

If -60% for the Lion King is “superb”, what was -55% for Incredibles 2 despite an inflated Sunday? - incredible

Pretty sure he’s just calling the amount superb.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

So TLK needs a 42.5% increase today to get to 30M. I don't think I would call the drop superb. Solid would be a good word. (It's below FFH and TS4 first Monday and most of the Horror movies, but is better than everything else).

 

FFH about 450K behind HC's Monday.

 

TS4 ahead of TS3 again - 9th straight day. Will likely add at least 1M to its buffer today and be close to a 15M cushion after tomorrow.

Edited by RamblinRed

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If TLK makes $90 m in wknd#2 then $600 m is guaranteed.

 

If TLK makes between $85-$89 m then $600 m is likely but not guaranteed.

 

Likewise, if TLK makes less than $80 m this coming wknd then I'd say that $600 m is not happening. But that's just me. Not guaranteed.

 

If TLK somehow makes less than $75 m this coming weekend (HIGHLY unlikely) then $600 m is gone. $75 m means it's just not resonating with audiences enough to get to $600 m despite the RT audience score.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

So TLK needs a 42.5% increase today to get to 30M. I don't think I would call the drop superb. Solid would be a good word. (It's below FFH and TS4 first Monday and most of the Horror movies, but is better than everything else).

 

FFH about 450K behind HC's Monday.

 

Good enough for a track towards 600 mil

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I thought this was pretty interesting. I don't have a very high estimation of CinemaScore (or PosTrack or imdb/rotten tomatoes ratings either) but I didn't realize the CinemaScore polling process was so.... janky
 

 

It's funny to me to realize this mostly inconsequential data point that people take so seriously is gathered like... that.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, LawrenceBrolivier said:

I thought this was pretty interesting. I don't have a very high estimation of CinemaScore (or PosTrack or imdb/rotten tomatoes ratings either) but I didn't realize the CinemaScore polling process was so.... janky
 

 

It's funny to me to realize this mostly inconsequential data point that people take so seriously is gathered like... that.

I got one at Mary Poppins Returns, I guess since it's only a few theaters across the country it's easy to count.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'd say TLK has an 80% chance of getting to $600 million. Just an arbitrary number, but that's my take.

 

I don't see it having a $95 m second weekend. I think that $90 m is possible but $85-$90 m seems to be a logical range. 53-56% drop. On par with Aladdin and TS4. Seems about right with what we've seen. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I would bet a lot of money that TLK drops significantly more than 50% this weekend. 

  • Like 2
  • Disbelief 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, jedijake said:

If TLK makes $90 m in wknd#2 then $600 m is guaranteed.

 

If TLK makes between $85-$89 m then $600 m is likely but not guaranteed.

 

Likewise, if TLK makes less than $80 m this coming wknd then I'd say that $600 m is not happening. But that's just me. Not guaranteed.

 

If TLK somehow makes less than $75 m this coming weekend (HIGHLY unlikely) then $600 m is gone. $75 m means it's just not resonating with audiences enough to get to $600 m despite the RT audience score.

Who the hell cares? It's gonna make over a billion, Disney sure doesn't.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, baumer said:

I would bet a lot of money that TLK drops significantly more than 50% this weekend. 

 

From full weekend? Sure.

From FSS? Doubt it would be much more. Maybe 52%.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.