Weekend Thread: Top 5 Actuals- The Lion King $76.62M | OUATIH $41.08M | SM: FFH $12.45M | TS3 $10.45M | CRAWL $4.06M

[filmlover]

Just now, LawrenceBrolivier said:

How much do the 4pm start times factor into this preview number? You can probably stagger more than a few extra screenings into the 3 hour difference between this open and every other movie's opening.

It's a very good number no matter what, but is this a bad sign for frontloading? 

If I had to guess not too significantly. Being an over 2.5 hour movie meant that they probably wanted to start earlier to get more showtimes in.

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

I hope people stop underestimating Leo. He is THE Star. He picks his projects wisely as well.

Some are saying just slow down. The Revenant did 40m OW. Monstrous legs though so even if it did 8x (46.4m) it could still do awesome with great legs.

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I guess 17 14 11

I forgot Dunkirk is perfect comp for this, same Calender placement and Director having his own following. Here Leo is bonus. 

 

Dunkirk did 20 Friday after 5.5 Previews, but those were 6PM. Adjusting for that and yearly front loading of business, 17 seems about right.

Edited July 26, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[TMP]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Unless you're J. Edgar lol (even if that movie really did look lame and boring and even his starpower couldn't rescue it from being label "Failed Oscar Bait 101").

J. Edgar barely even had an ad campaign too. I can see why it did so poorly. 

[filmlover]

Just now, TMP said:

J. Edgar barely even had an ad campaign too. I can see why it did so poorly. 

It actually had a decent-sized marketing campaign at the time. It's just that the movie looked dull as shit and the reviews were the nail in the coffin. Movies like that always struggle to find an audience when they don't really have anything going for them.

[Maxmoser3]

No matter how you look at this, that’s a great number for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood! This is a tough comparison since R-rated 2 and a half hour tentpoles are rare.  So hopefully $50 million+ does happen! 

[Valonqar]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Unless you're J. Edgar lol (even if that movie really did look lame and boring and even his starpower couldn't rescue it from being label "Failed Oscar Bait 101").

Well, that's one underperformer/bomb this decade while there are actors who are called stars despite a long chain of back to back bombs to their names. for example, Natalie Portman was hailed a boxoffice star cause of Black Swan success (where concept was arguably bigger draw than its "star") yet everything she headlined since was bombtastic to put it mildly. Ryan Reynolds found star power with Deadpool and not much else. 

 

There's no actor without bombs to their resume so it's amusing to me when someone has very consistent streak yet people nitpick those rare times when actor/actress couldn't safe some unappealing looking dud. 

Edited July 26, 2019 by Valonqar

[sfran43]

 

[Maxmoser3]

No matter how you look at this, that’s a great number for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood! This is a tough comparison since R-rated 2 and a half hour tentpoles are rare.  So hopefully $50 million+ does happen! 

[MrPink]

Last week we were at mid 30s doom and gloom.

 

Now we here.

[DAJK]

Woah, did not expect that

[Alli]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

lol 30M? HOW the heck/ i'd love it, but it's impossible.  it is opening around 50M

Edited July 26, 2019 by Alli

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

High 30s would make sense TBH. My 42 is probably on optimistic side, which I am more often than not.

[Valonqar]

It looks like tracking knows how to track CBM and nothing else. 

[CJohn]

45M seems like the max it could do on OW. Good enough.

[TMP]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

High 30s would make sense TBH. My 42 is probably on optimistic side, which I am more often than not.

This is a movie appealing to older demographics, it's not gonna be that front-loaded. 

[The Wild Eric]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

45M seems like the max it could do on OW. Good enough.

I sincerely doubt this will have an IM on par with King of the Monsters, even with Tarantino fans frontloading Thursday

[Alli]

1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

I sincerely doubt this will have an IM on par with King of the Monsters, even with Tarantino fans frontloading Thursday

The audience score on RT is the same

[Valonqar]

I hope it gets to 50M with actuals. 

[filmlover]

Pitt's also coming back in less than two months to prove the non-tentpole isn't dead yet with AD ASTRA.

 

@aabattery @CoolioD1

Edited July 26, 2019 by filmlover