sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 TLK guess 21.05 27.3 (+30%) 17.75 (-35%) 16.9 (-5%) = 83.0 // ~275 1 week 23.7 (+40%) 31.9 (+35%) 25.5 (-20%) = 81.1 (-58%) // ~356 10-day 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 7 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: Well, the animated 1994 TLK do have a higher DOM-gross than JP, though. 👩🏻 The Lion King (1994) = $422M Jurassic Park = $402M First runs: 06/11/1993 Jurassic Park $357,067,947 06/15/1994 The Lion King $312,855,561 --> I win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) Edited July 23, 2019 by sfran43 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Gitesh calling the Monday drop “superb”. If -60% for the Lion King is “superb”, what was -55% for Incredibles 2 despite an inflated Sunday? - incredible? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) 56 minutes ago, a2k said: TLK guess 21.05 27.3 (+30%) 17.75 (-35%) 16.9 (-5%) = 83.0 // ~275 1 week 23.7 (+40%) 31.9 (+35%) 25.5 (-20%) = 81.1 (-58%) // ~356 10-day I'm thinking higher Tuesday kick and sharper Wednesday drop, but we'll see:)... Edited July 23, 2019 by TwoMisfits 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 8 minutes ago, Krissykins said: Gitesh calling the Monday drop “superb”. If -60% for the Lion King is “superb”, what was -55% for Incredibles 2 despite an inflated Sunday? - incredible? Pretty sure he’s just calling the amount superb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 28 minutes ago, sfran43 said: Better than TFA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 (edited) So TLK needs a 42.5% increase today to get to 30M. I don't think I would call the drop superb. Solid would be a good word. (It's below FFH and TS4 first Monday and most of the Horror movies, but is better than everything else). FFH about 450K behind HC's Monday. TS4 ahead of TS3 again - 9th straight day. Will likely add at least 1M to its buffer today and be close to a 15M cushion after tomorrow. Edited July 23, 2019 by RamblinRed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 If TLK makes $90 m in wknd#2 then $600 m is guaranteed. If TLK makes between $85-$89 m then $600 m is likely but not guaranteed. Likewise, if TLK makes less than $80 m this coming wknd then I'd say that $600 m is not happening. But that's just me. Not guaranteed. If TLK somehow makes less than $75 m this coming weekend (HIGHLY unlikely) then $600 m is gone. $75 m means it's just not resonating with audiences enough to get to $600 m despite the RT audience score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, RamblinRed said: So TLK needs a 42.5% increase today to get to 30M. I don't think I would call the drop superb. Solid would be a good word. (It's below FFH and TS4 first Monday and most of the Horror movies, but is better than everything else). FFH about 450K behind HC's Monday. Good enough for a track towards 600 mil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 2 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: Better than TFA Better daily and weekend holds. TFA made another $5.7m after the comparative Monday https://www.boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=daily&id=avengersvstarwars.htm Let's see if it holds up after the VOD/DVD release 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LawrenceBrolivier Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 I thought this was pretty interesting. I don't have a very high estimation of CinemaScore (or PosTrack or imdb/rotten tomatoes ratings either) but I didn't realize the CinemaScore polling process was so.... janky It's funny to me to realize this mostly inconsequential data point that people take so seriously is gathered like... that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Just now, LawrenceBrolivier said: I thought this was pretty interesting. I don't have a very high estimation of CinemaScore (or PosTrack or imdb/rotten tomatoes ratings either) but I didn't realize the CinemaScore polling process was so.... janky It's funny to me to realize this mostly inconsequential data point that people take so seriously is gathered like... that. I got one at Mary Poppins Returns, I guess since it's only a few theaters across the country it's easy to count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedijake Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 I'd say TLK has an 80% chance of getting to $600 million. Just an arbitrary number, but that's my take. I don't see it having a $95 m second weekend. I think that $90 m is possible but $85-$90 m seems to be a logical range. 53-56% drop. On par with Aladdin and TS4. Seems about right with what we've seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LawrenceBrolivier Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Which tabs did you fold back before you returned it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 I would bet a lot of money that TLK drops significantly more than 50% this weekend. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cappoedameron Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 17 minutes ago, jedijake said: If TLK makes $90 m in wknd#2 then $600 m is guaranteed. If TLK makes between $85-$89 m then $600 m is likely but not guaranteed. Likewise, if TLK makes less than $80 m this coming wknd then I'd say that $600 m is not happening. But that's just me. Not guaranteed. If TLK somehow makes less than $75 m this coming weekend (HIGHLY unlikely) then $600 m is gone. $75 m means it's just not resonating with audiences enough to get to $600 m despite the RT audience score. Who the hell cares? It's gonna make over a billion, Disney sure doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 1 minute ago, baumer said: I would bet a lot of money that TLK drops significantly more than 50% this weekend. From full weekend? Sure. From FSS? Doubt it would be much more. Maybe 52%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
